Result
0:2
28/02/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Merida, hard - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | beIN Sports 3 |
 Czech-republic | CANAL+ Sport 2, Oneplay |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 France | beIN Sports 3 |
 Germany | Sky Sport Tennis |
 Greece | Nova Sports 6 |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Romania | Digi Sport 4 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Ukraine | Setanta Sports Premium |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Tennis |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 72% | 62% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 55% (28/51) | 70% (28/40) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 50% (10/20) | 44% (11/25) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 57% (4/7) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 30% (12/40) | 45% (23/51) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 56% (14/25) | 50% (10/20) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 45% (5/11) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (37/70) | 60% (39/65) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 40% (26/65) | 47% (33/70) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (63/135) | 53% (72/135) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 73% (8/11) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 45% (5/11) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 41% (9/22) | 59% (13/22) |
Chances of winning
Jasmine Paolini
68% | Cristina Bucsa
32% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jasmine Paolini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Cristina Bucsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jasmine Paolini than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cristina Bucsa than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Jasmine Paolini - Cristina Bucsa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41 ↓
(1.45) |
|
2.99 ↑
(2.8) |
4.6%
(4.9%) | |
What is the prediction for Jasmine Paolini - Cristina Bucsa?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Paolini will win (votes: 14 - 87.5%). Bucsa will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paolini: 71.3% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Jasmine Paolini will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Paolini is ranked WTA: 7. Bucsa is ranked WTA: 63.
- Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Bucsa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Paolini will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Paolini won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Jasmine Paolini won against Cristina Bucsa?
Jasmine Paolini has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cristina Bucsa won against Jasmine Paolini?
Cristina Bucsa has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jasmine Paolini - Cristina Bucsa were as follows:
07.01.2024
Jasmine Paolini
-
Cristina Bucsa
0:2
16.08.2023
Jasmine Paolini
-
Cristina Bucsa
2:0
Latest results of Jasmine Paolini
Latest results of Cristina Bucsa
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Paolini J. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Hon P. | Zarazua R. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Boulter K. (WC) | Haddad Maia B. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Osorio C. | Tjen J. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Li A. (3) | Bye | |
| 6 | Brace C. (Q) | Sonmez Z. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Bucsa C. | Vekic D. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Stakusic M. (WC) | Yastremska D. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Bouzas Maneiro J. (7) | Watson H. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Frech M. | Timofeeva M. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Arango E. | Potapova A. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Bouzkova M. (4) | |
| 13 | Linette M. (8) | Maria T. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q) | Putintseva Y. | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Lepchenko V. (Q) | Zhang S. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Navarro E. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Paolini J. (1) | Hon P. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Boulter K. | Osorio C. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Li A. (3) | Sonmez Z. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Bucsa C. | Stakusic M. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Bouzas Maneiro J. (7) | Frech M. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Arango E. (RET.) | Bouzkova M. (4) | 1 : 1 |
| 7 | Linette M. (8) | Jimenez Kasintseva V. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Zhang S. | Navarro E. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Paolini J. (1) | Boulter K. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Sonmez Z. | Bucsa C. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Frech M. | Bouzkova M. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Jimenez Kasintseva V. | Zhang S. | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Paolini J. (1) | Bucsa C. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Frech M. | Zhang S. | 2 : 1 |
Final
