Japan vs Wales, Friendly International Rugby Union – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union Friendly International Rugby Union Japan - Wales
Result
22:31
12/07/2025 at 01:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Friendly International
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanJ sports 3
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 6
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC iPlayer, S4C Clic, S4C Digital, S4C
worldWorldRugbyPass TV

Match Stats

Tries
34
Conversion Goals
24
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
11
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00
Yellow Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (10 - 21)
  • 9', Adams J. (Try),
  • 10', Edwards D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 24', Seung-Sin L. (Penalty Goal),
  • 28', Makisi F. 🟨,
  • 28', Hardy K. (Try),
  • 29', Edwards D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 36', Hardy K. (Try),
  • 37', Edwards D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 40', Shuhei T. (Try),
  • 40+1', Seung-Sin L. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (12 - 10)
  • 49', Edwards D. (Penalty Goal),
  • 59', Dearns W. (Try),
  • 62', Riley D. (Try),
  • 63', Seung-Sin L. (Conversion Goal),
  • 75', Edwards D. (Try),
  • 76', Edwards D. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Japan
35.2%
Draw
4.1%
Wales
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38% 3.1% 58.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Japan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Wales has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Japan - Wales Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.63
    (2.45)
    22.8
    (30)
    1.52
    (1.58)
    8.2%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 57.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
  • What is the prediction for Japan - Wales?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Japan will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Wales will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Wales: 64.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Wales (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 27:31.
  • Preview Facts
    • Wales may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Wales will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Japan won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 95:82. (average 23.8:20.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Japan - Wales were as follows:
    05.07.2025 Japan - Wales 24:19
    Latest results of Japan
    05.07.2025 Japan - Wales 24:19
    24.11.2024 England - Japan 59:14
    16.11.2024 Japan - Uruguay 36:20
    09.11.2024 France - Japan 52:12
    26.10.2024 Japan - New Zealand 19:64
    Latest results of Wales
    05.07.2025 Japan - Wales 24:19
    15.03.2025 Wales - England 14:61
    08.03.2025 Scotland - Wales 35:29
    22.02.2025 Wales - Ireland 18:27
    08.02.2025 Italy - Wales 22:15