Jannik Sinner vs Alex De Minaur – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
15/11/2025 at 08:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Finals - Turin - Play Offs, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
78
Double Faults
02
1st Serve Percentage
75%52%
1st Serve Points Won
84% (37/44)63% (29/46)
2nd Serve Points Won
47% (7/15)45% (19/42)
Break Points Saved
100% (4/4)77% (10/13)
Average 1st Serve Speed
202 km/h194 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
158 km/h165 km/h
1st Return Points Won
37% (17/46)16% (7/44)
2nd Return Points Won
55% (23/42)53% (8/15)
Break Points Converted
23% (3/13)0% (0/4)
Winners
2921
Unforced Errors
2226
Net Points Won
58% (7/12)67% (8/12)
Service Points Won
75% (44/59)55% (48/88)
Return Points Won
45% (40/88)25% (15/59)
Total Points Won
57% (84/147)43% (63/147)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
100% (10/10)70% (7/10)
Return Games Won
30% (3/10)0% (0/10)
Total Games Won
65% (13/20)35% (7/20)

Chances of winning


Jannik Sinner
90%
Alex De Minaur
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
86.3% 13.8%

Jannik Sinner - Alex De Minaur Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.07
(1.1)

9.46
(6.9)
4%
(5.4%)
What is the prediction for Jannik Sinner - Alex De Minaur?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Sinner will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). De Minaur will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sinner: 29.2%76.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sinner (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sinner is ranked ATP: 2. De Minaur is ranked ATP: 7.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sinner won 5.
    • Sinner is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • De Minaur's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Sinner may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Sinner is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Sinner won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 27:2. (average 2.1:0.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jannik Sinner - Alex De Minaur were as follows:
    25.10.2025 Jannik Sinner - Alex De Minaur 2:0
    30.09.2025 Jannik Sinner - Alex De Minaur 2:1
    22.01.2025 Jannik Sinner - Alex De Minaur 3:0
    23.11.2024 Jannik Sinner - Alex De Minaur 2:0
    10.11.2024 Jannik Sinner - Alex De Minaur 2:0
    Latest results of Jannik Sinner
    Latest results of Alex De Minaur
    Draw
    Singles - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Auger-Aliassime F. (8)2 : 0
    2Sinner J. (2)De Minaur A. (7)2 : 0

    Final
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2