Jan Choinski vs Jozef Kovalik – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Tulln Challenger Men Jan Choinski - Jozef Kovalik
Result
2:0
02/09/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tulln, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
30
Double Faults
11
1st Serve Percentage
51%43%
1st Serve Points Won
94% (17/18)29% (5/17)
2nd Serve Points Won
65% (11/17)48% (11/23)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/0)17% (1/6)
1st Return Points Won
71% (12/17)6% (1/18)
2nd Return Points Won
52% (12/23)35% (6/17)
Break Points Converted
83% (5/6)0% (0/0)
Service Points Won
80% (28/35)40% (16/40)
Return Points Won
60% (24/40)20% (7/35)
Total Points Won
69% (52/75)31% (23/75)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
100% (7/7)29% (2/7)
Return Games Won
71% (5/7)0% (0/7)
Total Games Won
86% (12/14)14% (2/14)

Chances of winning


Jan Choinski
59.1%
Jozef Kovalik
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.9% 50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47% 53%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jan Choinski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jan Choinski's performance.
  • Jozef Kovalik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jozef Kovalik might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (-12.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jan Choinski that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jozef Kovalik than the current prediction. (+12.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jozef Kovalik could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Jan Choinski - Jozef Kovalik Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.88)

    2.33
    (1.87)
    5.8%
    (6.7%)
    What is the prediction for Jan Choinski - Jozef Kovalik?
  • Users Predictions: Jozef Kovalik will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Choinski is ranked ATP: 150. Kovalik is ranked ATP: 577.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Choinski may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Choinski won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jan Choinski - Jozef Kovalik were as follows:
    10.06.2025 Jan Choinski - Jozef Kovalik 2:0
    Latest results of Jan Choinski
    Latest results of Jozef Kovalik
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Choinski J. (1)Kovalik J. (Q)2 : 0
    2Schwaerzler J. J. (WC)Pereira T.2 : 1
    3Nagal S.Poljicak M.2 : 0
    4Jianu F. C.Barrena A. (8)2 : 0
    5Trungelliti M. (4)Gakhov I.2 : 0
    6Kolar Z. (Q)Mikrut L.1 : 2
    7Denolly C.Kopp S. (WC)1 : 2
    8Mrva M. (Q)Sachko V. (6)0 : 2
    9Rodriguez Taverna S. (5)Erhard M.2 : 0
    10Sels J.Dedura D. (NG)1 : 2
    11Molleker R. (Q)Poljak D. (Q)2 : 1
    12Prihodko O.Neumayer L. (3)2 : 1
    13Stricker D. (7)Topo M.0 : 2
    14Paulson A. (PR)Berrettini J.2 : 0
    15Wehnelt K. (Q)Oberleitner N. (WC)2 : 0
    16Kuzmanov D.Maestrelli F. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Choinski J. (1)Schwaerzler J. J.0 : 2
    2Nagal S.Jianu F. C.2 : 0
    3Trungelliti M. (4)Mikrut L.2 : 0
    4Kopp S.Sachko V. (6)2 : 1
    5Rodriguez Taverna S. (5)Dedura D.2 : 0
    6Molleker R.Prihodko O.0 : 2
    7Topo M.Paulson A.1 : 2
    8Wehnelt K.Maestrelli F. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Schwaerzler J. J.Nagal S.2 : 1
    2Trungelliti M. (4)Kopp S.2 : 0
    3Rodriguez Taverna S. (5)Prihodko O.2 : 0
    4Paulson A.Maestrelli F. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Schwaerzler J. J.Trungelliti M. (4)0 : 2
    2Rodriguez Taverna S. (5)Paulson A.1 : 2

    Final
    1Trungelliti M. (4)Paulson A.2 : 0