Japan vs Brazil, Friendly – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Friendly Japan - Brazil
Result
3:2
14/10/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Friendly International
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Xsports, Zapping
chinaChinaZhiBo8
japanJapanAbemaTV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.490.61
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
158
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
84% (294/349)90% (663/733)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.490.61
xG on target (xGOT)
2.350.79
Total shots
158
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
22
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2523
Accurate through passes
23
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
710
Passes
84% (294/349)90% (663/733)
Long passes
41% (14/34)56% (20/36)
Passes in final third
74% (93/125)82% (135/164)
Crosses
26% (5/19)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.630.97
Throw-ins
1719
Fouls
107
Tackles
80% (12/15)53% (8/15)
Duels won
4342
Clearances
2023
Interceptions
125
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.792.35
Goals prevented
-1.21-0.65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 26', 0 - 1, Paulo Henrique , Bruno Guimaraes (A),
  • 32', 0 - 2, Martinelli G. , Lucas Paqueta (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 52', 1 - 2, Minamino T. ,
  • 54', Sano K. , Ito J. ,
  • 57', Martinelli G. , Rodrygo ,
  • 57', Bruno Guimaraes , Joelinton ,
  • 57', Vinicius Junior , Cunha M. ,
  • 62', 2 - 2, Nakamura K. , Ito J. (A),
  • 71', 3 - 2, Ueda A. , Ito J. (A),
  • 74', Minamino T. , Tanaka A. ,
  • 74', Ueda A. , Machino S. ,
  • 75', Nakamura K. , Soma Y. ,
  • 75', Lucas Paqueta , Richarlison ,
  • 75', Luiz Henrique , Estêvão ,
  • 75', Carlos Augusto , Caio Henrique ,
  • 78', Doan R. 🟨,
  • 78', Estêvão 🟨,
  • 85', Doan R. , Mochizuki H. ,
  • 85', Kamada D. , Ogawa K. ,

Chances of winning


Japan
17.9%
Draw
20.6%
Brazil
61.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.4% 25.2% 55.5%

Japan - Brazil Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
5.21
(4.75)
4.58
(3.66)
1.56
(1.66)
5.1%
(8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Japan - Brazil?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • Users Predictions: Brazil will win (21 of 23 users predict this - 91.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.78%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Brazil will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Japan won 0.
    • In this match, Brazil is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Japan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1:15. (average 0.2:2.5).
    Latest results of Japan
    10.10.2025 Japan - Paraguay 2:2
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    06.09.2025 Mexico - Japan 0:0
    15.07.2025 South Korea - Japan 0:1
    12.07.2025 Japan - China 2:0
    Latest results of Brazil
    10.10.2025 South Korea - Brazil 0:5
    09.09.2025 Bolivia - Brazil 1:0
    04.09.2025 Brazil - Chile 3:0
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    05.06.2025 Ecuador - Brazil 0:0