Jan Choinski vs Roberto Carballes Baena – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP US Open Jan Choinski - Roberto Carballes Baena
Result
2:3
26/08/2024 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: US Open (USA), hard - 1/64-finals

Match Stats

Aces
918
Double Faults
58
1st Serve Percentage
62%51%
1st Serve Points Won
70% (71/102)79% (67/85)
2nd Serve Points Won
48% (30/63)54% (45/83)
Break Points Saved
67% (12/18)82% (14/17)
1st Return Points Won
21% (18/85)30% (31/102)
2nd Return Points Won
46% (38/83)52% (33/63)
Break Points Converted
18% (3/17)33% (6/18)
Winners
6641
Unforced Errors
7425
Net Points Won
75% (50/67)71% (12/17)
Max Points In Row
67
Service Points Won
61% (101/165)67% (112/168)
Return Points Won
33% (56/168)39% (64/165)
Total Points Won
47% (157/333)53% (176/333)
Max Games In Row
33
Service Games Won
75% (18/24)88% (23/26)
Return Games Won
12% (3/26)25% (6/24)
Total Games Won
42% (21/50)58% (29/50)

Chances of winning


Jan Choinski
36.5%
Roberto Carballes Baena
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43% 57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 56.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jan Choinski's form might have worsened.
  • Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roberto Carballes Baena's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jan Choinski, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roberto Carballes Baena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Jan Choinski - Roberto Carballes Baena Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.62
    (2.13)

