Jan Choinski vs Daniel Merida Aguilar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
28/11/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Maia, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
42
Double Faults
03
1st Serve Percentage
74%60%
1st Serve Points Won
71% (30/42)69% (38/55)
2nd Serve Points Won
47% (7/15)54% (20/37)
Break Points Saved
57% (4/7)95% (18/19)
1st Return Points Won
36% (20/55)31% (13/42)
2nd Return Points Won
46% (17/37)53% (8/15)
Break Points Converted
5% (1/19)43% (3/7)
Winners
2230
Unforced Errors
2024
Net Points Won
59% (10/17)80% (4/5)
Service Points Won
63% (36/57)63% (57/91)
Return Points Won
37% (34/91)37% (21/57)
Total Points Won
47% (70/148)53% (78/148)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
70% (7/10)91% (10/11)
Return Games Won
9% (1/11)30% (3/10)
Total Games Won
38% (8/21)62% (13/21)

Chances of winning


Jan Choinski
59.6%
Daniel Merida Aguilar
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.4% 38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4% 38.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Jan Choinski - Daniel Merida Aguilar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.5)

    2.31
    (2.39)
    6.7%
    (8.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Choinski is ranked ATP: 128. Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 170.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Choinski may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Choinski might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Choinski won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jan Choinski - Daniel Merida Aguilar were as follows:
    01.11.2022 Jan Choinski - Daniel Merida Aguilar 2:0
    Latest results of Jan Choinski
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Choinski J. (1)Feldbausch K.2 : 0
    2Bondioli F. (NG)Ferreira Silva F.1 : 2
    3Santamarta Roig A. (Q)Rocha F. (WC)2 : 0
    4Cadenasso G. (SE)Merida Aguilar D. (5)0 : 2
    5Moller E. (3)Araujo P. (WC)2 : 0
    6Michalski D.Curras Abasolo T. (Q)2 : 1
    7Blancaneaux G.Napolitano S. (PR)2 : 0
    8Pereira T.Lopez Montagud C. (Q)0 : 2
    9Giustino L. (7)Cretu C. (LL)2 : 0
    10Gakhov I.Martin A. (Q)1 : 2
    11Vatutin A. (LL)Agamenone F.2 : 1
    12Elias G. (WC)Rocha H. (4)1 : 2
    13Kolar Z. (8)Damas M.1 : 2
    14Andreev A. (PR)Marmousez L. (Q)1 : 2
    15Sanchez Izquierdo N.Sanchez Jover C. (Q)0 : 2
    16Jianu F. C.Faria J. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Choinski J. (1)Ferreira Silva F.2 : 1
    2Santamarta Roig A.Merida Aguilar D. (5)0 : 2
    3Moller E. (3)Michalski D.2 : 1
    4Blancaneaux G.Lopez Montagud C.1 : 2
    5Giustino L. (RET.) (7)Martin A.0 : 1
    6Vatutin A.Rocha H. (4)2 : 0
    7Damas M.Marmousez L.0 : 2
    8Sanchez Jover C.Jianu F. C.1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Choinski J. (1)Merida Aguilar D. (5)0 : 2
    2Moller E. (3)Lopez Montagud C.2 : 0
    3Martin A.Vatutin A.2 : 0
    4Marmousez L.Jianu F. C.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Merida Aguilar D. (5)Moller E. (3)0 : 2
    2Martin A.Marmousez L.2 : 1

    Final
    1Moller E. (3)Martin A.2 : 0