Result
1:2
16/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Murcia, clay - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 67% | 67% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 59% (41/70) | 58% (34/59) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 49% (17/35) | 59% (17/29) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 5/11 | 3/8 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 42% (25/59) | 43% (30/70) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 41% (12/29) | 51% (18/35) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 5/8 | 6/11 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 30 | 27 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 48 | 45 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 80% (12/15) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (57/104) | 58% (51/88) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (37/88) | 45% (47/104) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (94/192) | 51% (98/192) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 67% (10/15) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 40% (6/15) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 47% (14/30) | 53% (16/30) |
Chances of winning
Miguel Damas
32.9% | Jan Choinski
67.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Miguel Damas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Miguel Damas's form might have worsened.Jan Choinski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jan Choinski's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miguel Damas than the current prediction. (+10.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Miguel Damas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (-10.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jan Choinski, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Miguel Damas - Jan Choinski Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.86 ↑
(2.41) |
|
1.4 ↓
(1.52) |
6.5%
(7.4%) | |
What is the prediction for Miguel Damas - Jan Choinski?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Damas will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Choinski will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Damas: 45% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +4 Games - Damas (1.79) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 Sets - Damas (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Miguel Damas will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Damas (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Damas is ranked ATP: 278. Choinski is ranked ATP: 122.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Damas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Choinski could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Damas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Miguel Damas won against Jan Choinski?
Miguel Damas has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jan Choinski won against Miguel Damas?
Jan Choinski has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Miguel Damas - Jan Choinski were as follows:
07.10.2025
Jan Choinski
-
Miguel Damas
2:1
Latest results of Miguel Damas
Latest results of Jan Choinski
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | De Jong J. (1) | Hassan B. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Wessels L. (Q) | Houkes M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Jorda Sanchis D. (Q/LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Damas M. | Choinski J. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Ofner S. (4) | Ferreira Silva F. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Brancaccio R. (WC) | Sanchez Quilez A. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Butvilas E. | Kukushkin M. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Sanchez Izquierdo N. | Carballes Baena R. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Pellegrino A. (7) | Martin Tiffon P. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Engel J. | Shelbayh A. (Alt) | |
| 11 | Gill F. (Q) | Pieczonka F. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Sanchez Jover C. (Alt) | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Moller E. (5) | Coppejans K. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Gakhov I. | Negritu Ch. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Bailly G. A. | Purtseladze S. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Moro Canas A. | Gaubas V. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | De Jong J. (1) | Houkes M. | |
| 2 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Choinski J. (6) | |
| 3 | Ofner S. (4) | Brancaccio R. | |
| 4 | Kukushkin M. | Carballes Baena R. (8) | |
| 5 | Pellegrino A. (7) | TBD #10 | |
| 6 | Gill F. | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | |
| 7 | Coppejans K. | Negritu Ch. | |
| 8 | Bailly G. A. | Moro Canas A. | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
