Result
2:3
26/08/2024 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: US Open (USA), hard - 1/64-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 62% | 51% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 70% (71/102) | 79% (67/85) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (30/63) | 54% (45/83) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 82% (14/17) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 21% (18/85) | 30% (31/102) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (38/83) | 52% (33/63) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 33% (6/18) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 66 | 41 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 74 | 25 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 75% (50/67) | 71% (12/17) |
| Max Points In Row |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 61% (101/165) | 67% (112/168) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 33% (56/168) | 39% (64/165) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (157/333) | 53% (176/333) |
| Max Games In Row |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 75% (18/24) | 88% (23/26) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 12% (3/26) | 25% (6/24) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 42% (21/50) | 58% (29/50) |
Chances of winning
Jan Choinski
36.5% | Roberto Carballes Baena
63.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jan Choinski's form might have worsened.Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roberto Carballes Baena's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jan Choinski, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roberto Carballes Baena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Jan Choinski - Roberto Carballes Baena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.62 ↑
(2.13) |
|
1.51 ↓
(1.61) |
4.5%
(9.1%) | |
What is the prediction for Jan Choinski - Roberto Carballes Baena?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Choinski will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Carballes Baena will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carballes Baena: 58.6% – 97%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:3.
Preview Facts
- Choinski is ranked ATP: 281. Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 54.
- Recent matches Choinski is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Carballes Baena is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Choinski could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Carballes Baena will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Recently, the players did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Jan Choinski won against Roberto Carballes Baena?
Jan Choinski has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Roberto Carballes Baena won against Jan Choinski?
Roberto Carballes Baena has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jan Choinski - Roberto Carballes Baena were as follows:
Latest results of Jan Choinski
Latest results of Roberto Carballes Baena
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | McDonald M. | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | Spizzirri E. (Q) | Michelsen A. | 0 : 3 |
| 3 | Bellucci M. (Q) | Wawrinka S. (WC) | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | O'Connell C. | Jarry N. (26) | 3 : 1 |
| 5 | Fils A. (24) | Tien L. (WC) | 3 : 1 |
| 6 | Munar J. | Diallo G. (Q) | 1 : 3 |
| 7 | Purcell M. | Vukic A. | 3 : 0 |
| 8 | Sonego L. | Paul T. (14) | 1 : 3 |
| 9 | Tsitsipas S. (11) | Kokkinakis T. | 1 : 3 |
| 10 | Borges N. | Coria F. | 3 : 0 |
| 11 | Schoolkate T. (WC) | Daniel T. | 3 : 2 |
| 12 | Mensik J. | Auger-Aliassime F. (19) | 3 : 0 |
| 13 | Cobolli F. (31) | Duckworth J. | 3 : 1 |
| 14 | Bergs Z. | Kotov P. | 3 : 2 |
| 15 | Marozsan F. | Medjedovic H. (Q) | 3 : 2 |
| 16 | Lajovic D. | Medvedev D. (5) | 1 : 3 |
| 17 | Alcaraz C. (3) | Tu L. (Q) | 3 : 1 |
| 18 | Shapovalov D. | Van De Zandschulp B. | 0 : 3 |
| 19 | Diaz Acosta F. | Gaston H. | 3 : 0 |
| 20 | Zhang Z. (RET.) | Draper J. (25) | 0 : 2 |
| 21 | Tabilo A. (22) | Goffin D. | 0 : 3 |
| 22 | Coric B. | Mannarino A. | 0 : 3 |
| 23 | Fognini F. | Machac T. | 0 : 3 |
| 24 | Moutet C. | Korda S. (16) | 0 : 3 |
| 25 | De Minaur A. (10) | Giron M. | 3 : 1 |
| 26 | Virtanen O. (Q) | Halys Q. (Q) | 3 : 1 |
| 27 | Navone M. | Altmaier D. | 3 : 1 |
| 28 | Evans D. | Khachanov K. (23) | 3 : 2 |
| 29 | Arnaldi M. (30) | Svajda Z. (WC) | 3 : 0 |
| 30 | Forbes M. (WC) | Safiullin R. | 0 : 3 |
| 31 | Lestienne C. | Thompson J. | 0 : 3 |
| 32 | Skatov T. (Q) | Hurkacz H. (7) | 0 : 3 |
| 33 | Ruud C. (8) | Bu Y. (Q) | 3 : 0 |
| 34 | Monfils G. | Schwartzman D. (Q) | 3 : 1 |
| 35 | Choinski J. (Q) | Carballes Baena R. | 2 : 3 |
| 36 | Shang J. | Bublik A. (27) | 3 : 2 |
| 37 | Humbert U. (17) | Monteiro T. | 3 : 0 |
