Result
2:0
24/09/2025 at 08:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon, clay - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 58% | 80% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 75% (24/32) | 63% (26/41) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 65% (15/23) | 40% (4/10) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 100% (4/4) | 25% (1/4) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 37% (15/41) | 25% (8/32) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 35% (8/23) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 0% (0/4) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 71% (39/55) | 59% (30/51) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 41% (21/51) | 29% (16/55) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (60/106) | 43% (46/106) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 100% (9/9) | 63% (5/8) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 0% (0/9) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 29% (5/17) |
Chances of winning
Henrique Rocha
48.5% | Jan Choinski
51.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Henrique Rocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Jan Choinski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Henrique Rocha - Jan Choinski Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↑
(1.83) |
|
1.81 ↓
(1.83) |
6.7%
(9.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Henrique Rocha - Jan Choinski?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Rocha will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Choinski will win (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Rocha is ranked ATP: 171. Choinski is ranked ATP: 227.
- Recent performances by Rocha have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Choinski is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Rocha may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rocha won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Henrique Rocha won against Jan Choinski?
Henrique Rocha has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jan Choinski won against Henrique Rocha?
Jan Choinski has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Henrique Rocha - Jan Choinski were as follows:
06.05.2025
Jan Choinski
-
Henrique Rocha
2:0
Latest results of Henrique Rocha
Latest results of Jan Choinski
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Kopriva V. (1) | Pavlovic L. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ritschard A. (Q) | Schwaerzler J. J. (NG) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Travaglia S. (Alt) | Dodig M. (NG) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Negritu Ch. (Q) | Faria J. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Carballes Baena R. (3) | Seyboth Wild T. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Llamas Ruiz P. (Q) | Moro Canas A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Araujo P. (WC) | Rocha H. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Choinski J. | Pellegrino A. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Galan D. E. (7) | Trungelliti M. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Den Ouden G. | Ymer E. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Cecchinato M. (Q) | Monteiro T. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Rocha F. (Q) | Buse I. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Moller E. (5) | Pereira T. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Merida Aguilar D. | Kym J. | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Ferreira Silva F. (WC) | Clarke J. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Gaubas V. | Taberner C. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Kopriva V. (1) | Ritschard A. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Travaglia S. | Faria J. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Carballes Baena R. (RET.) (3) | Llamas Ruiz P. | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Rocha H. | Choinski J. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Trungelliti M. | Den Ouden G. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Monteiro T. | Buse I. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Pereira T. | Merida Aguilar D. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Ferreira Silva F. | Gaubas V. | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Ritschard A. | Travaglia S. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Rocha H. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Trungelliti M. | Buse I. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Merida Aguilar D. | Gaubas V. | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Travaglia S. | Rocha H. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Buse I. (4) | Gaubas V. | 0 : 2 |
Final
