Jan-Lennard Struff vs Sebastian Baez – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
07/04/2024 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo (Monaco), clay - 1/32-finals
  • Referee: Gabas A. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFranceEurosport 2
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
92
Double Faults
55
1st Serve Percentage
51%62%
1st Serve Points Won
78% (38/49)64% (46/72)
2nd Serve Points Won
36% (17/47)44% (20/45)
Break Points Saved
62% (8/13)83% (20/24)
1st Return Points Won
39% (28/72)33% (16/49)
2nd Return Points Won
56% (25/45)64% (30/47)
Break Points Converted
17% (4/24)38% (5/13)
Winners
2725
Unforced Errors
3518
Net Points Won
54% (15/28)70% (7/10)
Max Points In Row
78
Service Points Won
57% (55/96)55% (64/117)
Return Points Won
45% (53/117)43% (41/96)
Total Points Won
51% (108/213)49% (105/213)
Max Games In Row
44
Service Games Won
64% (9/14)69% (9/13)
Return Games Won
31% (4/13)36% (5/14)
Total Games Won
48% (13/27)52% (14/27)

Chances of winning


Jan-Lennard Struff
34.3%
Sebastian Baez
65.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.9% 67.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32% 68%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jan-Lennard Struff has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan-Lennard Struff than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Jan-Lennard Struff - Sebastian Baez Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.79
    (2.9)

    1.45
    (1.42)
    4.6%
    (4.9%)
    What is the prediction for Jan-Lennard Struff - Sebastian Baez?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Struff will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). Baez will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Struff: 30.1%75.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
    • Struff could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Baez will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Struff won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
    Latest results of Jan-Lennard Struff
    Latest results of Sebastian Baez
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Baez S.Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 0
    3Etcheverry T. M.Dimitrov G.2 : 1
    4Atmane T.Quinn E. (LL)2 : 0
    5Lehecka J. (11)Nava E. (Q)2 : 1
    6Fucsovics M.Tabilo A.0 : 2
    7Monfils G. (WC)Griekspoor T.2 : 1
    8ByeBublik A. (8)
    9Musetti L. (4)Bye
    10Vacherot V.Cerundolo J. M. (Q)2 : 1
    11Dzumhur D. (LL)Marozsan F.0 : 2
    12Hurkacz H. (PR)Darderi L. (15)2 : 1
    13Cobolli F. (10)Comesana F. (Q)2 : 1
    14Shapovalov D.Blockx A. (Q)1 : 2
    15Norrie C.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    18Bautista-Agut R. (RET.) (LL)Berrettini M. (WC)0 : 0
    19Fonseca J.Diallo G.2 : 0
    20Rinderknech A.Khachanov K. (12)2 : 0
    21Rublev A. (13)Borges N.2 : 1
    22Bergs Z.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    23Garin C. (Q)Arnaldi M. (LL)2 : 0
    24ByeZverev A. (3)
    25Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Bye
    26Cilic M.Shevchenko A. (Q)2 : 0
    27Moutet C.Muller A. (Q)2 : 0
    28Popyrin A.Ruud C. (9)0 : 2
    29Cerundolo F. (16)Tsitsipas S.2 : 0
    30Altmaier D.Machac T.1 : 2
    31Kouame M. (WC)Humbert U.0 : 2
    32ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Baez S.2 : 0
    2Etcheverry T. M.Atmane T.2 : 1
    3Lehecka J. (11)Tabilo A.2 : 1
    4Monfils G.Bublik A. (8)0 : 2
    5Musetti L. (4)Vacherot V.0 : 2
    6Marozsan F.Hurkacz H.0 : 2
    7Cobolli F. (10)Blockx A.0 : 2
    8Norrie C.De Minaur A. (5)1 : 2
    9Medvedev D. (7)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    10Fonseca J.Rinderknech A.2 : 1
    11Rublev A. (13)Bergs Z.0 : 2
    12Garin C.Zverev A. (3)1 : 2
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Cilic M.2 : 0
    14Moutet C.Ruud C. (9)0 : 2
    15Cerundolo F. (16)Machac T.0 : 2
    16Humbert U.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Etcheverry T. M.2 : 1
    2Lehecka J. (11)Bublik A. (8)0 : 2
    3Vacherot V.Hurkacz H.2 : 1
    4Blockx A.De Minaur A. (5)0 : 2
    5Berrettini M.Fonseca J.0 : 2
    6Bergs Z.Zverev A. (3)0 : 2
    7Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Ruud C. (RET.) (9)1 : 0
    8Machac T.Sinner J. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bublik A. (8)2 : 0
    2Vacherot V.De Minaur A. (5)2 : 1
    3Fonseca J.Zverev A. (3)1 : 2
    4Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Vacherot V.2 : 0
    2Zverev A. (3)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2