Jan-Lennard Struff vs Sebastian Baez – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Monte Carlo Jan-Lennard Struff - Sebastian Baez
Result
2:1
07/04/2024 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo (Monaco), clay - 1/32-finals
  • Referee: Gabas A. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFranceEurosport 2
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
92
Double Faults
55
1st Serve Percentage
51%62%
1st Serve Points Won
78% (38/49)64% (46/72)
2nd Serve Points Won
36% (17/47)44% (20/45)
Break Points Saved
62% (8/13)83% (20/24)
1st Return Points Won
39% (28/72)33% (16/49)
2nd Return Points Won
56% (25/45)64% (30/47)
Break Points Converted
17% (4/24)38% (5/13)
Winners
2725
Unforced Errors
3518
Net Points Won
54% (15/28)70% (7/10)
Max Points In Row
78
Service Points Won
57% (55/96)55% (64/117)
Return Points Won
45% (53/117)43% (41/96)
Total Points Won
51% (108/213)49% (105/213)
Max Games In Row
44
Service Games Won
64% (9/14)69% (9/13)
Return Games Won
31% (4/13)36% (5/14)
Total Games Won
48% (13/27)52% (14/27)

Chances of winning


Jan-Lennard Struff
34.3%
Sebastian Baez
65.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.9% 67.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32% 68%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jan-Lennard Struff has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan-Lennard Struff than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Jan-Lennard Struff - Sebastian Baez Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.79
    (2.9)

    1.45
    (1.42)
    4.6%
    (4.9%)
    What is the prediction for Jan-Lennard Struff - Sebastian Baez?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Struff will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). Baez will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Struff: 30.1%75.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
    • Struff could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Baez will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Struff won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
    Latest results of Jan-Lennard Struff
    Latest results of Sebastian Baez
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Bye
    2Navone M. (Q)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    3Lehecka J.Korda S.2 : 0
    4Bu Y. (Q)Musetti L. (13)1 : 2
    5Rune H. (RET.) (10)Borges N.0 : 1
    6Sonego L.Martinez P.1 : 2
    7Thompson J.Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 0
    8ByeTsitsipas S. (6)
    9Djokovic N. (3)Bye
    10Wawrinka S. (WC)Tabilo A.1 : 2
    11Struff J-L.Vacherot V. (WC)0 : 2
    12Jarry N.Dimitrov G. (15)0 : 2
    13Medvedev D. (9)Khachanov K.2 : 1
    14Muller A.Ugo Carabelli C. (Q)2 : 0
    15Machac T.Baez S.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (8)
    17Draper J. (5)Bye
    18Giron M.Shapovalov D.2 : 0
    19Etcheverry T. M.Moutet C. (Q)2 : 1
    20Davidovich Fokina A.Shelton B. (11)2 : 1
    21Tiafoe F. (14)Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    22Popyrin A.Humbert U.2 : 1
    23Bautista-Agut R.Nakashima B.2 : 0
    24ByeRuud C. (4)
    25Rublev A. (7)Bye
    26Monfils G.Marozsan F. (Q)2 : 1
    27Lajovic D. (Q)Cobolli F.0 : 2
    28Griekspoor T.Fils A. (12)1 : 2
    29Auger-Aliassime F. (16)Altmaier D. (Q)0 : 2
    30Arnaldi M.Gasquet R. (WC)1 : 2
    31Fognini F. (WC)Cerundolo F.0 : 2
    32ByeAlcaraz C. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Berrettini M.1 : 2
    2Lehecka J.Musetti L. (13)1 : 2
    3Borges N.Martinez P.2 : 1
    4Thompson J.Tsitsipas S. (6)1 : 2
    5Djokovic N. (3)Tabilo A.0 : 2
    6Vacherot V.Dimitrov G. (15)1 : 2
    7Medvedev D. (9)Muller A.2 : 1
    8Machac T.De Minaur A. (8)1 : 2
    9Draper J. (5)Giron M.2 : 0
    10Etcheverry T. M.Davidovich Fokina A.0 : 2
    11Tiafoe F. (14)Popyrin A.1 : 2
    12Bautista-Agut R.Ruud C. (4)0 : 2
    13Rublev A. (7)Monfils G.2 : 0
    14Cobolli F.Fils A. (12)0 : 2
    15Altmaier D.Gasquet R.2 : 1
    16Cerundolo F.Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Berrettini M.Musetti L. (13)0 : 2
    2Borges N.Tsitsipas S. (6)0 : 2
    3Tabilo A.Dimitrov G. (15)1 : 2
    4Medvedev D. (9)De Minaur A. (8)0 : 2
    5Draper J. (5)Davidovich Fokina A.1 : 2
    6Popyrin A.Ruud C. (4)2 : 1
    7Rublev A. (7)Fils A. (12)0 : 2
    8Altmaier D.Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Musetti L. (13)Tsitsipas S. (6)2 : 1
    2Dimitrov G. (15)De Minaur A. (8)0 : 2
    3Davidovich Fokina A.Popyrin A.2 : 0
    4Fils A. (12)Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Musetti L. (13)De Minaur A. (8)2 : 1
    2Davidovich Fokina A.Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Musetti L. (13)Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 2