Result
2:1
07/11/2024 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Helsinki (Finland), hard (indoor) - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 53% | 57% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 68% (25/37) | 59% (19/32) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (17/33) | 50% (12/24) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 33% (2/6) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 41% (13/32) | 32% (12/37) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (12/24) | 48% (16/33) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 67% (4/6) | 60% (3/5) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (42/70) | 55% (31/56) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (25/56) | 40% (28/70) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (67/126) | 47% (59/126) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 60% (6/10) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 27% (3/11) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 57% (12/21) | 43% (9/21) |
Chances of winning
Jan Choinski
28.5% | Joao Fonseca
71.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jan Choinski's form might have worsened.Joao Fonseca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Joao Fonseca's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jan Choinski, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Joao Fonseca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Jan Choinski - Joao Fonseca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.25 ↑
(2.55) |
|
1.32 ↓
(1.47) |
6.7%
(7.4%) | |
What is the prediction for Jan Choinski - Joao Fonseca?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Choinski will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Fonseca will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fonseca: 68.4% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Choinski is ranked ATP: 185. Fonseca is ranked ATP: 150.
- Both players are now playing unstable.
- Fonseca could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Fonseca will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Choinski won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1
How many head-to-head matches has Jan Choinski won against Joao Fonseca?
Jan Choinski has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Joao Fonseca won against Jan Choinski?
Joao Fonseca has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jan Choinski - Joao Fonseca were as follows:
03.04.2024
Jan Choinski
-
Joao Fonseca
2:1
Latest results of Jan Choinski
Latest results of Joao Fonseca
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Berankis R. (LL) | Squire H. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Pellegrino A. | Gautier A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Rehberg M. H. (Q) | Blancaneaux G. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Rodriguez Taverna S. | Marterer M. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Fearnley J. (4) | Royer V. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Kachmazov A. | Nava E. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Nishikori K. | Alvarez Varona N. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Shelbayh A. (Q) | Kym J. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Kukushkin M. (6) | Arnaboldi F. (Alt) | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Yevseyev D. | Ojakaar O. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Kaukovalta P. (WC) | Paldanius O. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Molleker R. (Alt) | Virtanen O. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Nardi L. (5) | Oliveira G. (RET.) (SE) | 1 : 0 |
| 14 | Holmgren A. | Butvilas E. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Kopp S. (Q) | Choinski J. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Fonseca J. | Sels J. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Squire H. | Pellegrino A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Rehberg M. H. | Marterer M. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Fearnley J. (4) | Nava E. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Nishikori K. | Kym J. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Arnaboldi F. | Yevseyev D. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Kaukovalta P. | Virtanen O. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Nardi L. (5) | Holmgren A. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Choinski J. | Fonseca J. | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Squire H. | Rehberg M. H. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Fearnley J. (4) | Nishikori K. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Yevseyev D. | Virtanen O. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Nardi L. (5) | Choinski J. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Rehberg M. H. | Nishikori K. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Yevseyev D. | Nardi L. (5) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Nishikori K. | Nardi L. (5) | 2 : 1 |
