Jay Clarke vs Shintaro Mochizuki – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
16/03/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Miami - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
52
Double Faults
68
1st serve percentage
56%58%
1st serve points won
70% (31/44)64% (35/55)
2nd serve points won
43% (15/35)30% (12/40)
Break Points Saved
1/56/12
1st return points won
36% (20/55)30% (13/44)
2nd return points won
70% (28/40)57% (20/35)
Break Points Converted
6/124/5
Winners
2341
Unforced errors
2456
Net points won
63% (5/8)71% (24/34)
Service Points Won
58% (46/79)50% (47/94)
Return Points Won
50% (47/94)42% (33/79)
Total Points Won
54% (93/173)46% (80/173)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
00
Service games won
69% (9/13)54% (7/13)
Return games won
46% (6/13)31% (4/13)
Total games won
58% (15/26)42% (11/26)

Chances of winning


Jay Clarke
35.4%
Shintaro Mochizuki
64.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.8% 60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2% 54.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jay Clarke has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jay Clarke than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jay Clarke, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shintaro Mochizuki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Jay Clarke - Shintaro Mochizuki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.68
    (2.3)

    1.47
    (1.52)
    5.3%
    (9.3%)
    What is the prediction for Jay Clarke - Shintaro Mochizuki?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mochizuki will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Shintaro Mochizuki will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Clarke is ranked ATP: 184. Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 130.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Clarke may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Mochizuki is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Clarke won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jay Clarke - Shintaro Mochizuki were as follows:
    27.02.2025 Jay Clarke - Shintaro Mochizuki 1:2
    Latest results of Jay Clarke
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Buse I. (1)Echargui M.2 : 1
    2Pinnington Jones J.Wong C. (21)1 : 2
    3Hanfmann Y. (2)Riedi L.2 : 0
    4Willwerth B. (WC)van Assche L. (13)0 : 2
    5Tirante T. A. (3)Dedura D. (WC)2 : 0
    6Landaluce M.McDonald M. (22)2 : 0
    7Vukic A. (4)Harris B.0 : 0
    8Basavareddy N.Barrios Vera T. (18)0 : 2
    9Garin C. (5)Draxl L.1 : 2
    10Clarke J.Mochizuki S. (24)2 : 1
    11Walton A. (6)Rodesch C.2 : 0
    12Sweeny D.Hijikata R. (19)0 : 2
    13Bellucci M. (7)Jarry N.2 : 0
    14Cassone M. (Alt)Maestrelli F. (17)2 : 0
    15Kypson P. (8)Basilashvili N.0 : 2
    16Bolt A.Shimabukuro S. (16)1 : 2
    17Blockx A. (9)Tseng C. H.2 : 0
    18Mejia N.O'Connell C. (23)0 : 2
    19Burruchaga R. A. (10)Fery A.1 : 2
    20Bu Y.Schoolkate T. (20)2 : 0
    21Svajda Z. (11)Smith C.0 : 1
    22Merida Aguilar D.Svrcina D. (14)2 : 1
    23Jodar R. (12)Dhamne M. (WC)2 : 0
    24Miguel G. (WC)Bonzi B. (15)0 : 2

    Final
    1Buse I. (1)Wong C. (21)
    2Hanfmann Y. (2)van Assche L. (13)
    3Tirante T. A. (3)Landaluce M.
    4TBD #7Barrios Vera T. (18)
    5Draxl L.Clarke J.
    6Walton A. (6)Hijikata R. (19)
    7Bellucci M. (7)Cassone M.
    8Basilashvili N.Shimabukuro S. (16)
    9Blockx A. (9)O'Connell C. (23)
    10Fery A.Bu Y.
    11TBD #21Merida Aguilar D.
    12Jodar R. (12)Bonzi B. (15)