Jannik Sinner vs Alex De Minaur – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Beijing Jannik Sinner - Alex De Minaur
Result
2:1
30/09/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
75
Double Faults
01
1st Serve Percentage
64%68%
1st Serve Points Won
82% (50/61)56% (29/52)
2nd Serve Points Won
46% (16/35)68% (17/25)
Break Points Saved
92% (11/12)57% (4/7)
Average 1st Serve Speed
201 km/h186 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
163 km/h153 km/h
1st Return Points Won
44% (23/52)18% (11/61)
2nd Return Points Won
32% (8/25)54% (19/35)
Break Points Converted
43% (3/7)8% (1/12)
Service Points Won
69% (66/96)60% (46/77)
Return Points Won
40% (31/77)31% (30/96)
Total Points Won
56% (97/173)44% (76/173)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
93% (13/14)77% (10/13)
Return Games Won
23% (3/13)7% (1/14)
Total Games Won
59% (16/27)41% (11/27)

Chances of winning


Jannik Sinner
84.7%
Alex De Minaur
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
81.6% 18.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jannik Sinner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Alex De Minaur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Jannik Sinner - Alex De Minaur Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.14
    (1.17)

    6.17
    (5.2)
    4.3%
    (4.7%)
    What is the prediction for Jannik Sinner - Alex De Minaur?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Sinner will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). De Minaur will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sinner (votes: 1 - 50%). De Minaur (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sinner is ranked ATP: 2. De Minaur is ranked ATP: 8.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sinner won 5.
    • Sinner is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • De Minaur is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Sinner may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Sinner is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Sinner won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:1. (average 2.1:0.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jannik Sinner - Alex De Minaur were as follows:
    22.01.2025 Jannik Sinner - Alex De Minaur 3:0
    23.11.2024 Jannik Sinner - Alex De Minaur 2:0
    10.11.2024 Jannik Sinner - Alex De Minaur 2:0
    18.02.2024 Jannik Sinner - Alex De Minaur 2:0
    26.11.2023 Alex De Minaur - Jannik Sinner 0:2
    Latest results of Jannik Sinner
    Latest results of Alex De Minaur
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Cilic M.2 : 0
    2Atmane T. (Q)Zhang Z. (WC)2 : 0
    3Bonzi B.Marozsan F.0 : 2
    4Muller A.Khachanov K. (5)2 : 1
    5De Minaur A. (3)Bu Y. (WC)2 : 0
    6Goffin D. (Q)Rinderknech A. (LL)1 : 2
    7Shang J. (WC)Cazaux A. (Q)1 : 2
    8Kecmanovic M.Mensik J. (7)0 : 2
    9Rublev A. (6)Cobolli F.0 : 2
    10Tien L.Cerundolo F.2 : 1
    11Mannarino A. (Q)Bublik A.2 : 0
    12Mpetshi Perricard G.Musetti L. (4)1 : 2
    13Medvedev D. (8)Norrie C.2 : 0
    14Davidovich Fokina A.Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0
    15Moutet C.Griekspoor T.2 : 0
    16Sonego L.Zverev A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Atmane T.2 : 1
    2Marozsan F.Muller A.2 : 0
    3De Minaur A. (3)Rinderknech A.2 : 1
    4Cazaux A.Mensik J. (7)1 : 2
    5Cobolli F.Tien L.0 : 2
    6Mannarino A.Musetti L. (4)0 : 2
    7Medvedev D. (8)Davidovich Fokina A.2 : 0
    8Moutet C.Zverev A. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Marozsan F.2 : 0
    2De Minaur A. (3)Mensik J. (RET.) (7)0 : 0
    3Tien L.Musetti L. (RET.) (4)1 : 1
    4Medvedev D. (8)Zverev A. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)De Minaur A. (3)2 : 1
    2Tien L.Medvedev D. (RET.) (8)1 : 1

    Final
    1Sinner J. (1)Tien L.2 : 0