Jason Kubler vs Kasidit Samrej – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Jinan Challenger Men Jason Kubler - Kasidit Samrej
Result
0:2
06/10/2025 at 03:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jinan - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
85
Double Faults
32
1st Serve Percentage
54%61%
1st Serve Points Won
65% (24/37)73% (30/41)
2nd Serve Points Won
68% (21/31)62% (16/26)
Break Points Saved
33% (1/3)80% (4/5)
1st Return Points Won
27% (11/41)38% (14/37)
2nd Return Points Won
38% (10/26)32% (10/31)
Break Points Converted
20% (1/5)67% (2/3)
Service Points Won
65% (44/68)69% (46/67)
Return Points Won
31% (21/67)35% (24/68)
Total Points Won
48% (65/135)52% (70/135)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
82% (9/11)91% (10/11)
Return Games Won
9% (1/11)18% (2/11)
Total Games Won
45% (10/22)55% (12/22)

Chances of winning


Jason Kubler
72.3%
Kasidit Samrej
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.1% 49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52% 48%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jason Kubler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jason Kubler's performance.
  • Kasidit Samrej has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kasidit Samrej might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jason Kubler than the current prediction. (-20.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jason Kubler that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kasidit Samrej than the current prediction. (+20.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kasidit Samrej could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Jason Kubler - Kasidit Samrej Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.84)

    3.57
    (1.85)
    1.1%
    (8.4%)
    What is the prediction for Jason Kubler - Kasidit Samrej?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Kubler will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Samrej will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Kubler is ranked ATP: 190. Samrej is ranked ATP: 398.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Samrej may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Jason Kubler
    Latest results of Kasidit Samrej
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cazaux A. (1)Blanchet U.2 : 0
    2O'Connell C. (RET.)Draxl L.1 : 0
    3Yevseyev D. (Q)Hijikata R.0 : 2
    4Zhou Y. (WC)Schoolkate T. (5)2 : 0
    5Svrcina D. (4)Tomic B.1 : 2
    6Watanuki Y.Harris B.1 : 2
    7Jacquet K. (Q)Samrej K. (Q)2 : 0
    8McCabe J. (Alt)Mochizuki S. (7)0 : 2
    9Duckworth J. (8)Smith C.0 : 2
    10Droguet T.Cui J. (WC)2 : 0
    11Bar Biryukov P. (Q)Daniel T.2 : 1
    12Wong C.Djere L. (3)2 : 0
    13McDonald M. (6)Mayot H.2 : 0
    14Kotov P. (Q)Holmgren A.2 : 0
    15Holt B.Zhukov M. (Q)2 : 1
    16Sun F. (WC)Walton A. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Cazaux A. (1)Draxl L.2 : 0
    2Hijikata R.Zhou Y.1 : 2
    3Tomic B.Harris B.2 : 1
    4Jacquet K.Mochizuki S. (7)0 : 2
    5Smith C.Droguet T.2 : 1
    6Bar Biryukov P.Wong C.2 : 1
    7McDonald M. (6)Kotov P.2 : 0
    8Holt B.Walton A. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Cazaux A. (1)Zhou Y.2 : 1
    2Tomic B.Mochizuki S. (7)0 : 2
    3Smith C.Bar Biryukov P.0 : 2
    4McDonald M. (6)Holt B.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Cazaux A. (1)Mochizuki S. (7)2 : 0
    2Bar Biryukov P.McDonald M. (6)0 : 2

    Final
    1Cazaux A. (1)McDonald M. (6)2 : 0