Jan Choinski vs Andrea Collarini – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

19/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY).

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals
Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max

Match Stats


Aces
4	5
Double Faults
0	1
1st Serve Percentage
69%	61%
1st Serve Points Won
62% (34/55)	67% (29/43)
2nd Serve Points Won
44% (11/25)	61% (17/28)
Break Points Saved
56% (5/9)	50% (3/6)
1st Return Points Won
40% (17/43)	38% (21/55)
2nd Return Points Won
39% (11/28)	56% (14/25)
Break Points Converted
50% (3/6)	44% (4/9)
Service Points Won
57% (45/79)	64% (45/70)
Return Points Won
36% (25/70)	43% (34/79)
Total Points Won
47% (70/149)	53% (79/149)
Last 10 Balls
2	8
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
64% (7/11)	73% (8/11)
Return Games Won
27% (3/11)	36% (4/11)
Total Games Won
45% (10/22)	55% (12/22)

Chances of winning

Jan Choinski
67.5%

Andrea Collarini
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan Choinski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jan Choinski's performance.

Andrea Collarini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrea Collarini might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jan Choinski that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Collarini than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrea Collarini could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jan Choinski - Andrea Collarini Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.51)		2.94 ↑ (2.39)	4.7% (8.1%)

Preview Facts

Choinski is ranked ATP: 150. Collarini is ranked ATP: 241.
Both players have been playing unpredictably.
Collarini may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Choinski will hold a modest advantage in this match.
The players have not played against each other recently.

How many head-to-head matches has Jan Choinski won against Andrea Collarini?

Jan Choinski has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Andrea Collarini won against Jan Choinski?

Andrea Collarini has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Jan Choinski - Andrea Collarini were as follows:

Latest results of Jan Choinski

05.08.2025 Jan Choinski - Geoffrey Blancaneaux 0:2 ✺

02.08.2025 Jan Choinski - Yannick Hanfmann 0:2 ✺

30.07.2025 Jan Choinski - Dmitry Popko 2:1 ✺

29.07.2025 Jan Choinski - Lorenzo Giustino 2:1 ✺

20.07.2025 Kimmer Coppejans - Jan Choinski 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Andrea Collarini

01.08.2025 Andrea Collarini - Gonzalo Bueno 0:2 ✺

31.07.2025 Andrea Collarini - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe 2:0 ✺

29.07.2025 Andrea Collarini - Andrew Paulson 2:0 ✺

23.07.2025 Andrea Collarini - Mika Brunold 1:2 ✺

21.07.2025 Kilian Feldbausch - Andrea Collarini 0:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Qualification

Quarter-finals

1	Cazaux A. (1)	Lajal M.	2 : 0
2	Clarke J.	Satterfield J. (WC)	2 : 0
3	Daniel T.	Sachko V.	2 : 0
4	Chidekh C.	Struff J-L. (31)	0 : 2
5	De Jong J. (2)	Gaubas V.	2 : 0
6	Monday J.	Mayot H.	0 : 2
7	Rodriguez Taverna S.	Krueger M.	1 : 2
8	Choinski J.	Collarini A. (Alt)	0 : 2
9	Taberner C. (3)	Kym J.	0 : 2
10	Zheng M. (WC)	Uchiyama Y.	2 : 0
11	Lajovic D.	van Assche L.	0 : 2
12	Wu Y.	Ficovich J. P. (17)	2 : 0
13	Cerundolo J. M. (4)	Hemery C.	2 : 0
14	Shimizu Y.	Shimabukuro S.	2 : 1
15	Damm M. (WC)	Travaglia S.	2 : 0
16	Hassan B.	Barrios Vera T. (20)	2 : 0
17	Duckworth J. (5)	Bagnis F.	2 : 0
18	Maestrelli F.	McCabe J.	1 : 2
19	Bouquier A.	Piros Z.	0 : 2
20	Kennedy J. (WC)	Tirante T. A. (24)	0 : 2
21	Basilashvili N. (6)	Onclin G.	2 : 1
22	Huesler M.	Napolitano S.	2 : 1
23	Zhukayev B.	Pinnington Jones J.	2 : 1
24	Holmgren A.	Svajda Z. (22)	0 : 2
25	Draxl L. (7)	Jacquet K.	0 : 2
26	Kubler J.	Loffhagen G.	2 : 0
27	Cassone M.	Monteiro T.	2 : 1
28	Galarneau A.	Prizmic D. (19)	0 : 2
29	Svrcina D. (8)	Merida Aguilar D.	1 : 2
30	Droguet T.	Kachmazov A. (RET.)	1 : 0
31	Martin Tiffon P. (RET.)	Sun F.	1 : 1
32	Harris L.	Evans D. (18)	2 : 1
33	Virtanen O. (9)	Willwerth B. (WC)	2 : 1
34	Pavlovic L.	Riedi L.	0 : 2
35	Bolt A.	Crawford O.	1 : 2
36	Johns G. (WC)	Smith C. (27)	2 : 0
37	Passaro F. (10)	Hsu Y. H.	2 : 1
38	Gueymard Wayenburg S.	Pacheco Mendez R.	1 : 2
39	Kypson P.	Tomic B.	0 : 2
40	Rocha H.	Herbert P. (23)	2 : 1
41	Blockx A. (11)	Reis Da Silva J.	2 : 0
42	Barrena A.	Coppejans K.	1 : 2
43	Zink T. (WC)	Sakamoto R.	1 : 2
44	Neumayer L.	Buse I. (29)	1 : 2
45	Mochizuki S. (12)	Rodionov J.	2 : 1
46	Burruchaga R. A.	Engel J.	2 : 1
47	Maloney P. (WC)	Ymer E.	2 : 0
48	Den Ouden G.	Galan D. E. (32)	0 : 2
49	Garin C. (13)	Watanuki Y.	2 : 0
50	Trungelliti M.	Eubanks C.	2 : 1
51	Martin A. (WC)	Durasovic V.	2 : 0
52	Llamas Ruiz P.	Hanfmann Y. (21)	2 : 1
53	Klein L. (14)	Gomez F. A.	0 : 2
54	Stricker D.	Cina F.	0 : 2
55	Grenier H.	Jasika O.	2 : 1
56	Tabur C.	Landaluce M. (30)	0 : 2
57	Faria J. (15)	Noguchi R.	2 : 1
58	Zeppieri G.	Habib H.	2 : 1
59	Gojo B.	Blanchet U.	1 : 2
60	Popko D.	Seyboth Wild T. (26)	2 : 0
61	Gigante M. (16)	Butvilas E.	2 : 1
62	Rodesch C.	Wong C.	0 : 2
63	Trotter J. K.	Harris B.	1 : 2
64	Kukushkin M.	Pellegrino A. (28)	2 : 0

