Japan W vs Belgium W, Olympic Games - Basketball Women – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Olympic Games - Basketball Women Japan W - Belgium W
Result
58:85
04/08/2024 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WORLD: Olympic Games Women
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilSporTV 2
denmarkDenmarkEurosport 2
finlandFinlandDiscovery+, Eurosport 2, TV5
franceFranceFrance 3
germanyGermanyEurosport 2
polandPolandEurosport 2
portugalPortugalEurosport 2
swedenSwedenEurosport 2
worldWorldEurosport 6, Max

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
6171
Field Goals Made
1935
Field Goals %
31.1%49.3%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
2447
2-Point Field Goals Made
1026
2-Point Field Goals %
41.7%55.3%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
3724
3-Point Field Goals Made
99
3-Point Field Goals %
24.3%37.5%
Free Throws Attempted
157
Free Throws Made
116
Free Throws %
73.3%85.7%
Offensive Rebounds
812
Defensive Rebounds
1729
Total Rebounds
2541
Assists
1630
Blocks
34
Turnovers
1413
Steals
88
Personal Fouls
1316

Chances of winning


Japan W
22.4%
Belgium W
77.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.4% 62.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7% 63.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Japan W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Japan W's form might have worsened.
  • Belgium W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Belgium W's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Japan W than the current prediction. (+14.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Japan W, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belgium W than the current prediction. (-14.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Belgium W, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Japan W - Belgium W Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.13
    (2.48)

    1.23
    (1.48)
    5.6%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 143.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)
  • What is the prediction for Japan W - Belgium W?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Japan will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Belgium will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Belgium: 41.5%84.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 68:77.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Japan won 3.
    • Japan is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Belgium is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match Belgium is a favorite.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Japan won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 480-474.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Japan W - Belgium W were as follows:
    21.07.2024 Japan W - Belgium W 65:75
    Latest results of Japan W
    01.08.2024 Japan W - Germany W 64:75
    29.07.2024 USA W - Japan W 102:76
    21.07.2024 Japan W - Belgium W 65:75
    19.07.2024 France W - Japan W 75:62
    06.07.2024 Japan W - New Zealand W 92:50
    Latest results of Belgium W
    01.08.2024 Belgium W - USA W 74:87
    29.07.2024 Germany W - Belgium W 83:69
    21.07.2024 Japan W - Belgium W 65:75
    19.07.2024 China W - Belgium W 57:79
    12.07.2024 Belgium W - Spain W 76:58
    Draw
    Final tournament

    Quarter-finals
    1Germany WFrance W71 : 84
    2Spain WBelgium W66 : 79
    3Nigeria WUSA W74 : 88
    4Serbia WAustralia W67 : 85

    Semi-finals
    1France WBelgium W81 : 75
    2USA WAustralia W85 : 64

    Final
    1France WUSA W66 : 67

    3rd place
    2Belgium WAustralia W81 : 85