South Korea vs Japan, EAFF E-1 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football EAFF E-1 South Korea - Japan
Result
0:1
15/07/2025 at 06:24 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EAFF E-1 Football Championship
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaZhiBo8
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Grandstand

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.670.17
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
94
Shots on target
11
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
112
Passes
79% (356/448)79% (264/334)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.670.17
xG on target (xGOT)
0.220.32
Total shots
94
Shots on target
11
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
63
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
112
Touches in opposition box
198
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
79% (356/448)79% (264/334)
Long passes
42% (27/65)48% (31/65)
Passes in final third
58% (63/109)63% (57/91)
Crosses
11% (3/28)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.890.18
Throw-ins
2919
Fouls
1213
Tackles
100% (8/8)71% (10/14)
Duels won
3952
Clearances
1737
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
0.320.22
Goals prevented
-0.680.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Germain R. , Soma Y. (A),
  • 10', Kawabe H. 🟨,
  • 45', Soma Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Joo Min-Kyu , Lee Ho-Jae ,
  • 62', Na Sang-Ho , Moon Seon-Min ,
  • 64', Kakita Y. , Hosoya M. ,
  • 64', Miyashiro T. , Sato R. ,
  • 75', Lee Dong-Gyeong , Oh Se-Hun ,
  • 75', Kim Jin-gyu , Kang Sang-Yoon ,
  • 77', Soma Y. , Ueda N. ,
  • 77', Kawabe H. , Uno Z. ,
  • 84', 🟨,
  • 84', Kim Ju-Sung , Jeong Seung-Won ,
  • 85', Germain R. , Hara T. ,
  • 90+6', 🟨,

Chances of winning


South Korea
28.6%
Draw
27.1%
Japan
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 31.8% 31.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • South Korea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that South Korea's form might have worsened.
  • Japan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Japan's recent form is better than expected.
  • South Korea - Japan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.27
    (2.62)
    3.45
    (3)
    2.11
    (3)
    6.9%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for South Korea - Japan?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. South Korea will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Japan will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 41.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Japan: 29.2%76.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. South Korea (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Korea won 2.
    • South Korea may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Japan is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, South Korea won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1:1.4).
    Latest results of South Korea
    11.07.2025 Hong Kong - South Korea 0:2
    07.07.2025 South Korea - China 3:0
    10.06.2025 South Korea - Kuwait 4:0
    05.06.2025 Iraq - South Korea 0:2
    25.03.2025 South Korea - Jordan 1:1
    Latest results of Japan
    12.07.2025 Japan - China 2:0
    08.07.2025 Japan - Hong Kong 6:1
    10.06.2025 Japan - Indonesia 6:0
    05.06.2025 Australia - Japan 1:0
    25.03.2025 Japan - Saudi Arabia 0:0
    EAFF E-1 Table
    Final tournament
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Japan33009:189
    2South Korea32015:146
    3China31021:5-43
    4Hong Kong30031:9-80