Result
2:1
20/04/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 65% | 70% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 67% (53/79) | 73% (59/81) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 58% (25/43) | 43% (15/35) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 6/9 | 6/10 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 27% (22/81) | 33% (26/79) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 57% (20/35) | 42% (18/43) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 4/10 | 3/9 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 32 | 43 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 44 | 57 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 76% (13/17) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 64% (78/122) | 64% (74/116) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 36% (42/116) | 36% (44/122) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (120/238) | 50% (118/238) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 83% (15/18) | 78% (14/18) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 17% (3/18) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 53% (19/36) | 47% (17/36) |
Chances of winning
Henrique Rocha
61.9% | Jan Choinski
38.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Henrique Rocha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Henrique Rocha that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jan Choinski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Henrique Rocha - Jan Choinski Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↓
(1.58) |
|
2.48 ↑
(2.29) |
5.9%
(7%) | |
What is the prediction for Henrique Rocha - Jan Choinski?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Rocha (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Choinski (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Users Predictions:
Henrique Rocha will win
(15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Rocha is ranked ATP: 126. Choinski is ranked ATP: 117.
- Rocha has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Choinski has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Rocha may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Rocha might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rocha won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Henrique Rocha won against Jan Choinski?
Henrique Rocha has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jan Choinski won against Henrique Rocha?
Jan Choinski has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Henrique Rocha - Jan Choinski were as follows:
24.09.2025
Henrique Rocha
-
Jan Choinski
2:0
06.05.2025
Jan Choinski
-
Henrique Rocha
2:0
Latest results of Henrique Rocha
Latest results of Jan Choinski
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Bonzi B. (Q) | Droguet T. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Moller E. (Q) | Cina F. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Diallo G. (32) | |
| 5 | Norrie C. (19) | Bye | |
| 6 | Machac T. | Comesana F. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Bautista-Agut R. | Tirante T. A. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Paul T. (15) | |
| 9 | Rublev A. (9) | Bye | |
| 10 | Zhang Z. (PR) | Kopriva V. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Sonego L. | Lajovic D. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Rinderknech A. (22) | |
| 13 | Fonseca J. (27) | Bye | |
| 14 | Bergs Z. | Cilic M. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Jodar R. (WC) | De Jong J. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | De Minaur A. (5) | |
| 17 | Shelton B. (4) | Bye | |
| 18 | Prizmic D. (Q) | Berrettini M. | 2 : 0 |
| 19 | Basilashvili N. (Q) | Ofner S. | 0 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Etcheverry T. M. (25) | |
| 21 | Fils A. (21) | Bye | |
| 22 | Buse I. | Mannarino A. | 2 : 0 |
| 23 | Brooksby J. | Nava E. | 0 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Vacherot V. (14) | |
| 25 | Lehecka J. (11) | Bye | |
| 26 | Tabilo A. | Royer V. | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Muller A. | Struff J-L. | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | Bye | Michelsen A. (33) | |
| 29 | Griekspoor T. (29) | Bye | |
| 30 | Dzumhur D. | Bellucci M. | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Faria J. (Q) | Hurkacz H. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | Musetti L. (6) | |
| 33 | Bublik A. (8) | Bye | |
| 34 | Kypson P. (LL) | Tsitsipas S. | 1 : 2 |
| 35 | Trungelliti M. (LL) | Merida Aguilar D. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 36 | Bye | Moutet C. (26) | |
