Jan Choinski vs Matej Dodig – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Bunschoten Challenger Men Jan Choinski - Matej Dodig
Result
2:0
16/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bunschoten, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
72
Double Faults
14
1st Serve Percentage
65%63%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (34/51)61% (36/59)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (14/27)43% (15/35)
Break Points Saved
80% (8/10)78% (14/18)
1st Return Points Won
39% (23/59)33% (17/51)
2nd Return Points Won
57% (20/35)48% (13/27)
Break Points Converted
22% (4/18)20% (2/10)
Service Points Won
62% (48/78)54% (51/94)
Return Points Won
46% (43/94)38% (30/78)
Total Points Won
53% (91/172)47% (81/172)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
82% (9/11)64% (7/11)
Return Games Won
36% (4/11)18% (2/11)
Total Games Won
59% (13/22)41% (9/22)

Chances of winning


Jan Choinski
53.4%
Matej Dodig
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1% 54.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jan Choinski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Matej Dodig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jan Choinski that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matej Dodig could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Jan Choinski - Matej Dodig Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.85)

    1.98
    (1.85)
    6.9%
    (8.1%)
    What is the prediction for Jan Choinski - Matej Dodig?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Choinski will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Dodig will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Choinski: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Choinski (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Choinski is ranked ATP: 176. Dodig is ranked ATP: 246.
    • Choinski is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Dodig is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Choinski may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Jan Choinski
    Latest results of Matej Dodig
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Piros Z. (1)Moeller M. (Q)0 : 2
    2Sels J. (LL)Kicker N. (Q)0 : 2
    3Reis Da Silva J.Coppejans K.1 : 2
    4Krumich M. (Q)Kuzmanov D. (8)1 : 2
    5Droguet T. (4)Matusevich A. (Q)2 : 0
    6Barrena A.Jianu F. C.2 : 0
    7Dutra Da Silva D. (LL)Bondioli F. (Q)0 : 2
    8Blancaneaux G.Tabur C. (7)2 : 0
    9Choinski J. (5)Balciunas M. (WC)2 : 0
    10Dodig M. (NG)Slump S. (Q)2 : 1
    11Ferreira Silva F.Gakhov I.2 : 1
    12Rottgering M. (WC)Hassan B. (3)0 : 2
    13Onclin G. (6)Giustino L.2 : 0
    14Houkes M.Geerts M. (Alt)2 : 0
    15Erhard M.Forger A. (WC)2 : 1
    16Pucinelli de Almeida M. (Alt)Den Ouden G. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Moeller M.Kicker N.0 : 2
    2Coppejans K.Kuzmanov D. (8)2 : 0
    3Droguet T. (4)Barrena A.1 : 2
    4Bondioli F.Blancaneaux G.1 : 2
    5Choinski J. (5)Dodig M.2 : 0
    6Ferreira Silva F.Hassan B. (3)1 : 2
    7Onclin G. (6)Houkes M.2 : 0
    8Erhard M.Den Ouden G. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Kicker N.Coppejans K.1 : 2
    2Barrena A.Blancaneaux G.2 : 0
    3Choinski J. (5)Hassan B. (3)2 : 0
    4Onclin G. (6)Den Ouden G. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Coppejans K.Barrena A.2 : 1
    2Choinski J. (5)Den Ouden G. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Coppejans K.Choinski J. (5)1 : 2