Result
0:4
24/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AFC Asian Cup U23 - Play Offs - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Malaysia | Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 2.15 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (301/377) | 86% (322/375) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 2.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 3.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (301/377) | 86% (322/375) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (21/61) | 57% (23/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (31/63) | 78% (131/169) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 23% (5/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.94 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (8/8) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 27 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.15 | 0.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.85 | 0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 12', 0 - 1, Ozeki Y. ⚽, Furuya S. (A),
- 20', 0 - 2, Ogura K. ⚽,
- 45', Ogura K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 59', 0 - 3, Sato R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 62', Xu Bin ↓, Chen Zeshi ↑,
- 62', Iminqari M. ↓, Wang B. ↑,
- 62', Li Zhenquan ↓, Bao Shengxin ↑,
- 62', Ozeki Y. ↓, Shimamoto Y. ↑,
- 76', 0 - 4, Ogura K. ⚽,
- 78', Xiang Yuwang ↓, Abduweli Behram ↑,
- 78', Yokoyama Y. ↓, Ishibashi S. ↑,
- 78', Ogura K. ↓, Okabe H. ↑,
- 78', Nwadike Uchebrian S. ↓, Michiwaki Y. ↑,
- 81', Abduweli Behram 🟨,
- 85', Wang Y. ↓, Kuai Jiwen ↑,
- 85', Sato R. ↓, Ishiwatari N. ↑,
Chances of winning
China U23
19.3% | Draw
25.5% | Japan U23
55.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
China U23 - Japan U23 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.82 ↓
(5.11) |
3.65 ↑
(3) |
1.69 ↑
(1.68) |
7.5%
(12.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for China U23 - Japan U23?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Japan U23 (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25, 1st Half - Japan U23 (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - China U23 (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Japan U23 will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. China U23 (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Japan U23 (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- China U23 is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Japan U23 is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- China U23 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Japan U23 is the team to beat.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, China U23 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has China U23 won against Japan U23?
China U23 has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Japan U23 won against China U23?
Japan U23 has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between China U23 - Japan U23 were as follows:
16.04.2024
Japan U23
-
China U23
1:0
Latest results of China U23
Latest results of Japan U23
Draw
Final tournamentQuarter-finals| 1 | Vietnam U23 | United Arab Emirates U23 | 3 : 2 |
| 2 | Uzbekistan U23 | China U23 | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Japan U23 | Jordan U23 | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Australia U23 | South Korea U23 | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Vietnam U23 | China U23 | 0 : 3 |
| 2 | Japan U23 | South Korea U23 | 1 : 0 |
Final3rd place| 2 | Vietnam U23 | South Korea U23 | 3 : 2 |
