Jan-Lennard Struff vs Mackenzie McDonald – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Almaty Jan-Lennard Struff - Mackenzie McDonald
Result
2:1
15/10/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Almaty, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
85
Double Faults
22
1st Serve Percentage
76%77%
1st Serve Points Won
79% (44/56)80% (40/50)
2nd Serve Points Won
56% (10/18)47% (7/15)
Break Points Saved
60% (3/5)0% (0/2)
1st Return Points Won
20% (10/50)21% (12/56)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (8/15)44% (8/18)
Break Points Converted
100% (2/2)40% (2/5)
Winners
611
Unforced Errors
128
Service Points Won
73% (54/74)72% (47/65)
Return Points Won
28% (18/65)27% (20/74)
Total Points Won
52% (72/139)48% (67/139)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
86% (12/14)85% (11/13)
Return Games Won
15% (2/13)14% (2/14)
Total Games Won
52% (14/27)48% (13/27)

Chances of winning


Jan-Lennard Struff
55.7%
Mackenzie McDonald
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57% 43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9% 44.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jan-Lennard Struff has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Mackenzie McDonald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan-Lennard Struff than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Jan-Lennard Struff - Mackenzie McDonald Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.67)

    2.16
    (2.21)
    3.3%
    (5.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Struff is ranked ATP: 98. McDonald is ranked ATP: 99.
    • Struff is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • McDonald is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • McDonald may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Struff will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • We predict that McDonald will win today's game, with odds of 2.4.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Struff won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jan-Lennard Struff - Mackenzie McDonald were as follows:
    25.08.2025 Jan-Lennard Struff - Mackenzie McDonald 3:1
    Latest results of Jan-Lennard Struff
    Latest results of Mackenzie McDonald
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Khachanov K. (1)Bye
    2Struff J-L.McDonald M.2 : 1
    3Djere L.Shevchenko A.0 : 2
    4Tomic B. (Q)Moutet C. (8)0 : 2
    5Darderi L. (4)Bye
    6Cazaux A.Mochizuki S.0 : 2
    7Vukic A.Topo M. (Q)2 : 1
    8Zhukayev B. (WC)Michelsen A. (6)0 : 2
    9Diallo G. (7)Omarkhanov A. (WC)2 : 0
    10Blanchet U. (Q)Duckworth J. (Q)0 : 2
    11Hijikata R. (LL)Skatov T. (WC)2 : 1
    12ByeCobolli F. (3)
    13Nakashima B. (5)Medjedovic H.2 : 0
    14Marozsan F.Nardi L.2 : 0
    15Schoolkate T.Walton A.1 : 2
    16ByeMedvedev D. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Khachanov K. (1)Struff J-L.1 : 2
    2Shevchenko A.Moutet C. (8)0 : 2
    3Darderi L. (4)Mochizuki S.0 : 2
    4Vukic A.Michelsen A. (6)0 : 2
    5Diallo G. (7)Duckworth J.1 : 2
    6Hijikata R.Cobolli F. (3)0 : 2
    7Nakashima B. (5)Marozsan F.0 : 2
    8Walton A.Medvedev D. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Struff J-L.Moutet C. (8)0 : 2
    2Mochizuki S.Michelsen A. (6)1 : 2
    3Duckworth J.Cobolli F. (3)2 : 0
    4Marozsan F.Medvedev D. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Moutet C. (8)Michelsen A. (6)
    2Duckworth J.Medvedev D. (2)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2