Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Jarota Jarocin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 3 - Group II Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Jarota Jarocin
Result
1:1
27/05/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP II - ROUND 31

Chances of winning


Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
55.5%
Draw
22.2%
Jarota Jarocin
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.4% 23.3% 31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7% 22.7% 30.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce's performance.
  • Jarota Jarocin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jarota Jarocin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jarota Jarocin than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jarota Jarocin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Jarota Jarocin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (2)
    4.09
    (3.9)
    4.07
    (2.9)
    10.2%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Jarota is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Jarota Jarocin were as follows:
    29.10.2022 Jarota Jarocin - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce 0:1
    Polish Division 3 - Group II Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zawisza862021:71420
    2Cartusia Kartuzy861118:61219
    3Luzino852121:101117
    4Swinoujscie852115:7817
    5Blekitni Stargard851220:12816
    6Sroda843114:11315
    7Lech Poznan II841322:17513
    8Elana Torun841317:13413
    9Unia Swarzedz833212:11112
    10Notec Czarnkow82246:10-48
    11Nowe Skalmierzyce82245:12-78
    12Wda Swiecie82247:16-98
    13Pogon Szczecin II821512:20-87
    14Lipno Steszew821510:18-87
    15Kluczevia Stargard813410:14-46
    16Wrzesnia82067:14-76
    17Tluchowo81255:13-85
    18Rewal81163:14-114

          Promotion ~ Division 2
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation