JäPS vs TPS – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
19/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ykkosliiga
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandRuutu+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
34
Corner Kicks
53
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
109
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
11
Corner Kicks
53
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1518
Fouls
1615

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Konkkola M. ,
  • 30', Olander H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 47', Haikonen P. 🟨,
  • 58', Virtanen J. , Holopainen J. ,
  • 58', Kuosa H. , Ahola V. ,
  • 66', Sairinen A. , Vauhkonen E. ,
  • 69', Soderlund I. , Ristola A. ,
  • 77', Konkkola M. , Kawakita E. ,
  • 81', (Pen),
  • 81', 1 - 1, Pallas E. ,
  • 86', Ikonen L. , Coulibaly A. ,
  • 88', Heidari R. , Salo J. ,
  • 88', 🟨,

Chances of winning


JäPS
18.6%
Draw
21.3%
TPS
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.2% 23.7% 49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6% 23.2% 50.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • JäPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that JäPS's form might have worsened.
  • TPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting TPS's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for JäPS than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for JäPS, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for TPS than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for TPS, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • JäPS - TPS Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.09
    (3.4)
    4.45
    (3.9)
    1.58
    (1.88)
    5.5%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for JäPS - TPS?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1 - TPS (1.99) (votes: 5 - 71.4%) .
    • AH +0.75 - TPS (1.79) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH 0 - JäPS (3.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - JäPS (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: TPS will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): TPS will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 16 high ROI users predict this event. JäPS (votes: 4 - 25%). TPS (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JäPS won 2.
    • Recent performances by JäPS have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • TPS is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, TPS is the team to beat.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, JäPS won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:28. (average 1.3:2.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, JäPS won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 1.4:2.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between JäPS - TPS were as follows:
    27.06.2025 TPS - JäPS 4:2
    02.05.2025 JäPS - TPS 0:6
    27.09.2024 TPS - JäPS 2:3
    20.07.2024 TPS - JäPS 4:0
    22.05.2024 JäPS - TPS 2:1
    Latest results of JäPS
    14.09.2025 Lahti - JäPS 2:1
    05.09.2025 KaPa - JäPS 2:3
    29.08.2025 JäPS - Ekenäs 0:0
    22.08.2025 PK-35 Vantaa - JäPS 0:0
    15.08.2025 JäPS - Salon Palloilijat 2:0
    Latest results of TPS
    14.09.2025 Klubi 04 - TPS 2:3
    05.09.2025 TPS - Ekenäs 4:0
    30.08.2025 KaPa - TPS 3:3
    22.08.2025 TPS - SJK Akatemia 2:1
    15.08.2025 TPS - PK-35 Vantaa 1:3
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1KaPaOLS Oulu4 : 2, 3 : 0