| 37 | Davidovich Fokina A. (20) | Bye | |
| 38 | Carreno-Busta P. (WC) | Fucsovics M. | 2 : 1 |
| 39 | Munar J. | Shevchenko A. | 2 : 0 |
| 40 | Bye | Ruud C. (12) | |
| 41 | Cerundolo F. (16) | Bye | |
| 42 | Hanfmann Y. | Giron M. | 2 : 1 |
| 43 | Altmaier D. | Cerundolo J. M. | 0 : 2 |
| 44 | Bye | Darderi L. (18) | |
| 45 | Nakashima B. (28) | Bye | |
| 46 | Garin C. (LL) | Blockx A. | 1 : 2 |
| 47 | Gaubas V. (Q) | Baez S. | 2 : 0 |
| 48 | Bye | Auger-Aliassime F. (3) | |
| 49 | Medvedev D. (7) | Bye | |
| 50 | Marozsan F. | Quinn E. | 2 : 0 |
| 51 | Budkov Kjaer N. (Q) | Opelka R. (RET.) | 0 : 0 |
| 52 | Bye | Shapovalov D. (31) | |
| 53 | Tien L. (17) | Bye | |
| 54 | Vallejo D. (Q) | Dimitrov G. | 2 : 0 |
| 55 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Monfils G. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 56 | Bye | Cobolli F. (10) | |
| 57 | Khachanov K. (13) | Bye | |
| 58 | Landaluce M. (WC) | Walton A. | 0 : 2 |
| 59 | Popyrin A. | Damm M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 60 | Bye | Mensik J. (23) | |
| 61 | Humbert U. (30) | Bye | |
| 62 | Atmane T. | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 0 |
| 63 | Borges N. | Navone M. | 0 : 2 |
| 64 | Bye | Zverev A. (2) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Bonzi B. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Moller E. (Q) | Diallo G. (RET.) (32) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Norrie C. (19) | Machac T. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Tirante T. A. | Paul T. (15) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Rublev A. (9) | Kopriva V. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Lajovic D. | Rinderknech A. (22) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Fonseca J. (WO.) (27) | Cilic M. | |
| 8 | Jodar R. | De Minaur A. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Shelton B. (4) | Prizmic D. | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Ofner S. | Etcheverry T. M. (25) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Fils A. (21) | Buse I. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Nava E. | Vacherot V. (14) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Lehecka J. (11) | Tabilo A. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Struff J-L. | Michelsen A. (33) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Griekspoor T. (29) | Dzumhur D. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Hurkacz H. | Musetti L. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Bublik A. (8) | Tsitsipas S. | 0 : 2 |
| 18 | Merida Aguilar D. | Moutet C. (26) | 2 : 0 |
| 19 | Davidovich Fokina A. (20) | Carreno-Busta P. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Munar J. | Ruud C. (12) | 0 : 2 |
| 21 | Cerundolo F. (16) | Hanfmann Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 22 | Cerundolo J. M. | Darderi L. (18) | 0 : 2 |
| 23 | Nakashima B. (28) | Blockx A. | 1 : 2 |
| 24 | Gaubas V. | Auger-Aliassime F. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | Medvedev D. (7) | Marozsan F. | 2 : 1 |
| 26 | Budkov Kjaer N. | Shapovalov D. (31) | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Tien L. (17) | Vallejo D. | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Cobolli F. (10) | 1 : 2 |
| 29 | Khachanov K. (13) | Walton A. | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Damm M. | Mensik J. (23) | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Humbert U. (30) | Atmane T. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Navone M. | Zverev A. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Moller E. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Norrie C. (19) | Tirante T. A. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Kopriva V. | Rinderknech A. (RET.) (22) | 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Fonseca J. (27) | Jodar R. | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Prizmic D. | Etcheverry T. M. (25) | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Fils A. (21) | Nava E. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Lehecka J. (11) | Michelsen A. (33) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Griekspoor T. (29) | Musetti L. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Tsitsipas S. | Merida Aguilar D. | |
| 10 | Davidovich Fokina A. (20) | Ruud C. (12) | |
| 11 | Cerundolo F. (16) | Darderi L. (18) | |
| 12 | Blockx A. | Auger-Aliassime F. (3) | |
| 13 | Medvedev D. (7) | Budkov Kjaer N. | |
| 14 | Vallejo D. | Cobolli F. (10) | |
| 15 | Khachanov K. (13) | Mensik J. (23) | |
| 16 | Atmane T. | Zverev A. (2) | |
1/8-finalsQuarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