    1.51
    (1.61)
    4.5%
    (9.1%)
    What is the prediction for Jan Choinski - Roberto Carballes Baena?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Choinski will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Carballes Baena will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Carballes Baena: 58.6%97%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • Choinski is ranked ATP: 281. Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 54.
    • Recent matches Choinski is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Carballes Baena is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Choinski could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Carballes Baena will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Jan Choinski
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Quarter-finals
    1Cazaux A. (1)Lajal M.2 : 0
    2Clarke J.Satterfield J. (WC)2 : 0
    3Daniel T.Sachko V.2 : 0
    4Chidekh C.Struff J-L. (31)0 : 2
    5De Jong J. (2)Gaubas V.2 : 0
    6Monday J.Mayot H.0 : 2
    7Rodriguez Taverna S.Krueger M.1 : 2
    8Choinski J.Collarini A. (Alt)0 : 2
    9Taberner C. (3)Kym J.0 : 2
    10Zheng M. (WC)Uchiyama Y.2 : 0
    11Lajovic D.van Assche L.0 : 2
    12Wu Y.Ficovich J. P. (17)2 : 0
    13Cerundolo J. M. (4)Hemery C.2 : 0
    14Shimizu Y.Shimabukuro S.2 : 1
    15Damm M. (WC)Travaglia S.2 : 0
    16Hassan B.Barrios Vera T. (20)2 : 0
    17Duckworth J. (5)Bagnis F.2 : 0
    18Maestrelli F.McCabe J.1 : 2
    19Bouquier A.Piros Z.0 : 2
    20Kennedy J. (WC)Tirante T. A. (24)0 : 2
    21Basilashvili N. (6)Onclin G.2 : 1
    22Huesler M.Napolitano S.2 : 1
    23Zhukayev B.Pinnington Jones J.2 : 1
    24Holmgren A.Svajda Z. (22)0 : 2
    25Draxl L. (7)Jacquet K.0 : 2
    26Kubler J.Loffhagen G.2 : 0
    27Cassone M.Monteiro T.2 : 1
    28Galarneau A.Prizmic D. (19)0 : 2
    29Svrcina D. (8)Merida Aguilar D.1 : 2
    30Droguet T.Kachmazov A. (RET.)1 : 0
    31Martin Tiffon P. (RET.)Sun F.1 : 1
    32Harris L.Evans D. (18)2 : 1
    33Virtanen O. (9)Willwerth B. (WC)2 : 1
    34Pavlovic L.Riedi L.0 : 2
    35Bolt A.Crawford O.1 : 2
    36Johns G. (WC)Smith C. (27)2 : 0
    37Passaro F. (10)Hsu Y. H.2 : 1
    38Gueymard Wayenburg S.Pacheco Mendez R.1 : 2
    39Kypson P.Tomic B.0 : 2
    40Rocha H.Herbert P. (23)2 : 1
    41Blockx A. (11)Reis Da Silva J.2 : 0
    42Barrena A.Coppejans K.1 : 2
    43Zink T. (WC)Sakamoto R.1 : 2
    44Neumayer L.Buse I. (29)1 : 2
    45Mochizuki S. (12)Rodionov J.2 : 1
    46Burruchaga R. A.Engel J.2 : 1
    47Maloney P. (WC)Ymer E.2 : 0
    48Den Ouden G.Galan D. E. (32)0 : 2
    49Garin C. (13)Watanuki Y.2 : 0
    50Trungelliti M.Eubanks C.2 : 1
    51Martin A. (WC)Durasovic V.2 : 0
    52Llamas Ruiz P.Hanfmann Y. (21)2 : 1
    53Klein L. (14)Gomez F. A.0 : 2
    54Stricker D.Cina F.0 : 2
    55Grenier H.Jasika O.2 : 1
    56Tabur C.Landaluce M. (30)0 : 2
    57Faria J. (15)Noguchi R.2 : 1
    58Zeppieri G.Habib H.2 : 1
    59Gojo B.Blanchet U.1 : 2
    60Popko D.Seyboth Wild T. (26)2 : 0
    61Gigante M. (16)Butvilas E.2 : 1
    62Rodesch C.Wong C.0 : 2
    63Trotter J. K.Harris B.1 : 2
    64Kukushkin M.Pellegrino A. (28)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Cazaux A. (1)Clarke J.2 : 0
    2Daniel T.Struff J-L. (31)1 : 2
    3De Jong J. (2)Mayot H.2 : 1
    4Krueger M.Collarini A.2 : 0
    5Kym J.Zheng M.2 : 0
    6van Assche L.Wu Y.0 : 2
    7Cerundolo J. M. (4)Shimizu Y.0 : 2
    8Damm M.Hassan B.2 : 0
    9Duckworth J. (5)McCabe J.2 : 1
    10Piros Z.Tirante T. A. (24)2 : 0
    11Basilashvili N. (6)Huesler M.0 : 2
    12Zhukayev B.Svajda Z. (22)0 : 2
    13Jacquet K.Kubler J.0 : 2
    14Cassone M.Prizmic D. (19)0 : 2
    15Merida Aguilar D.Droguet T.2 : 1
    16Sun F.Harris L.0 : 2
    17Virtanen O. (9)Riedi L.0 : 2
    18Crawford O.Johns G.0 : 2
    19Passaro F. (10)Pacheco Mendez R.2 : 1
    20Tomic B.Rocha H.0 : 2
    21Blockx A. (RET.) (11)Coppejans K.0 : 1
    22Sakamoto R.Buse I. (29)1 : 2
    23Mochizuki S. (12)Burruchaga R. A.2 : 1
    24Maloney P.Galan D. E. (32)0 : 2
    25Garin C. (13)Trungelliti M.0 : 2
    26Martin A.Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 2
    27Gomez F. A.Cina F.2 : 1
    28Grenier H.Landaluce M. (30)2 : 0
    29Faria J. (15)Zeppieri G.2 : 0
    30Blanchet U.Popko D.2 : 0
    31Gigante M. (16)Wong C.1 : 2
    32Harris B.Kukushkin M.2 : 1

    Final
    1Cazaux A. (1)Struff J-L. (31)0 : 2
    2De Jong J. (2)Krueger M.2 : 0
    3Kym J.Wu Y.2 : 0
    4Shimizu Y.Damm M.0 : 2
    5Duckworth J. (5)Piros Z.1 : 2
    6Huesler M.Svajda Z. (22)0 : 2
    7Kubler J.Prizmic D. (19)1 : 2
    8Merida Aguilar D.Harris L.0 : 2
    9Riedi L.Johns G.2 : 0
    10Passaro F. (10)Rocha H.2 : 0
    11Coppejans K.Buse I. (29)0 : 2
    12Mochizuki S. (12)Galan D. E. (32)2 : 0
    13Trungelliti M.Llamas Ruiz P.1 : 2
    14Gomez F. A.Grenier H.2 : 1
    15Faria J. (15)Blanchet U.0 : 2
    16Wong C.Harris B.2 : 0