| 38 | Stricker D. | Comesana F. | 1 : 3 |
| 39 | Ramos A. | Berrettini M. | 0 : 3 |
| 40 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Fritz T. (12) | 0 : 3 |
| 41 | Rune H. (15) | Nakashima B. | 0 : 3 |
| 42 | Cazaux A. | Carreno-Busta P. | 3 : 0 |
| 43 | Nishioka Y. (RET.) | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 2 |
| 44 | Opelka R. | Musetti L. (18) | 1 : 3 |
| 45 | Cerundolo F. (29) | Ofner S. | 3 : 1 |
| 46 | Mpetshi Perricard G. | Etcheverry T. M. | 0 : 3 |
| 47 | Muller A. (WC) | Walton A. | 3 : 1 |
| 48 | Marterer M. (LL) | Zverev A. (4) | 1 : 3 |
| 49 | Rublev A. (6) | Seyboth Wild T. | 3 : 0 |
| 50 | Eubanks C. (WC) | Rinderknech A. | 2 : 3 |
| 51 | Grenier H. (Q) | Krueger M. (Q) | 1 : 3 |
| 52 | Fucsovics M. (RET.) | Lehecka J. (32) | 1 : 2 |
| 53 | Baez S. (21) | Darderi L. | 3 : 1 |
| 54 | Nagal S. | Griekspoor T. | 0 : 3 |
| 55 | Hijikata R. | Davidovich Fokina A. | 3 : 1 |
| 56 | Jacquet K. (Q) | Dimitrov G. (9) | 0 : 3 |
| 57 | Shelton B. (13) | Thiem D. (WC) | 3 : 0 |
| 58 | Nardi L. | Bautista-Agut R. | 0 : 3 |
| 59 | Shevchenko A. | Koepfer D. | 3 : 1 |
| 60 | Kovacevic A. | Tiafoe F. (20) | 1 : 3 |
| 61 | Popyrin A. (28) | Kwon S. | 3 : 0 |
| 62 | Martinez P. | Kasnikowski M. (Q) | 3 : 2 |
| 63 | Djere L. | Struff J-L. | 3 : 2 |
| 64 | Albot R. (Q) | Djokovic N. (2) | 0 : 3 |
1/32-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Michelsen A. | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Bellucci M. | O'Connell C. | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Fils A. (24) | Diallo G. | 1 : 3 |
| 4 | Purcell M. (RET.) | Paul T. (14) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Kokkinakis T. | Borges N. | 0 : 3 |
| 6 | Schoolkate T. | Mensik J. | 2 : 3 |
| 7 | Cobolli F. (31) | Bergs Z. | 3 : 1 |
| 8 | Marozsan F. | Medvedev D. (5) | 0 : 3 |
| 9 | Alcaraz C. (3) | Van De Zandschulp B. | 0 : 3 |
| 10 | Diaz Acosta F. | Draper J. (25) | 0 : 3 |
| 11 | Goffin D. | Mannarino A. | 3 : 1 |
| 12 | Machac T. | Korda S. (16) | 3 : 0 |
| 13 | De Minaur A. (10) | Virtanen O. | 3 : 0 |
| 14 | Navone M. | Evans D. | 0 : 3 |
| 15 | Arnaldi M. (30) | Safiullin R. | 3 : 0 |
| 16 | Thompson J. | Hurkacz H. (7) | 3 : 0 |
| 17 | Ruud C. (8) | Monfils G. | 3 : 1 |
| 18 | Carballes Baena R. | Shang J. | 0 : 3 |
| 19 | Humbert U. (17) | Comesana F. | 1 : 3 |
| 20 | Berrettini M. | Fritz T. (12) | 0 : 3 |
| 21 | Nakashima B. | Cazaux A. | 3 : 0 |
| 22 | Kecmanovic M. | Musetti L. (18) | 2 : 3 |
| 23 | Cerundolo F. (29) | Etcheverry T. M. | 2 : 3 |
| 24 | Muller A. | Zverev A. (4) | 0 : 3 |
| 25 | Rublev A. (6) | Rinderknech A. | 3 : 2 |
| 26 | Krueger M. | Lehecka J. (32) | 2 : 3 |
| 27 | Baez S. (RET.) (21) | Griekspoor T. | 0 : 1 |
| 28 | Hijikata R. | Dimitrov G. (9) | 0 : 3 |
| 29 | Shelton B. (13) | Bautista-Agut R. | 3 : 0 |
| 30 | Shevchenko A. (RET.) | Tiafoe F. (20) | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Popyrin A. (28) | Martinez P. | 3 : 0 |
| 32 | Djere L. (RET.) | Djokovic N. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | O'Connell C. | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Diallo G. | Paul T. (14) | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Borges N. | Mensik J. | 3 : 2 |
| 4 | Cobolli F. (31) | Medvedev D. (5) | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Van De Zandschulp B. | Draper J. (25) | 0 : 3 |
| 6 | Goffin D. | Machac T. | 0 : 3 |
| 7 | De Minaur A. (10) | Evans D. | 3 : 1 |
| 8 | Arnaldi M. (30) | Thompson J. | 0 : 3 |
| 9 | Ruud C. (8) | Shang J. | 3 : 2 |
| 10 | Comesana F. | Fritz T. (12) | 0 : 3 |
| 11 | Nakashima B. | Musetti L. (18) | 3 : 1 |
| 12 | Etcheverry T. M. | Zverev A. (4) | 1 : 3 |
| 13 | Rublev A. (6) | Lehecka J. (32) | 3 : 0 |
| 14 | Griekspoor T. | Dimitrov G. (9) | 0 : 3 |
| 15 | Shelton B. (13) | Tiafoe F. (20) | 2 : 3 |
| 16 | Popyrin A. (28) | Djokovic N. (2) | 3 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Paul T. (14) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Borges N. | Medvedev D. (5) | 0 : 3 |
| 3 | Draper J. (25) | Machac T. | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | De Minaur A. (10) | Thompson J. | 3 : 1 |
| 5 | Ruud C. (8) | Fritz T. (12) | 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Nakashima B. | Zverev A. (4) | 1 : 3 |
| 7 | Rublev A. (6) | Dimitrov G. (9) | 2 : 3 |
| 8 | Tiafoe F. (20) | Popyrin A. (28) | 3 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Medvedev D. (5) | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | Draper J. (25) | De Minaur A. (10) | 3 : 0 |
| 3 | Fritz T. (12) | Zverev A. (4) | 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Dimitrov G. (RET.) (9) | Tiafoe F. (20) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Draper J. (25) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Fritz T. (12) | Tiafoe F. (20) | 3 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Fritz T. (12) | 3 : 0 |
