Jan Choinski vs Harold Mayot – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
Mayot H. retired
01/11/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Metz - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
02
Double Faults
01
1st Serve Percentage
64%80%
1st Serve Points Won
75% (12/16)67% (8/12)
2nd Serve Points Won
67% (6/9)33% (1/3)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/0)0% (0/1)
1st Return Points Won
33% (4/12)38% (6/16)
2nd Return Points Won
67% (2/3)33% (3/9)
Break Points Converted
100% (1/1)0% (0/0)
Service Points Won
72% (18/25)57% (8/14)
Return Points Won
43% (6/14)28% (7/25)
Total Points Won
62% (24/39)38% (15/39)
Last 10 Balls
91
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
100% (4/4)67% (2/3)
Return Games Won
33% (1/3)0% (0/4)
Total Games Won
71% (5/7)29% (2/7)

Chances of winning


Jan Choinski
45%
Harold Mayot
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.1% 44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4% 44.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jan Choinski's form might have worsened.
  • Harold Mayot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Harold Mayot's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jan Choinski, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harold Mayot than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Harold Mayot, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Jan Choinski - Harold Mayot Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.16
    (1.7)

    1.77
    (2.09)
    3%
    (6.7%)
    Preview Facts
    • Choinski is ranked ATP: 131. Mayot is ranked ATP: 159.
    • Currently, both players are in excellent shape.
    • Choinski may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Choinski won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jan Choinski - Harold Mayot were as follows:
    04.07.2025 Jan Choinski - Harold Mayot 2:0
    07.04.2025 Jan Choinski - Harold Mayot Canceled
    Latest results of Jan Choinski
    Latest results of Harold Mayot
    23.10.2025 Harold Mayot - Naoya Honda Honda N. retired
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Added D. (LL)Bye
    2Jacquet K. (LL)van Assche L. (Q)2 : 1
    3Cazaux A.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    4Royer V.Norrie C. (7)1 : 2
    5Cobolli F. (4)Bye
    6Choinski J. (Q)Sonego L.1 : 2
    7Atmane T.Gaston H. (WC)0 : 2
    8Altmaier D.Rinderknech A. (6)2 : 0
    9Tabur C. (Q)Kovacevic A.2 : 0
    10Passaro F. (Q)Blockx A. (NG)1 : 2
    11Mpetshi Perricard G.Sachko V. (LL)0 : 2
    12ByeBublik A. (3)
    13Moutet C. (8)Vukic A.1 : 2
    14Berrettini M.Halys Q.2 : 0
    15Blanchet U. (WC)Tien L.0 : 2
    16ByeEchargui M. (LL)

    1/8-finals
    1Added D.Jacquet K.0 : 2
    2Cazaux A.Norrie C. (7)1 : 2
    3Cobolli F. (4)Sonego L.1 : 2
    4Gaston H. (RET.)Altmaier D.1 : 1
    5Tabur C.Blockx A.2 : 1
    6Sachko V.Bublik A. (3)2 : 1
    7Vukic A.Berrettini M.0 : 2
    8Tien L.Echargui M.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Jacquet K.Norrie C. (7)1 : 2
    2Sonego L.Altmaier D.2 : 0
    3Tabur C.Sachko V.1 : 2
    4Berrettini M.Tien L.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Norrie C. (7)Sonego L.2 : 1
    2Sachko V.Tien L.0 : 2

    Final
    1Norrie C. (7)Tien L.1 : 2