Jay Clarke vs Shintaro Mochizuki – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/03/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

.

ATP - SINGLES: Miami - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats


Aces
5	2
Double Faults
6	8
1st serve percentage
56%	58%
1st serve points won
70% (31/44)	64% (35/55)
2nd serve points won
43% (15/35)	30% (12/40)
Break Points Saved
1/5	6/12
1st return points won
36% (20/55)	30% (13/44)
2nd return points won
70% (28/40)	57% (20/35)
Break Points Converted
6/12	4/5
Winners
23	41
Unforced errors
24	56
Net points won
63% (5/8)	71% (24/34)
Service Points Won
58% (46/79)	50% (47/94)
Return Points Won
50% (47/94)	42% (33/79)
Total Points Won
54% (93/173)	46% (80/173)
Last 10 balls
7	3
Match points saved
0	0
Service games won
69% (9/13)	54% (7/13)
Return games won
46% (6/13)	31% (4/13)
Total games won
58% (15/26)	42% (11/26)

Chances of winning

Jay Clarke
35.4%

Shintaro Mochizuki
64.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jay Clarke has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jay Clarke than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jay Clarke, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shintaro Mochizuki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Jay Clarke - Shintaro Mochizuki Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.3)		1.47 ↓ (1.52)	5.3% (9.3%)

What is the prediction for Jay Clarke - Shintaro Mochizuki?

Users Predictions: Shintaro Mochizuki will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Shintaro Mochizuki will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Clarke is ranked ATP: 184. Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 130.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Clarke may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Mochizuki is considered a favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Clarke won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

How many head-to-head matches has Jay Clarke won against Shintaro Mochizuki?

Jay Clarke has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Shintaro Mochizuki won against Jay Clarke?

Shintaro Mochizuki has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Jay Clarke - Shintaro Mochizuki were as follows:

