Jay Clarke vs Calvin Hemery – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
03/03/2026 at 03:10 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
87
Double Faults
23
1st serve percentage
60%57%
1st serve points won
76% (61/80)80% (56/70)
2nd serve points won
48% (26/54)50% (26/52)
Break Points Saved
88% (7/8)71% (5/7)
1st return points won
21% (15/70)24% (19/80)
2nd return points won
50% (26/52)52% (28/54)
Break Points Converted
29% (2/7)13% (1/8)
Winners
3050
Unforced errors
3861
Net points won
77% (10/13)72% (23/32)
Service Points Won
65% (87/133)67% (82/122)
Return Points Won
33% (40/122)35% (46/133)
Total Points Won
50% (127/255)50% (128/255)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
66
Service games won
94% (16/17)88% (14/16)
Return games won
13% (2/16)6% (1/17)
Total games won
55% (18/33)45% (15/33)

Chances of winning


Jay Clarke
54%
Calvin Hemery
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4% 53.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jay Clarke has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Calvin Hemery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jay Clarke than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jay Clarke that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calvin Hemery than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Calvin Hemery could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Jay Clarke - Calvin Hemery Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.84)

    1.98
    (1.84)
    8.7%
    (8.7%)
    What is the prediction for Jay Clarke - Calvin Hemery?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Clarke will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Hemery will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Clarke (votes: 2 - 50%). Hemery (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Clarke is ranked ATP: 184. Hemery is ranked ATP: 314.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Clarke may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Clarke won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    Latest results of Jay Clarke
    Latest results of Calvin Hemery
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Johns G.2 : 1
    2Bax F.Pennaforti G. (WC)2 : 0
    3Erhard M.Schwaerzler J. J.0 : 2
    4Cuenin S.Kolar Z. (7)0 : 2
    5Carballes Baena R. (4)Kopp S.0 : 2
    6Cecchinato M.Ouakaa A. (WC)2 : 0
    7Ionel N. D. (Q)De Krom M. (Q)1 : 2
    8Pieri S. (Q)Kym J. (5)1 : 2
    9Pavlovic L. (8)Martin Tiffon P.2 : 0
    10Coulibaly E.Bouchelaghem C. (WC)2 : 0
    11Napolitano S. (Q)Denolly C.2 : 0
    12Forejtek J.Mikrut L. (3)0 : 2
    13Clarke J. (6)Hemery C.1 : 2
    14Houkes M.Nijboer R. (Q)0 : 2
    15Martin A.Jianu F. C.0 : 2
    16Dalla Valle E. (Q)Gea A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Bax F.2 : 0
    2Schwaerzler J. J.Kolar Z. (7)2 : 1
    3Kopp S.Cecchinato M.1 : 2
    4De Krom M.Kym J. (5)0 : 2
    5Pavlovic L. (8)Coulibaly E.2 : 0
    6Napolitano S.Mikrut L. (RET.) (3)1 : 1
    7Hemery C.Nijboer R.2 : 0
    8Jianu F. C.Gea A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Schwaerzler J. J.1 : 2
    2Cecchinato M.Kym J. (RET.) (5)0 : 1
    3Pavlovic L. (8)Napolitano S.0 : 2
    4Hemery C.Gea A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Schwaerzler J. J.Cecchinato M.2 : 0
    2Napolitano S.Gea A. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Schwaerzler J. J.Napolitano S.2 : 0