Cori Gauff vs Jasmine Paolini – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Wuhan Cori Gauff - Jasmine Paolini
Result
2:0
11/10/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Wuhan, hard - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 2
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandDAZN
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
swedenSwedenDAZN

Match Stats

Aces
10
Double Faults
70
1st Serve Percentage
71%72%
1st Serve Points Won
56% (23/41)44% (18/41)
2nd Serve Points Won
29% (5/17)38% (6/16)
Break Points Saved
17% (1/6)22% (2/9)
1st Return Points Won
56% (23/41)44% (18/41)
2nd Return Points Won
63% (10/16)71% (12/17)
Break Points Converted
78% (7/9)83% (5/6)
Service Points Won
49% (27/55)43% (24/56)
Return Points Won
57% (32/56)51% (28/55)
Total Points Won
53% (59/111)47% (52/111)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
02
Service Games Won
50% (5/10)22% (2/9)
Return Games Won
78% (7/9)50% (5/10)
Total Games Won
63% (12/19)37% (7/19)

Chances of winning


Cori Gauff
54.2%
Jasmine Paolini
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.6% 39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6% 36.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cori Gauff has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cori Gauff's form might have worsened.
  • Jasmine Paolini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jasmine Paolini's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cori Gauff than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cori Gauff, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jasmine Paolini than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jasmine Paolini, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cori Gauff - Jasmine Paolini Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.54)

    2.09
    (2.36)
    4.1%
    (7.5%)
    What is the prediction for Cori Gauff - Jasmine Paolini?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Gauff will win (votes: 9 - 40.9%). Paolini will win (votes: 13 - 59.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Paolini: 38.6%79.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Gauff (votes: 3 - 50%). Paolini (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Gauff is ranked WTA: 3. Paolini is ranked WTA: 8.
    • Currently, both players are in excellent shape.
    • Paolini may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Gauff will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gauff won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cori Gauff - Jasmine Paolini were as follows:
    15.08.2025 Jasmine Paolini - Cori Gauff 2:1
    17.05.2025 Cori Gauff - Jasmine Paolini 0:2
    19.04.2025 Cori Gauff - Jasmine Paolini 0:2
    18.08.2023 Jasmine Paolini - Cori Gauff 0:2
    Latest results of Cori Gauff
    Latest results of Jasmine Paolini
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Sramkova R.Kalinskaya A.2 : 1
    3Zakharova A. (Q)Kenin S.1 : 2
    4Arango E. (LL)Samsonova L. (16)0 : 2
    5Osaka N. (11)Fernandez L.2 : 1
    6Noskova L.Putintseva Y. (Q)2 : 1
    7Kessler M.Cristian J.1 : 2
    8ByeRybakina E. (8)
    9Jovic I. (LL)Bye
    10Gracheva V. (Q)Bouzas Maneiro J.0 : 2
    11Zhu L.Joint M.0 : 2
    12Siniakova K. (Q)Shnaider D. (15)2 : 0
    13Alexandrova E. (9)Mboko V.2 : 0
    14Raducanu E. (RET.)Li A.0 : 1
    15Krueger A.Baptiste H.1 : 2
    16ByePegula J. (6)
    17Andreeva M. (5)Bye
    18Yastremska D. (RET.)Siegemund L.1 : 1
    19Frech M.Kudermetova V.2 : 1
    20Kostyuk M.Muchova K. (12)1 : 2
    21Navarro E. (14)Zhang S. (WC)1 : 2
    22Cirstea S.Ostapenko J. (RET.)1 : 0
    23Uchijima M. (Q)Wang Xin.2 : 0
    24ByeGauff C. (3)
    25Paolini J. (7)Bye
    26Bronzetti L. (Q)Yuan Y. (WC)0 : 2
    27Ruzic A. (Q)Linette M.2 : 0
    28Danilovic O.Tauson C. (10)0 : 2
    29Bencic B. (13)Vekic D. (WC)2 : 0
    30Mertens E.Kudermetova P. (Q)2 : 0
    31Osorio C. (WC)Bouzkova M.0 : 2
    32ByeSwiatek I. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Sramkova R.2 : 1
    2Kenin S.Samsonova L. (16)1 : 2
    3Osaka N. (11)Noskova L.0 : 2
    4Cristian J.Rybakina E. (8)0 : 2
    5Jovic I.Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 0
    6Joint M.Siniakova K.0 : 2
    7Alexandrova E. (9)Li A.2 : 0
    8Baptiste H.Pegula J. (6)1 : 2
    9Andreeva M. (5)Siegemund L.1 : 2
    10Frech M.Muchova K. (RET.) (12)1 : 0
    11Zhang S.Cirstea S.2 : 1
    12Uchijima M.Gauff C. (3)0 : 2
    13Paolini J. (7)Yuan Y.2 : 1
    14Ruzic A.Tauson C. (10)0 : 2
    15Bencic B. (WO.) (13)Mertens E.
    16Bouzkova M.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Samsonova L. (16)2 : 0
    2Noskova L.Rybakina E. (8)0 : 2
    3Jovic I.Siniakova K.0 : 2
    4Alexandrova E. (9)Pegula J. (6)1 : 2
    5Siegemund L.Frech M.2 : 0
    6Zhang S.Gauff C. (3)0 : 2
    7Paolini J. (7)Tauson C. (RET.) (10)1 : 1
    8Bencic B. (13)Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Rybakina E. (8)2 : 0
    2Siniakova K.Pegula J. (6)1 : 2
    3Siegemund L.Gauff C. (3)0 : 2
    4Paolini J. (7)Swiatek I. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Pegula J. (6)1 : 2
    2Gauff C. (3)Paolini J. (7)2 : 0

    Final
    1Pegula J. (6)Gauff C. (3)0 : 2