Result
0:2
24/06/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Bad Homburg, grass - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 69% | 59% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (50/86) | 60% (29/48) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (18/39) | 52% (17/33) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 29% (2/7) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (20/48) | 42% (36/86) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (16/33) | 54% (21/39) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 29% (5/17) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (68/125) | 57% (46/81) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (35/81) | 46% (57/125) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (103/206) | 50% (103/206) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 58% (7/12) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 42% (5/12) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 50% (12/24) | 50% (12/24) |
Chances of winning
Leylah Annie Fernandez
41.5% | Jasmine Paolini
58.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leylah Annie Fernandez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leylah Annie Fernandez's performance.Jasmine Paolini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jasmine Paolini might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leylah Annie Fernandez than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leylah Annie Fernandez that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jasmine Paolini than the current prediction. (+9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jasmine Paolini could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Leylah Annie Fernandez - Jasmine Paolini Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↓
(2.78) |
|
1.63 ↑
(1.45) |
4.7%
(4.9%) | |
What is the prediction for Leylah Annie Fernandez - Jasmine Paolini?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Fernandez will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Paolini will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fernandez: 32% – 80.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Leylah Annie Fernandez will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Fernandez is ranked WTA: 29. Paolini is ranked WTA: 4.
- Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
- Fernandez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Paolini will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Fernandez won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Leylah Annie Fernandez won against Jasmine Paolini?
Leylah Annie Fernandez has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jasmine Paolini won against Leylah Annie Fernandez?
Jasmine Paolini has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leylah Annie Fernandez - Jasmine Paolini were as follows:
20.02.2024
Leylah Annie Fernandez
-
Jasmine Paolini
0:2
12.11.2023
Leylah Annie Fernandez
-
Jasmine Paolini
2:0
11.02.2023
Jasmine Paolini
-
Leylah Annie Fernandez
0:2
Latest results of Leylah Annie Fernandez
Latest results of Jasmine Paolini
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Pegula J. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Kudermetova V. (LL) | Siniakova K. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Osaka N. (WC) | Danilovic O. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Kostyuk M. | Navarro E. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Andreeva M. (3) | Bye | |
| 6 | Frech M. | Tauson C. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Tomljanovic A. (Q) | Noskova L. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Vekic D. | Shnaider D. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Alexandrova E. (8) | Bencic B. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Putintseva Y. | Sakkari M. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Azarenka V. (Q) | Siegemund L. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Swiatek I. (4) | |
| 13 | Svitolina E. (7) | Mertens E. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Krueger A. (LL) | Haddad Maia B. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Fernandez L. | Maria T. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | Paolini J. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Pegula J. (1) | Siniakova K. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Osaka N. | Navarro E. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Andreeva M. (3) | Tauson C. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Noskova L. | Vekic D. | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Alexandrova E. (8) | Sakkari M. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Azarenka V. | Swiatek I. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Svitolina E. (7) | Haddad Maia B. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Fernandez L. | Paolini J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Pegula J. (1) | Navarro E. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Andreeva M. (3) | Noskova L. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Alexandrova E. (8) | Swiatek I. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Haddad Maia B. | Paolini J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Pegula J. (1) | Noskova L. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Swiatek I. (4) | Paolini J. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Pegula J. (1) | Swiatek I. (4) | 2 : 0 |