Semi-finals

1	Cazaux A. (1)	Clarke J.	2 : 0
2	Daniel T.	Struff J-L. (31)	1 : 2
3	De Jong J. (2)	Mayot H.	2 : 1
4	Krueger M.	Collarini A.	2 : 0
5	Kym J.	Zheng M.	2 : 0
6	van Assche L.	Wu Y.	0 : 2
7	Cerundolo J. M. (4)	Shimizu Y.	0 : 2
8	Damm M.	Hassan B.	2 : 0
9	Duckworth J. (5)	McCabe J.	2 : 1
10	Piros Z.	Tirante T. A. (24)	2 : 0
11	Basilashvili N. (6)	Huesler M.	0 : 2
12	Zhukayev B.	Svajda Z. (22)	0 : 2
13	Jacquet K.	Kubler J.	0 : 2
14	Cassone M.	Prizmic D. (19)	0 : 2
15	Merida Aguilar D.	Droguet T.	2 : 1
16	Sun F.	Harris L.	0 : 2
17	Virtanen O. (9)	Riedi L.	0 : 2
18	Crawford O.	Johns G.	0 : 2
19	Passaro F. (10)	Pacheco Mendez R.	2 : 1
20	Tomic B.	Rocha H.	0 : 2
21	Blockx A. (RET.) (11)	Coppejans K.	0 : 1
22	Sakamoto R.	Buse I. (29)	1 : 2
23	Mochizuki S. (12)	Burruchaga R. A.	2 : 1
24	Maloney P.	Galan D. E. (32)	0 : 2
25	Garin C. (13)	Trungelliti M.	0 : 2
26	Martin A.	Llamas Ruiz P.	0 : 2
27	Gomez F. A.	Cina F.	2 : 1
28	Grenier H.	Landaluce M. (30)	2 : 0
29	Faria J. (15)	Zeppieri G.	2 : 0
30	Blanchet U.	Popko D.	2 : 0
31	Gigante M. (16)	Wong C.	1 : 2
32	Harris B.	Kukushkin M.	2 : 1

Final

1	Cazaux A. (1)	Struff J-L. (31)	0 : 2
2	De Jong J. (2)	Krueger M.	2 : 0
3	Kym J.	Wu Y.	2 : 0
4	Shimizu Y.	Damm M.	0 : 2
5	Duckworth J. (5)	Piros Z.	1 : 2
6	Huesler M.	Svajda Z. (22)	0 : 2
7	Kubler J.	Prizmic D. (19)	1 : 2
8	Merida Aguilar D.	Harris L.	0 : 2
9	Riedi L.	Johns G.	2 : 0
10	Passaro F. (10)	Rocha H.	2 : 0
11	Coppejans K.	Buse I. (29)	0 : 2
12	Mochizuki S. (12)	Galan D. E. (32)	2 : 0
13	Trungelliti M.	Llamas Ruiz P.	1 : 2
14	Gomez F. A.	Grenier H.	2 : 1
15	Faria J. (15)	Blanchet U.	0 : 2
16	Wong C.	Harris B.	2 : 0