Japan vs Paraguay, Friendly – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Friendly Japan - Paraguay
Result
2:2
10/10/2025 at 06:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Friendly International
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaZhiBo8
japanJapanAbemaTV, Nippon TV
paraguayParaguayTigo Sports

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.421.03
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
117
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
84% (434/518)83% (418/503)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.421.03
xG on target (xGOT)
1.620.45
Total shots
117
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
13
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
2310
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1014
Passes
84% (434/518)83% (418/503)
Long passes
50% (18/36)45% (29/64)
Passes in final third
70% (104/149)59% (27/46)
Crosses
35% (9/26)50% (2/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.130.60
Throw-ins
1418
Fouls
1410
Tackles
46% (6/13)68% (15/22)
Duels won
5147
Clearances
931
Interceptions
1118
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
0.451.62
Goals prevented
-1.55-0.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Almiron M. , Bobadilla D. (A),
  • 26', 1 - 1, Ogawa K. , Sano K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 63', Tanaka A. 🟨,
  • 64', 1 - 2, Gomez D. , Caceres J. (A),
  • 66', Minamino T. , Kamada D. ,
  • 66', Nakamura K. , Saito K. ,
  • 69', Gomez D. , Galarza M. ,
  • 78', Doan R. , Soma Y. ,
  • 78', Tanaka A. , Machino S. ,
  • 79', Sanabria A. , Martinez R. ,
  • 79', Gonzalez D. , Cuenca Martinez H. F. ,
  • 89', Ogawa K. , Ueda A. ,
  • 89', Sano K. , Fujita J. ,
  • 90+1', Almiron M. , Arce A. ,
  • 90+1', Cubas A. , Ojeda B. ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 2, Ueda A. , Ito J. (A),

Chances of winning


Japan
57.5%
Draw
25.1%
Paraguay
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.2% 26.5% 21.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Japan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Japan's performance.
  • Paraguay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Japan - Paraguay Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.8)
    3.83
    (3.55)
    5.46
    (4.4)
    5%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Japan - Paraguay?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Japan will win (votes: 18 - 78.3%). Paraguay will win (votes: 1 - 4.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Japan: 61.5%95.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Japan will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, Japan is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Japan won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 3.3:1).
    Latest results of Japan
    09.09.2025 USA - Japan 2:0
    06.09.2025 Mexico - Japan 0:0
    15.07.2025 South Korea - Japan 0:1
    12.07.2025 Japan - China 2:0
    08.07.2025 Japan - Hong Kong 6:1
    Latest results of Paraguay
    09.09.2025 Peru - Paraguay 0:1
    04.09.2025 Paraguay - Ecuador 0:0
    10.06.2025 Brazil - Paraguay 1:0
    05.06.2025 Paraguay - Uruguay 2:0
    25.03.2025 Colombia - Paraguay 2:2