Jay Clarke vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Targu Mures 2 Challenger Men Jay Clarke - Oleksandr Ovcharenko
Result
2:0
17/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Targu Mures 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
10
Double Faults
42
1st Serve Percentage
57%68%
1st Serve Points Won
72% (21/29)63% (24/38)
2nd Serve Points Won
55% (12/22)6% (1/18)
Break Points Saved
80% (4/5)44% (4/9)
1st Return Points Won
37% (14/38)28% (8/29)
2nd Return Points Won
94% (17/18)45% (10/22)
Break Points Converted
56% (5/9)20% (1/5)
Service Points Won
65% (33/51)45% (25/56)
Return Points Won
55% (31/56)35% (18/51)
Total Points Won
60% (64/107)40% (43/107)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
02
Service Games Won
88% (7/8)38% (3/8)
Return Games Won
63% (5/8)13% (1/8)
Total Games Won
75% (12/16)25% (4/16)

Chances of winning


Jay Clarke
63.1%
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.8% 31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4% 29.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jay Clarke has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jay Clarke's form might have worsened.
  • Oleksandr Ovcharenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oleksandr Ovcharenko's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jay Clarke than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jay Clarke, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oleksandr Ovcharenko than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oleksandr Ovcharenko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Jay Clarke - Oleksandr Ovcharenko Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.36)

    2.46
    (3)
    7.5%
    (6.9%)
    Preview Facts
    • Clarke is ranked ATP: 194. Ovcharenko is ranked ATP: 400.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Ovcharenko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Clarke is the team to beat.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Jay Clarke
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Clarke J. (1)Ovcharenko O.2 : 0
    2Uta D. (Q)Raynel A. (Q)0 : 2
    3Bentzel C. S. (WC)Boitan G. A.0 : 2
    4Roncadelli F.Alvarez Varona N. (7)0 : 2
    5Kuzmanov D. (3)Montes-De La Torre I.2 : 1
    6Tomescu D. A. (Q)Picchione A.0 : 2
    7Nijboer R.Damas M.0 : 2
    8Marti Pujolras A.Brunold M. (8)0 : 2
    9Giustino L. (RET.) (6)Alcala Gurri M.0 : 1
    10Denolly C.Campana Lee G. (Q)2 : 1
    11Coman M. A. (WC)Gima S. (WC)0 : 2
    12Mrva M.Erhard M. (4)0 : 2
    13Jianu F. C. (5)Neuchrist M.2 : 1
    14Faurel T. (Q)Agamenone F.0 : 2
    15Zapata Miralles B.Loge J. (Q)1 : 2
    16Ionel N. D.Rincon D. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Clarke J. (1)Raynel A.2 : 0
    2Boitan G. A.Alvarez Varona N. (7)2 : 1
    3Kuzmanov D. (3)Picchione A.1 : 2
    4Damas M.Brunold M. (8)2 : 0
    5Alcala Gurri M.Denolly C.1 : 2
    6Gima S.Erhard M. (4)0 : 2
    7Jianu F. C. (5)Agamenone F.0 : 2
    8Loge J.Rincon D. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Clarke J. (1)Boitan G. A.2 : 0
    2Picchione A. (RET.)Damas M.0 : 1
    3Denolly C.Erhard M. (4)0 : 2
    4Agamenone F.Rincon D. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Clarke J. (1)Damas M.2 : 0
    2Erhard M. (4)Agamenone F.0 : 2

    Final
    1Clarke J. (1)Agamenone F.0 : 2