Tonga vs Japan, Pacific Nations Cup Rugby Union – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union Pacific Nations Cup Rugby Union Tonga - Japan
Result
24:62
14/09/2025 at 17:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Pacific Nations Cup - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
canadaCanadaTSN 2, TSN+
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2
portugalPortugalSport TV2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo

Match Stats

Tries
48
Conversion Goals
27
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
02
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (19 - 21)
  • 5', Lokotui F. (Try),
  • 10', Hayate E. (Try),
  • 11', Seung-Sin L. (Conversion Goal),
  • 18', Fakatava A. (Try),
  • 19', Seung-Sin L. (Conversion Goal),
  • 26', Tameifuna B. (Try),
  • 27', Pellegrini P. (Conversion Goal),
  • 32', Dearns W. (Try),
  • 33', Seung-Sin L. (Conversion Goal),
  • 38', Poloniati V. (Try),
  • 39', Pellegrini P. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (5 - 41)
  • 42', Riley D. (Try),
  • 43', Seung-Sin L. (Conversion Goal),
  • 50', Seung-Sin L. (Penalty Goal),
  • 55', Fujiwara S. (Try),
  • 57', Seung-Sin L. (Conversion Goal),
  • 60', Seung-Sin L. (Penalty Goal),
  • 63', Tapueluelu J. (Try),
  • 72', Sato K. (Try),
  • 73', Seung-Sin L. (Conversion Goal),
  • 77', Tamefusa K. (Try),
  • 78', Seung-Sin L. (Conversion Goal),
  • 79', (Penalty Try),

Chances of winning


Tonga
13.1%
Draw
2.8%
Japan
84%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
10% 2.4% 87.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tonga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Japan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Tonga - Japan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.1
    (9.33)
    32.98
    (39)
    1.11
    (1.07)
    7.2%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 58.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-19)
  • What is the prediction for Tonga - Japan?
  • Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Tonga will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Japan will win (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 20:39.
  • Preview Facts
    • Tonga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Japan is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tonga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 60:121. (average 15:30.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tonga - Japan were as follows:
    29.07.2023 Japan - Tonga 21:16
    Latest results of Tonga
    29.08.2025 Fiji - Tonga 32:10
    22.08.2025 Tonga - Samoa 30:16
    24.11.2024 Georgia - Tonga 22:7
    16.11.2024 USA - Tonga 36:17
    09.11.2024 Romania - Tonga 25:15
    Latest results of Japan
    06.09.2025 USA - Japan 21:47
    30.08.2025 Japan - Canada 57:15
    12.07.2025 Japan - Wales 22:31
    05.07.2025 Japan - Wales 24:19
    24.11.2024 England - Japan 59:14
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1TongaJapan24 : 62
    2FijiCanada63 : 10

    Final
    1JapanFiji

    3rd place
    2TongaCanada