Jakub Mensik vs Nicolas Jarry – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP US Open
Tennis ATP US Open Jakub Mensik - Nicolas Jarry
Result
3:0
24/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
belgiumBelgiumHBO Max, HBO Max
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bulgariaBulgariaHBO Max
croatiaCroatiaHBO Max
czech-republicCzech-republicHBO Max
denmarkDenmarkHBO Max
finlandFinlandHBO Max
franceFranceHBO Max
hungaryHungaryHBO Max
moldovaMoldovaHBO Max
montenegroMontenegroHBO Max
netherlandsNetherlandsHBO Max
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaHBO Max
norwayNorwayHBO Max
polandPolandHBO Max
romaniaRomaniaHBO Max
serbiaSerbiaHBO Max
sloveniaSloveniaHBO Max
spainSpainHBO Max
swedenSwedenHBO Max

Match Stats

Aces
1613
Double Faults
35
1st Serve Percentage
54%65%
1st Serve Points Won
81% (46/57)67% (43/64)
2nd Serve Points Won
49% (24/49)44% (15/34)
Break Points Saved
80% (8/10)56% (5/9)
1st Return Points Won
33% (21/64)21% (12/57)
2nd Return Points Won
56% (19/34)51% (25/49)
Break Points Converted
44% (4/9)20% (2/10)
Winners
2338
Unforced Errors
2140
Net Points Won
63% (10/16)47% (15/32)
Service Points Won
66% (70/106)60% (58/97)
Return Points Won
40% (39/97)34% (36/106)
Total Points Won
54% (109/203)46% (94/203)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
02
Service Games Won
88% (14/16)73% (11/15)
Return Games Won
27% (4/15)13% (2/16)
Total Games Won
58% (18/31)42% (13/31)
Distance Covered (metres)
15811507

Chances of winning


Jakub Mensik
69%		Nicolas Jarry
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.8% 28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.2% 29.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jakub Mensik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Nicolas Jarry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
    •

    Jakub Mensik - Nicolas Jarry Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.39 ↑
    (1.35)
    		3.05 ↓
    (3.43)    		 4.9%
    (3.5%)
    What is the prediction for Jakub Mensik - Nicolas Jarry?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Mensik will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Jarry will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Mensik is ranked ATP: 16. Jarry is ranked ATP: 103.
    • Mensik has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Jarry has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Mensik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Mensik is the team to beat.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Jakub Mensik
    12.08.2025 Jakub Mensik - Luca Nardi Mensik J. retired ✺
    10.08.2025 Jakub Mensik - Ethan Quinn 2:0 ✺
    01.08.2025 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Jakub Mensik 2:0 ✺
    30.07.2025 Tristan Boyer - Jakub Mensik 0:2 ✺
    05.07.2025 Flavio Cobolli - Jakub Mensik 3:0 ✺
    Latest results of Nicolas Jarry
    17.08.2025 Kamil Majchrzak - Nicolas Jarry 2:0 ✺
    07.08.2025 Pedro Martinez Portero - Nicolas Jarry 2:1 ✺
    22.07.2025 Botic Van De Zandschulp - Nicolas Jarry 2:1 ✺
    06.07.2025 Nicolas Jarry - Cameron Norrie 2:3 ✺
    04.07.2025 Nicolas Jarry - Joao Fonseca 3:1 ✺
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Kopriva V.
    2Popyrin A.Ruusuvuori E.
    3Royer V. (WC)Bu Y.
    4Fucsovics M.Shapovalov D. (27)
    5Bublik A. (23)Cilic M.
    6Sonego L.Schoolkate T. (WC)
    7Borges N.Holt B.
    8Moller E.Paul T. (14)
    9Musetti L. (10)Mpetshi Perricard G.
    10Halys Q.Goffin D.
    11Brooksby J.Vukic A.
    12Passaro F. (Q)Cobolli F. (24)
    13Diallo G. (31)Dzumhur D.
    14Munar J.Faria J. (LL)
    15Bergs Z.Tseng C. H.
    16Gomez F. A. (Q)Draper J. (5)
    17Zverev A. (3)Tabilo A.
    18Bautista-Agut R.Fearnley J.
    19Monfils G.Safiullin R.
    20Harris B. (LL)Auger-Aliassime F. (25)
    21Humbert U. (22)Walton A.
    22Kovacevic A.Wong C. (Q)
    23Duckworth J. (LL)Boyer T. (WC)
    24Prizmic D. (Q)Rublev A. (15)
    25Khachanov K. (9)Basavareddy N. (WC)
    26Dellien H.Majchrzak K.
    27Riedi L. (Q)Martinez P.
    28Arnaldi M.Cerundolo F. (19)
    29Tsitsipas S. (26)Muller A.
    30Altmaier D.Medjedovic H.
    31Gaston H.Mochizuki S. (Q)
    32O'Connell C.De Minaur A. (8)
    33Djokovic N. (7)Tien L.
    34Svajda Z. (Q)Piros Z. (Q)
    35Norrie C.Korda S.
    36Comesana F.Michelsen A. (28)
    37Tiafoe F. (17)Nishioka Y.
    38Damm M. (Q)Blanch Dar. (WC)
    39Struff J-L. (Q)McDonald M.
    40Van De Zandschulp B.Rune H. (11)
    41Mensik J. (16)Jarry N.3 : 0
    42Blanchet U. (Q)Marozsan F.
    43Fonseca J.Kecmanovic M.
    44Nardi L.Machac T. (21)
    45Nakashima B. (30)De Jong J. (Q)
    46Kym J. (Q)Quinn E.
    47Baez S.Harris L. (Q)
    48Nava E. (WC)Fritz T. (4)
    49Shelton B. (6)Buse I. (Q)3 : 0
    50Carreno-Busta P.Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)
    51Thompson J.Moutet C.
    52Mannarino A.Griekspoor T. (29)
    53Lehecka J. (20)Coric B.
    54Ugo Carabelli C.Etcheverry T. M.
    55Galan D. E. (Alt)Collignon R.
    56Ofner S.Ruud C. (12)
    57Medvedev D. (13)Bonzi B.
    58Navone M.Giron M.
    59Carballes Baena R.Rinderknech A.
    60Shevchenko A.Davidovich Fokina A. (18)0 : 3
    61Darderi L. (32)Hijikata R.
    62Dostanic S. (WC)Spizzirri E. (WC)
    63Bellucci M.Shang J.
    64Opelka R.Alcaraz C. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32
    17TBD #33TBD #34
    18TBD #35TBD #36
    19TBD #37TBD #38
    20TBD #39TBD #40
    21Mensik J. (16)TBD #42
    22TBD #43TBD #44
    23TBD #45TBD #46
    24TBD #47TBD #48
    25Shelton B. (6)TBD #50
    26TBD #51TBD #52
    27TBD #53TBD #54
    28TBD #55TBD #56
    29TBD #57TBD #58
    30TBD #59Davidovich Fokina A. (18)
    31TBD #61TBD #62
    32TBD #63TBD #64

    1/16-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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