Jan Kumstat vs Maks Kasnikowski – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
25/11/2025 at 05:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Athens 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
114
Double Faults
42
1st Serve Percentage
60%60%
1st Serve Points Won
81% (42/52)69% (35/51)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (17/34)47% (16/34)
Break Points Saved
60% (3/5)64% (7/11)
1st Return Points Won
31% (16/51)19% (10/52)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (18/34)50% (17/34)
Break Points Converted
36% (4/11)40% (2/5)
Winners
4320
Unforced Errors
3522
Net Points Won
64% (7/11)50% (8/16)
Service Points Won
69% (59/86)60% (51/85)
Return Points Won
40% (34/85)31% (27/86)
Total Points Won
54% (93/171)46% (78/171)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
87% (13/15)71% (10/14)
Return Games Won
29% (4/14)13% (2/15)
Total Games Won
59% (17/29)41% (12/29)

Chances of winning


Jan Kumstat
38.1%
Maks Kasnikowski
61.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.4% 68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29% 71%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jan Kumstat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jan Kumstat's performance.
  • Maks Kasnikowski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maks Kasnikowski might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan Kumstat than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jan Kumstat that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maks Kasnikowski than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maks Kasnikowski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Jan Kumstat - Maks Kasnikowski Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.44
    (2.95)

    1.53
    (1.35)
    6.2%
    (8%)
    What is the prediction for Jan Kumstat - Maks Kasnikowski?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kumstat will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Kasnikowski will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kasnikowski (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Kumstat is ranked ATP: 701. Kasnikowski is ranked ATP: 409.
    • Kumstat has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Kasnikowski is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Kumstat may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Kasnikowski is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Kasnikowski will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Jan Kumstat
    Latest results of Maks Kasnikowski
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Fery A. (1)Thanos A.2 : 1
    2Fajta P. (Alt)Molleker R.1 : 2
    3Sakellaridis D. (WC)Dalla Valle E.0 : 2
    4Robertson C. (Q)Coulibaly E. (5)0 : 2
    5Wendelken H. (3)Efstathiou M. (WC)1 : 2
    6Callejon H. S. (Alt)Wallin O.2 : 0
    7Barroso Campos A. (Q)Tsitsipas Pa. (WC)2 : 0
    8Ribecai M.Dedura D. (8)2 : 1
    9Potenza L. (6)Braynin A. (Q)0 : 2
    10Vylegzhanin N.Angelini L. (Q)2 : 0
    11Kumstat J. (Q)Kasnikowski M. (Alt)2 : 1
    12Geerts M.Hussey G. (4)2 : 0
    13Henning P. (7)Basile P. (RET.) (Q)1 : 0
    14Caniato C. A.Story J.0 : 2
    15Prihodko O.Zapata Miralles B.2 : 1
    16Preda L. (RET.) (JR)Kopp S. (2)0 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Fery A. (1)Molleker R. (RET.)0 : 0
    2Dalla Valle E.Coulibaly E. (5)0 : 2
    3Efstathiou M.Callejon H. S.1 : 2
    4Barroso Campos A.Ribecai M.2 : 1
    5Braynin A.Vylegzhanin N.0 : 2
    6Kumstat J.Geerts M.0 : 2
    7Henning P. (7)Story J.2 : 0
    8Prihodko O.Kopp S. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Fery A. (1)Coulibaly E. (5)2 : 0
    2Callejon H. S. (RET.)Barroso Campos A.1 : 1
    3Vylegzhanin N.Geerts M.0 : 2
    4Henning P. (7)Kopp S. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Fery A. (1)Barroso Campos A.2 : 1
    2Geerts M.Kopp S. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Fery A. (1)Geerts M.1 : 2