Jan Choinski vs Henrique Rocha – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Prague Challenger Men Jan Choinski - Henrique Rocha
Result
2:0
06/05/2025 at 04:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Prague, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
03
Double Faults
24
1st Serve Percentage
62%58%
1st Serve Points Won
76% (31/41)68% (23/34)
2nd Serve Points Won
56% (14/25)56% (14/25)
Break Points Saved
75% (3/4)40% (2/5)
1st Return Points Won
32% (11/34)24% (10/41)
2nd Return Points Won
44% (11/25)44% (11/25)
Break Points Converted
60% (3/5)25% (1/4)
Winners
109
Unforced Errors
3745
Net Points Won
75% (6/8)80% (4/5)
Service Points Won
68% (45/66)63% (37/59)
Return Points Won
37% (22/59)32% (21/66)
Total Points Won
54% (67/125)46% (58/125)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
91% (10/11)70% (7/10)
Return Games Won
30% (3/10)9% (1/11)
Total Games Won
62% (13/21)38% (8/21)

Chances of winning


Jan Choinski
42.3%
Henrique Rocha
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.9% 50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2% 49.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jan Choinski's form might have worsened.
  • Henrique Rocha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Henrique Rocha's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jan Choinski, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Henrique Rocha, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Jan Choinski - Henrique Rocha Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (1.85)

    1.62
    (1.84)
    7.4%
    (8.3%)
    What is the prediction for Jan Choinski - Henrique Rocha?
  • Users Predictions: Jan Choinski will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Choinski is ranked ATP: 187. Rocha is ranked ATP: 195.
    • Recent performances by Choinski have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Rocha is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Rocha may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Rocha could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Jan Choinski
    11.04.2025 Raphael Collignon - Jan Choinski Choinski J. retired
    09.04.2025 Arthur Gea - Jan Choinski 1:2
    07.04.2025 Jan Choinski - Harold Mayot Canceled
    Latest results of Henrique Rocha
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Mochizuki S. (1)Brunclik P. (WC)1 : 2
    2Chazal M. (Q)Zhukayev B.2 : 1
    3Holmgren A.Klein L.0 : 2
    4Mrva M. (WC)Kukushkin M. (7)1 : 2
    5Popko D. (4)Gueymard Wayenburg S. (LL)1 : 2
    6Rottgering M. (WC)Rincon D. (Q)2 : 0
    7Kumstat J. (Q)Misolic F.0 : 2
    8Cornut-Chauvinc A.Basilashvili N. (5)1 : 2
    9Nagal S. (8)Den Ouden G. (Q)0 : 2
    10Barton H. (Q)Neumayer L.2 : 1
    11Choinski J.Rocha H.2 : 0
    12Habib H.Blockx A. (3)0 : 2
    13Moro Canas A. (6)Budkov Kjaer N.0 : 2
    14Sachko V. (Q)Hemery C.0 : 2
    15Harris L.Evans D.0 : 2
    16Rodionov J. (Alt)Landaluce M. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Brunclik P.Chazal M.0 : 2
    2Klein L. (WO.)Kukushkin M. (7)
    3Gueymard Wayenburg S.Rottgering M.0 : 2
    4Misolic F.Basilashvili N. (5)2 : 0
    5Den Ouden G.Barton H.2 : 0
    6Choinski J.Blockx A. (3)1 : 2
    7Budkov Kjaer N.Hemery C.2 : 0
    8Evans D.Landaluce M. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Chazal M.Klein L.0 : 2
    2Rottgering M.Misolic F.0 : 2
    3Den Ouden G.Blockx A. (3)2 : 1
    4Budkov Kjaer N.Landaluce M. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Klein L.Misolic F.0 : 2
    2Den Ouden G.Landaluce M. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Misolic F.Den Ouden G.2 : 0