Jarun Zagreb vs Kustošija – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Croatian Prva NL Jarun Zagreb - Kustošija
Result
2:1
24/04/2023 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CROATIA: PRVA NL - ROUND 27

Chances of winning


Jarun Zagreb
50.3%
Draw
26.4%
Kustošija
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.4% 29.5% 33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 30.6% 31.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jarun Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jarun Zagreb's performance.
  • Kustošija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kustošija might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jarun Zagreb than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jarun Zagreb that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kustošija than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kustošija could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Jarun Zagreb - Kustošija Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (2.4)
    3.5
    (3.05)
    3.86
    (2.72)
    9.6%
    (11.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Jarun Zagreb - Kustošija?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Jarun will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Kustošija will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Jarun: 35.2%84.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Jarun has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Kustošija is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Jarun will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's Kustošija to win the game is with odds 3.08.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Jarun won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-8.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Jarun won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jarun Zagreb - Kustošija were as follows:
    13.03.2023 Kustošija - Jarun Zagreb 1:2
    15.10.2022 Jarun Zagreb - Kustošija 3:0
    Latest results of Jarun Zagreb
    Latest results of Kustošija
    14.04.2023 Kustošija - Rudeš 2:1
    07.04.2023 Vukovar 91 - Kustošija 2:0
    31.03.2023 Kustošija - Cibalia 1:1
    26.03.2023 Solin - Kustošija 0:1
    18.03.2023 Bijelo Brdo - Kustošija 0:1
    Croatian Prva NL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orijent22008:176
    2Bijelo Brdo21105:144
    3Croatia Zmijavci21103:034
    4Karlovac21012:203
    5Dubrava21012:3-13
    6Hrvace21014:6-23
    7Rudes20201:102
    8Sesvete20201:102
    9Cibalia20113:4-11
    10Jarun20111:3-21
    11Dugopolje20111:5-41
    12Opatija20110:4-41

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