Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublik – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
24/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Dubai, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
912
Double Faults
22
1st serve percentage
76%67%
1st serve points won
68% (30/44)83% (29/35)
2nd serve points won
43% (6/14)59% (10/17)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/3)100% (3/3)
1st return points won
20% (7/35)32% (14/44)
2nd return points won
41% (7/17)57% (8/14)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/3)100% (3/3)
Winners
2326
Unforced errors
2215
Net points won
67% (6/9)75% (3/4)
Service Points Won
62% (36/58)75% (39/52)
Return Points Won
25% (13/52)38% (22/58)
Total Points Won
45% (49/110)55% (61/110)
Last 10 balls
28
Match points saved
00
Service games won
70% (7/10)100% (9/9)
Return games won
0% (0/9)30% (3/10)
Total games won
37% (7/19)63% (12/19)

Chances of winning


Jan-Lennard Struff
31%
Alexander Bublik
69%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.3% 71.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8% 70.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jan-Lennard Struff has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan-Lennard Struff than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Jan-Lennard Struff - Alexander Bublik Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.02
    (3.34)

    1.37
    (1.32)
    5.9%
    (5.7%)
    What is the prediction for Jan-Lennard Struff - Alexander Bublik?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Struff will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Bublik will win (votes: 15 - 88.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bublik: 72.9%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alexander Bublik will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Struff is ranked ATP: 80. Bublik is ranked ATP: 10.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Struff won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Bublik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Bublik is the team to beat.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Struff won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jan-Lennard Struff - Alexander Bublik were as follows:
    12.02.2026 Jan-Lennard Struff - Alexander Bublik 1:2
    30.05.2024 Jan-Lennard Struff - Alexander Bublik 3:0
    22.06.2023 Alexander Bublik - Jan-Lennard Struff 2:1
    18.03.2023 Jan-Lennard Struff - Alexander Bublik 2:1
    Latest results of Alexander Bublik
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Zhang Z. (PR)2 : 0
    2Echargui M. (WC)Mpetshi Perricard G. (Q)1 : 2
    3Carreno-Busta P. (Q)Shapovalov D.2 : 0
    4Nardi L. (LL)Lehecka J. (8)1 : 2
    5Medvedev D. (3)Shang J. (PR)2 : 0
    6Wawrinka S. (WC)Hassan B. (WC)2 : 0
    7Bergs Z.Brooksby J.0 : 2
    8Shevchenko A. (LL)Khachanov K. (7)1 : 2
    9Rublev A. (5)Royer V.2 : 0
    10Humbert U.Tsitsipas S.2 : 0
    11Marozsan F.Rinderknech A.1 : 2
    12Halys Q. (Q)Draper J. (4)0 : 2
    13Mensik J. (6)Hurkacz H.2 : 0
    14Popyrin A.Majchrzak K.2 : 1
    15Virtanen O. (Q)Griekspoor T.0 : 2
    16Struff J-L. (LL)Bublik A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 0
    2Carreno-Busta P.Lehecka J. (8)0 : 2
    3Medvedev D. (3)Wawrinka S.2 : 0
    4Brooksby J.Khachanov K. (7)2 : 0
    5Rublev A. (5)Humbert U.2 : 1
    6Rinderknech A.Draper J. (4)2 : 1
    7Mensik J. (6)Popyrin A.2 : 0
    8Griekspoor T.Bublik A. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Lehecka J. (8)2 : 0
    2Medvedev D. (3)Brooksby J.2 : 0
    3Rublev A. (5)Rinderknech A.2 : 0
    4Mensik J. (6)Griekspoor T.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Medvedev D. (3)0 : 2
    2Rublev A. (5)Griekspoor T.0 : 2

    Final
    1Medvedev D. (WO.) (3)Griekspoor T.