Japan vs Brazil, Olympic Games - Basketball – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Olympic Games - Basketball Japan - Brazil
Result
84:102
02/08/2024 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WORLD: Olympic Games
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilSporTV
worldWorldEurosport 6, Max

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
7673
Field Goals Made
3038
Field Goals %
39.5%52.1%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
3545
2-Point Field Goals Made
1421
2-Point Field Goals %
40%46.7%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
4128
3-Point Field Goals Made
1617
3-Point Field Goals %
39%60.7%
Free Throws Attempted
1010
Free Throws Made
89
Free Throws %
80%90%
Offensive Rebounds
1416
Defensive Rebounds
2033
Total Rebounds
3449
Assists
1924
Blocks
65
Turnovers
912
Steals
44
Personal Fouls
1617

Chances of winning


Japan
34.8%
Brazil
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.9% 56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4% 53.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Japan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Japan's form might have worsened.
  • Brazil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brazil's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Japan than the current prediction. (+11.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Japan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brazil than the current prediction. (-11.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brazil, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Japan - Brazil Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.72
    (2.14)

    1.47
    (1.68)
    4.8%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 166.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

  • Watch this match and Olympic Games - Basketball with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : NBC Universo
  • What is the prediction for Japan - Brazil?
  • Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Japan will win (votes: 11 - 31.4%). Brazil will win (votes: 24 - 68.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Brazil: 53.2%84%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 80:86.
  • Preview Facts
    • Japan has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Brazil is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Japan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Japan
    30.07.2024 Japan - France 84:92
    27.07.2024 Germany - Japan 97:77
    21.07.2024 Serbia - Japan 119:100
    19.07.2024 Germany - Japan 104:83
    05.07.2024 Japan - South Korea 84:85
    Latest results of Brazil
    30.07.2024 Brazil - Germany 73:86
    27.07.2024 France - Brazil 78:66
    07.07.2024 Latvia - Brazil 69:94
    06.07.2024 Brazil - Philippines 71:60
    04.07.2024 Cameroon - Brazil 77:74
    Draw
    Final tournament

    Quarter-finals
    1GermanyGreece76 : 63
    2FranceCanada82 : 73
    3SerbiaAustralia95 : 90
    4BrazilUSA87 : 122

    Semi-finals
    1GermanyFrance69 : 73
    2SerbiaUSA91 : 95

    Final
    1FranceUSA87 : 98

    3rd place
    2GermanySerbia83 : 93