James Story vs Lui Maxted – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
01/03/2026 at 07:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
10
Double Faults
13
1st serve percentage
59%53%
1st serve points won
41% (13/32)74% (23/31)
2nd serve points won
55% (12/22)48% (13/27)
Break Points Saved
58% (7/12)50% (2/4)
1st return points won
26% (8/31)59% (19/32)
2nd return points won
52% (14/27)45% (10/22)
Break Points Converted
50% (2/4)42% (5/12)
Winners
1415
Unforced errors
3020
Net points won
41% (7/17)63% (17/27)
Service Points Won
46% (25/54)62% (36/58)
Return Points Won
38% (22/58)54% (29/54)
Total Points Won
42% (47/112)58% (65/112)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
20
Service games won
44% (4/9)78% (7/9)
Return games won
22% (2/9)56% (5/9)
Total games won
33% (6/18)67% (12/18)

Chances of winning


James Story
40.5%
Lui Maxted
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.4% 61.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6% 60.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • James Story has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Lui Maxted has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for James Story than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lui Maxted than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • James Story - Lui Maxted Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2.4)

    1.56
    (1.5)
    7.6%
    (8.6%)
    What is the prediction for James Story - Lui Maxted?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Story will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Maxted will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Story (votes: 1 - 50%). Maxted (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 Sets - Maxted (2.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Story (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Maxted (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Story is ranked ATP: 467. Maxted is ranked ATP: 451.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Story may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Maxted is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Story won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between James Story - Lui Maxted were as follows:
    30.01.2026 James Story - Lui Maxted 1:2
    Latest results of James Story
    Latest results of Lui Maxted
    20.02.2026 Gastao Elias - Lui Maxted Elias G. retired
    19.02.2026 Naoya Honda - Lui Maxted 0:2
    17.02.2026 Lui Maxted - Liam Broady 2:0
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Giustino L. (1)Fellin P. O. (Q)2 : 0
    2Henning P.Gadamauri B. (Q)1 : 2
    3Bertrand R.Soriano Barrera A. (Q)2 : 0
    4Barranco Cosano J. (Q)Kuzmanov D. (8)0 : 2
    5Neumayer L. (3)Vasami J. (RET.) (JR)1 : 0
    6Rybakov A.Berrettini J.2 : 1
    7Maxted L. (Q)Wendelken H.1 : 2
    8Jones M.Dostanic S. (LL)0 : 2
    9Samuel T. (5)Brancaccio R. (Alt)2 : 1
    10Rincon D.Durasovic V.2 : 0
    11Shelbayh A.Tsitsipas Pa. (WC)2 : 0
    12Efstathiou M. (WC)Moro Canas A. (4)2 : 1
    13Piraino G. (LL)Xilas I. (WC)0 : 2
    14Gulin S. (LL)Mrva M.1 : 2
    15Geerts M.Pereira T.2 : 0
    16Carboni L. (RET.) (Q)Sakellaridis S. (2)1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Giustino L. (1)Gadamauri B.2 : 1
    2Bertrand R.Kuzmanov D. (8)0 : 2
    3Neumayer L. (3)Rybakov A.2 : 0
    4Wendelken H.Dostanic S.2 : 1
    5Samuel T. (5)Rincon D.2 : 0
    6Shelbayh A.Efstathiou M.2 : 1
    7Xilas I.Mrva M.2 : 0
    8Geerts M.Sakellaridis S. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Giustino L. (1)Kuzmanov D. (8)0 : 2
    2Neumayer L. (3)Wendelken H.1 : 2
    3Samuel T. (5)Shelbayh A.2 : 0
    4Xilas I.Sakellaridis S. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Kuzmanov D. (8)Wendelken H.0 : 2
    2Samuel T. (5)Sakellaridis S. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Wendelken H.Samuel T. (5)0 : 2