Jan Choinski vs Alexandre Muller – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
04/04/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
12
Double Faults
20
1st serve percentage
60%70%
1st serve points won
64% (34/53)63% (31/49)
2nd serve points won
39% (14/36)71% (15/21)
Break Points Saved
6/106/8
1st return points won
37% (18/49)36% (19/53)
2nd return points won
29% (6/21)61% (22/36)
Break Points Converted
2/84/10
Winners
2128
Unforced errors
3525
Net points won
53% (8/15)38% (3/8)
Service Points Won
54% (48/89)66% (46/70)
Return Points Won
34% (24/70)46% (41/89)
Total Points Won
45% (72/159)55% (87/159)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
20
Service games won
64% (7/11)80% (8/10)
Return games won
20% (2/10)36% (4/11)
Total games won
43% (9/21)57% (12/21)

Chances of winning


Jan Choinski
46.4%
Alexandre Muller
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1% 56.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jan Choinski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jan Choinski's performance.
  • Alexandre Muller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexandre Muller might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Jan Choinski - Alexandre Muller Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (2.29)

    1.75
    (1.58)
    6.9%
    (7%)
    What is the prediction for Jan Choinski - Alexandre Muller?
  • Users Predictions: Jan Choinski will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 81.89%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Jan Choinski will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Choinski is ranked ATP: 120. Muller is ranked ATP: 94.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Choinski may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Muller will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Choinski won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jan Choinski - Alexandre Muller were as follows:
    01.02.2023 Jan Choinski - Alexandre Muller 1:2
    07.10.2022 Jan Choinski - Alexandre Muller 2:1
    Latest results of Jan Choinski
    Latest results of Alexandre Muller
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Baez S.Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 0
    3Etcheverry T. M.Dimitrov G.2 : 1
    4Atmane T.Quinn E. (LL)2 : 0
    5Lehecka J. (11)Nava E. (Q)2 : 1
    6Fucsovics M.Tabilo A.0 : 2
    7Monfils G. (WC)Griekspoor T.2 : 1
    8ByeBublik A. (8)
    9Musetti L. (4)Bye
    10Vacherot V.Cerundolo J. M. (Q)2 : 1
    11Dzumhur D. (LL)Marozsan F.0 : 2
    12Hurkacz H. (PR)Darderi L. (15)2 : 1
    13Cobolli F. (10)Comesana F. (Q)2 : 1
    14Shapovalov D.Blockx A. (Q)1 : 2
    15Norrie C.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    18Bautista-Agut R. (RET.) (LL)Berrettini M. (WC)0 : 0
    19Fonseca J.Diallo G.2 : 0
    20Rinderknech A.Khachanov K. (12)2 : 0
    21Rublev A. (13)Borges N.2 : 1
    22Bergs Z.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    23Garin C. (Q)Arnaldi M. (LL)2 : 0
    24ByeZverev A. (3)
    25Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Bye
    26Cilic M.Shevchenko A. (Q)2 : 0
    27Moutet C.Muller A. (Q)2 : 0
    28Popyrin A.Ruud C. (9)0 : 2
    29Cerundolo F. (16)Tsitsipas S.2 : 0
    30Altmaier D.Machac T.1 : 2
    31Kouame M. (WC)Humbert U.0 : 2
    32ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Baez S.2 : 0
    2Etcheverry T. M.Atmane T.2 : 1
    3Lehecka J. (11)Tabilo A.2 : 1
    4Monfils G.Bublik A. (8)0 : 2
    5Musetti L. (4)Vacherot V.0 : 2
    6Marozsan F.Hurkacz H.0 : 2
    7Cobolli F. (10)Blockx A.0 : 2
    8Norrie C.De Minaur A. (5)1 : 2
    9Medvedev D. (7)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    10Fonseca J.Rinderknech A.2 : 1
    11Rublev A. (13)Bergs Z.0 : 2
    12Garin C.Zverev A. (3)1 : 2
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Cilic M.2 : 0
    14Moutet C.Ruud C. (9)0 : 2
    15Cerundolo F. (16)Machac T.0 : 2
    16Humbert U.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Etcheverry T. M.2 : 1
    2Lehecka J. (11)Bublik A. (8)0 : 2
    3Vacherot V.Hurkacz H.
    4Blockx A.De Minaur A. (5)0 : 2
    5Berrettini M.Fonseca J.0 : 2
    6Bergs Z.Zverev A. (3)0 : 2
    7Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Ruud C. (RET.) (9)1 : 0
    8Machac T.Sinner J. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bublik A. (8)
    2TBD #3De Minaur A. (5)
    3Fonseca J.Zverev A. (3)
    4Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Sinner J. (2)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2