27.02.2025 Jay Clarke - Shintaro Mochizuki 1:2

Latest results of Jay Clarke

11.03.2026 Andrej Martin - Jay Clarke 2:0 ✺

10.03.2026 Maik Steiner - Jay Clarke 1:2 ✺

03.03.2026 Jay Clarke - Calvin Hemery 1:2 ✺

26.02.2026 Masamichi Imamura - Jay Clarke 2:0 ✺

24.02.2026 Yusuke Takahashi - Jay Clarke 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Shintaro Mochizuki

12.03.2026 Mariano Navone - Shintaro Mochizuki 2:0 ✺

11.03.2026 Nicolas Mejia - Shintaro Mochizuki 0:2 ✺

03.03.2026 Benjamin Bonzi - Shintaro Mochizuki 2:1 ✺

02.03.2026 Federico Agustin Gomez - Shintaro Mochizuki 1:2 ✺

21.02.2026 Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Shintaro Mochizuki 2:0 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Bye
2	Marozsan F.	Fonseca J.	1 : 2
3	Mpetshi Perricard G.	Ugo Carabelli C.	1 : 2
4	Bye	Korda S. (32)
5	Darderi L. (17)	Bye
6	Giron M.	Landaluce M. (Q)	0 : 2
7	Duckworth J.	Bautista-Agut R.	0 : 2
8	Bye	Khachanov K. (14)
9	Ruud C. (11)	Bye
10	Quinn E.	Hurkacz H.	2 : 0
11	Kouame M. (WC)	Svajda Z. (Q)	2 : 1
12	Bye	Lehecka J. (21)
13	Draper J. (25)	Bye
14	Opelka R.	Borges N.	2 : 1
15	Shapovalov D.	Van De Zandschulp B.	0 : 2
16	Bye	Fritz T. (6)
17	Vukic A. (LL)	Bye
18	Jodar R. (Q)	Hanfmann Y. (Q)	2 : 1
19	Bergs Z.	Brooksby J.	2 : 0
20	Bye	Etcheverry T. M. (29)
21	Paul T. (22)	Bye
22	Zhang Z. (PR)	Mannarino A.	0 : 2
23	Collignon R.	Dimitrov G.	2 : 1
24	Bye	Cobolli F. (13)
25	Bublik A. (10)	Bye
26	Muller A.	Berrettini M.	0 : 2
27	Basilashvili N. (Q)	Navone M.	0 : 2
28	Bye	Vacherot V. (24)
29	Fils A. (28)	Bye
30	Blanch Dar. (WC)	Struff J-L.	2 : 1
31	Tsitsipas S.	Fery A. (Q)	2 : 0
32	Bye	De Minaur A. (5)
33	Shelton B. (8)	Bye
34	Arnaldi M.	Shevchenko A.	1 : 2
35	Diallo G.	Wu Y. (WC)	2 : 0
36	Bye	Humbert U. (31)
37	Cerundolo F. (18)	Bye
38	Royer V.	Tirante T. A. (LL)	1 : 2
39	Kovacevic A.	Sakamoto R. (WC)	1 : 2
40	Bye	Medvedev D. (9)
41	Davidovich Fokina A. (16)	Bye
42	Halys Q.	Draxl L. (Q)	2 : 1
43	Majchrzak K.	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 1
44	Bye	Tien L. (20)
45	Nakashima B. (27)	Bye
46	Cilic M.	Popyrin A.	2 : 0
47	Damm M. (WC)	Fearnley J. (RET.)	1 : 0
48	Bye	Zverev A. (3)
49	Auger-Aliassime F. (7)	Bye
50	O'Connell C. (Q)	Fucsovics M.	0 : 2
51	Atmane T.	Altmaier D.	2 : 0
52	Bye	Rinderknech A. (26)
53	Tiafoe F. (19)	Bye
54	Cazaux A.	Barrios Vera T. (Q)	2 : 0
55	Walton A. (Q)	Baez S.	2 : 0
56	Bye	Mensik J. (12)
57	Rublev A. (15)	Bye
58	Tabilo A.	Comesana F.	2 : 0
59	Michelsen A.	Bellucci M. (Q)	2 : 0
60	Bye	Norrie C. (23)
61	Moutet C. (30)	Bye
62	Nava E.	Machac T.	1 : 2
63	Buse I. (Q)	Dzumhur D.	1 : 2
64	Bye	Sinner J. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Fonseca J.	2 : 0
2	Ugo Carabelli C.	Korda S. (32)	0 : 2
3	Darderi L. (17)	Landaluce M.	1 : 2
4	Bautista-Agut R.	Khachanov K. (14)	0 : 2
5	Ruud C. (11)	Quinn E.	0 : 2
6	Kouame M.	Lehecka J. (21)	0 : 2
7	Draper J. (25)	Opelka R.	0 : 2
8	Van De Zandschulp B.	Fritz T. (6)	1 : 2
9	Vukic A.	Jodar R.	0 : 2
10	Bergs Z.	Etcheverry T. M. (29)	0 : 2
11	Paul T. (22)	Mannarino A.	2 : 1
12	Collignon R.	Cobolli F. (13)	2 : 0
13	Bublik A. (10)	Berrettini M.	0 : 2
14	Navone M.	Vacherot V. (24)	0 : 2
15	Fils A. (28)	Blanch Dar.	2 : 0
16	Tsitsipas S.	De Minaur A. (5)	2 : 0
17	Shelton B. (8)	Shevchenko A.	1 : 2
18	Diallo G.	Humbert U. (31)	0 : 2
19	Cerundolo F. (18)	Tirante T. A.	2 : 0
20	Sakamoto R.	Medvedev D. (9)	1 : 2
21	Davidovich Fokina A. (16)	Halys Q.	0 : 2
22	Majchrzak K.	Tien L. (20)	2 : 1
23	Nakashima B. (27)	Cilic M.	1 : 2
24	Damm M.	Zverev A. (3)	0 : 2
25	Auger-Aliassime F. (7)	Fucsovics M.	2 : 0
26	Atmane T.	Rinderknech A. (26)	2 : 0
27	Tiafoe F. (19)	Cazaux A.	2 : 0
28	Walton A.	Mensik J. (12)	1 : 2
29	Rublev A. (15)	Tabilo A.	1 : 2
30	Michelsen A.	Norrie C. (23)	2 : 1
31	Moutet C. (30)	Machac T.	2 : 1
32	Dzumhur D.	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Korda S. (32)	1 : 2
2	Landaluce M.	Khachanov K. (14)	2 : 0
3	Quinn E.	Lehecka J. (21)	0 : 2
4	Opelka R.	Fritz T. (6)	0 : 2
5	Jodar R.	Etcheverry T. M. (29)	0 : 2
6	Paul T. (22)	Collignon R.	2 : 1
7	Berrettini M.	Vacherot V. (24)	0 : 2
8	Fils A. (28)	Tsitsipas S.	2 : 0
9	Shevchenko A.	Humbert U. (31)	0 : 2
10	Cerundolo F. (18)	Medvedev D. (9)	2 : 1
11	Halys Q.	Majchrzak K.	2 : 0
12	Cilic M.	Zverev A. (3)	1 : 2
13	Auger-Aliassime F. (7)	Atmane T.	1 : 2
14	Tiafoe F. (19)	Mensik J. (12)	2 : 1
15	Tabilo A.	Michelsen A.	1 : 2
16	Moutet C. (30)	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Korda S. (32)	Landaluce M.	1 : 2
2	Lehecka J. (21)	Fritz T. (6)	2 : 1
3	Etcheverry T. M. (29)	Paul T. (22)	0 : 2
4	Vacherot V. (24)	Fils A. (28)	1 : 2
5	Humbert U. (31)	Cerundolo F. (18)	0 : 2
6	Halys Q.	Zverev A. (3)	0 : 2
7	Atmane T.	Tiafoe F. (19)	1 : 2
8	Michelsen A.	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Landaluce M.	Lehecka J. (21)	0 : 2
2	Paul T. (22)	Fils A. (28)	1 : 2
3	Cerundolo F. (18)	Zverev A. (3)	0 : 2
4	Tiafoe F. (19)	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Lehecka J. (21)	Fils A. (28)	2 : 0
2	Zverev A. (3)	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

Final

1

Lehecka J. (21)

Sinner J. (2)

0 : 2