Jaraguá vs Cascavel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
17/09/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LNF - Round 8

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', Vini (G),
  • 18', Lucas Ian 🟨,
  • 19', Marcenio 🟨,
  • 19', Lucas Ian 🟥,
  • 19', Bruninho (G),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 21', Leco (G),
  • 32', Leozinho (G),
  • 37', Jonathan Bob 🟨,
  • 39', Bruninho 🟨,

Chances of winning


Jaraguá
66.9%
Draw
16.5%
Cascavel
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.4% 21.8% 33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5% 24.8% 29.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jaraguá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jaraguá's performance.
  • Cascavel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cascavel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaraguá than the current prediction. (-16.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jaraguá that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cascavel than the current prediction. (+13.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cascavel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Jaraguá - Cascavel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (2.06)
    5.69
    (4.2)
    5.68
    (2.7)
    6.2%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
    Preview Facts
    • Jaraguá is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cascavel is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, Jaraguá is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Jaraguá won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Jaraguá won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jaraguá - Cascavel were as follows:
    14.06.2023 Jaraguá - Cascavel 4:3
    Latest results of Jaraguá
    13.09.2025 Jaraguá - Joinville 4:2
    07.09.2025 Praia Clube - Jaraguá 3:0
    29.08.2025 Magnus - Jaraguá 1:0
    Latest results of Cascavel
    12.09.2025 Carlos Barbosa - Cascavel 3:1
    06.09.2025 Cascavel - Magnus 5:1
    31.08.2025 Cascavel - São José 5:0
    22.08.2025 Atlântico - Cascavel 8:3
    18.08.2025 Cascavel - Joaçaba 5:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Atlantico (1)Umuarama (16)4 : 0, 3 : 1
    2Cascavel (8)Marreco (9)1 : 0, 2 : 2
    3Jaragua (4)Minas (13)3 : 1, 1 : 1
    4Joinville (5)Velez Camaqua (12)2 : 2, 3 : 2
    5Magnus (3)Santo Andre/Intelli (14)7 : 4, 3 : 1
    6Corinthians (6)Carlos Barbosa (11)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    7Praia Clube (2)Foz Cataratas (15)3 : 1, 2 : 4
    8ACMF/Campo Mourao (7)Pato (10)3 : 3, 2 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Atlantico (1)Cascavel (8)3 : 2, 1 : 1
    2Jaragua (4)Joinville (5)4 : 1, 4 : 1
    3Magnus (3)Corinthians (6)6 : 5, 2 : 4
    4Praia Clube (2)ACMF/Campo Mourao (7)2 : 2, 0 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1Atlantico (1)Jaragua (4)3 : 3, 1 : 3
    2Corinthians (6)ACMF/Campo Mourao (7)3 : 2, 1 : 0

    Final
    1Jaragua (4)Corinthians (6)3 : 0, 3 : 3