Result
1:0
21/03/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Asian Cup Women - Play Offs - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | Channel 10 |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.68 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (361/446) | 85% (442/522) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (361/446) | 85% (442/522) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (23/56) | 58% (36/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (101/136) | 71% (119/167) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (6/19) | 17% (4/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.48 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.69 | -0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Hamano M. ⚽, Hasegawa Y. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Ueki R. ↓, Matsukubo M. ↑,
- 64', Gorry K. ↓, Raso H. ↑,
- 76', Hamano M. ↓, Chiba R. ↑,
- 82', Hasegawa Y. ↓, Minami M. ↑,
- 83', Kitagawa H. ↓, Moriya M. ↑,
- 83', Fowler M. ↓, van Egmond E. ↑,
- 83', Cooney-Cross K. ↓, Wheeler C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Japan W
64.4% | Draw
20.9% | Australia W
14.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Japan W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Japan W's performance.Australia W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Australia W might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Japan W than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Japan W that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Australia W than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Japan W - Australia W Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↓
(1.64) |
4.36 ↑
(3.5) |
6.22 ↑
(4.38) |
9.7%
(12.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Japan W - Australia W?
Users Predictions:
Japan W will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Japan won 3.
- Each of the two teams have built a series of wins lately.
- Japan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Japan is the team to beat.
- We predict that Japan will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Japan won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.4:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Japan W won against Australia W?
Japan W has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Australia W won against Japan W?
Australia W has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Japan W - Australia W were as follows:
20.02.2025
Japan W
-
Australia W
4:0
Latest results of Japan W
Latest results of Australia W
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | South Korea W | Uzbekistan W | 6 : 0 |
| 2 | Japan W | Philippines W | 7 : 0 |
| 3 | China W | Chinese Taipei W | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Australia W | North Korea W | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | South Korea W | Japan W | 1 : 4 |
| 2 | China W | Australia W | 1 : 2 |
Final
