Polona Hercog vs Jasmin Ortenzi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
24/11/2025 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Buenos Aires, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
20
Double Faults
51
1st Serve Percentage
56%72%
1st Serve Points Won
63% (32/51)67% (34/51)
2nd Serve Points Won
40% (16/40)65% (13/20)
Break Points Saved
44% (4/9)50% (3/6)
1st Return Points Won
33% (17/51)37% (19/51)
2nd Return Points Won
35% (7/20)60% (24/40)
Break Points Converted
50% (3/6)56% (5/9)
Service Points Won
53% (49/93)66% (47/71)
Return Points Won
34% (24/71)47% (44/93)
Total Points Won
45% (73/164)55% (91/164)
Last 10 Balls
19
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
62% (8/13)77% (10/13)
Return Games Won
23% (3/13)38% (5/13)
Total Games Won
42% (11/26)58% (15/26)

Chances of winning


Polona Hercog
61.8%
Jasmin Ortenzi
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5% 46.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Polona Hercog has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Polona Hercog's performance.
  • Jasmin Ortenzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jasmin Ortenzi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polona Hercog than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Polona Hercog that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jasmin Ortenzi than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jasmin Ortenzi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Polona Hercog - Jasmin Ortenzi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.73)

    2.44
    (2)
    6.8%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Polona Hercog - Jasmin Ortenzi?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Hercog will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Ortenzi will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Hercog is ranked WTA: 884. Ortenzi is ranked WTA: 216.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Ortenzi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hercog won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Polona Hercog - Jasmin Ortenzi were as follows:
    18.11.2025 Jasmin Ortenzi - Polona Hercog 0:2
    Latest results of Polona Hercog
    Latest results of Jasmin Ortenzi
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Sherif M. (1)Riera J.2 : 0
    2Trevisan M.Vedder E.0 : 2
    3Papamichail D.Akli A. (Q)2 : 1
    4Vazquez C. (WC)Dolehide C. (5)0 : 2
    5Oliynykova O. (4)Nahimana S.2 : 0
    6Perez Alarcon L. (WC)Mandlik E.2 : 0
    7Lepchenko V.Pigossi L.2 : 0
    8Pieri J.Chwalinska M. (8)0 : 2
    9Carle M. L. (7)Jokic K. (Q)2 : 0
    10Burillo Escorihuela I.Bulgaru M.0 : 2
    11Sorribes Tormo S. (Q)Herrero Linana A. (Q)2 : 1
    12Alves C.Udvardy P. (3)0 : 2
    13Erjavec V. (6)Bulbarella M. (WC)2 : 0
    14Hercog P.Ortenzi J.1 : 2
    15Monnet C.Samson L.1 : 2
    16Giovannini L. (WC)Jeanjean L. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Sherif M. (1)Vedder E.2 : 0
    2Papamichail D.Dolehide C. (5)0 : 2
    3Oliynykova O. (RET.) (4)Perez Alarcon L.0 : 1
    4Lepchenko V.Chwalinska M. (8)2 : 1
    5Carle M. L. (7)Bulgaru M.0 : 2
    6Sorribes Tormo S.Udvardy P. (3)0 : 2
    7Erjavec V. (6)Ortenzi J.2 : 0
    8Samson L.Giovannini L.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Sherif M. (1)Dolehide C. (5)2 : 1
    2Perez Alarcon L.Lepchenko V.0 : 2
    3Bulgaru M.Udvardy P. (3)0 : 2
    4Erjavec V. (6)Samson L.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Sherif M. (1)Lepchenko V.0 : 2
    2Udvardy P. (3)Erjavec V. (6)2 : 0

    Final
    1Lepchenko V.Udvardy P. (3)0 : 2