James Duckworth vs Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Mexico City Challenger Men James Duckworth - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
Result
1:2
09/04/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mexico City, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
97
Double Faults
92
1st Serve Percentage
54%53%
1st Serve Points Won
86% (38/44)74% (32/43)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (19/38)58% (22/38)
Break Points Saved
50% (3/6)25% (1/4)
1st Return Points Won
26% (11/43)14% (6/44)
2nd Return Points Won
42% (16/38)50% (19/38)
Break Points Converted
75% (3/4)50% (3/6)
Service Points Won
69% (53/77)66% (53/80)
Return Points Won
34% (27/80)31% (24/77)
Total Points Won
51% (80/157)49% (77/157)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
79% (11/14)79% (11/14)
Return Games Won
21% (3/14)21% (3/14)
Total Games Won
50% (14/28)50% (14/28)

Chances of winning


James Duckworth
40.7%
Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.7% 46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4% 45.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • James Duckworth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that James Duckworth's form might have worsened.
  • Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for James Duckworth than the current prediction. (+13.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for James Duckworth, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (-13.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • James Duckworth - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (1.73)

    1.57
    (2)
    7.5%
    (7.9%)
    What is the prediction for James Duckworth - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio?
  • Users Predictions: Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 82.94%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Duckworth is ranked ATP: 90. Varillas is ranked ATP: 251.
    • Recent matches Duckworth is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Varillas is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Duckworth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of James Duckworth
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Duckworth J. (1)Alves M.2 : 0
    2Rodriguez Taverna S.Varillas J. P.0 : 2
    3Pavlovic L. (Alt)Napolitano S.2 : 0
    4Pacheco Mendez R.Galarneau A. (6)2 : 0
    5Mannarino A. (3)Mayo A.2 : 0
    6Mejia N.Cressy M. (Alt)2 : 0
    7Hernandez A. (WC)Sakamoto P. (Q)2 : 0
    8Tomic B.Paris T. (Alt)2 : 0
    9Ficovich J. P. (5)Perez A. (Q)0 : 2
    10Aguilar J. C. M. (Q)Martin A. (Q)0 : 2
    11Alujas R. (WC)Blanch Dar. (WC)1 : 2
    12Zhukayev B.Meligeni Alves F. (4)1 : 2
    13Huesler M. (7)Zahraj P.2 : 0
    14Janvier M.Oberleitner N. (Q)1 : 2
    15Soto M.Neuchrist M. (Q)2 : 0
    16Dougaz A.Tirante T. A. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Duckworth J. (1)Varillas J. P.1 : 2
    2Pavlovic L.Pacheco Mendez R.2 : 0
    3Mannarino A. (3)Mejia N.2 : 1
    4Hernandez A.Tomic B.0 : 2
    5Perez A.Martin A.2 : 0
    6Blanch Dar.Meligeni Alves F. (4)0 : 2
    7Huesler M. (7)Oberleitner N.2 : 0
    8Soto M.Dougaz A.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Varillas J. P.Pavlovic L.1 : 2
    2Mannarino A. (3)Tomic B.2 : 1
    3Perez A.Meligeni Alves F. (4)0 : 2
    4Huesler M. (7)Dougaz A.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Pavlovic L.Mannarino A. (3)2 : 0
    2Meligeni Alves F. (4)Huesler M. (7)2 : 1

    Final
    1Pavlovic L.Meligeni Alves F. (4)0 : 2