Result
1:2
23/11/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Soma Bay, hard - Final
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 56% | 75% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 69% (42/61) | 68% (52/77) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (21/47) | 50% (13/26) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 79% (11/14) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 32% (25/77) | 31% (19/61) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (13/26) | 55% (26/47) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 36% (5/14) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 26 | 42 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 32 | 48 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 53% (18/34) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (63/108) | 63% (65/103) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 37% (38/103) | 42% (45/108) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (101/211) | 52% (110/211) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 79% (11/14) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 36% (5/14) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 43% (12/28) | 57% (16/28) |
Chances of winning
Jay Clarke 36.5% | Toby Samuel 63.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Jay Clarke - Toby Samuel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.51 ↑ (2.09) |
|
1.47 ↓ (1.65) |
8.1% (8.6%) | |
What is the prediction for Jay Clarke - Toby Samuel?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Clarke will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Samuel will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Clarke: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Jay Clarke will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Clarke is ranked ATP: 213. Samuel is ranked ATP: 436.
- Clarke is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Samuel is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Samuel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Samuel might have a minor edge in this game.
- We predict that Samuel will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.
- In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Jay Clarke won against Toby Samuel?
Jay Clarke has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toby Samuel won against Jay Clarke?
Toby Samuel has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jay Clarke - Toby Samuel were as follows:
Latest results of Jay Clarke
Latest results of Toby Samuel
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Clarke J. (1) | Zakaria F. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Sorger S. | Yevseyev D. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Albot R. | Orlov V. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Bernet H. (WC) | Hussey G. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Erhard M. (4) | Summers M. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Molleker R. | Fellin P. O. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Ursu V. | Agafonov E. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Vives Marcos P. (RET.) | Mrva M. (7) | 1 : 1 |
| 9 | Sels J. (6) | Ouakaa A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Alkaya M. (RET.) | Opitz J. (Q) | 0 : 0 |
| 11 | Elsayed A. (WC) | Robertson C. (JR) | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Kellovsky D. (Q) | Bar Biryukov P. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Binda A. (8) | Dzhavakian Y. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Bassem Sobhy M. (WC) | Basic M. | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Blanch D. | Fajta P. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Samuel T. | Simakin I. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Clarke J. (1) | Yevseyev D. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Albot R. | Hussey G. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Erhard M. (4) | Fellin P. O. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Ursu V. | Mrva M. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Sels J. (6) | Opitz J. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Robertson C. | Kellovsky D. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Binda A. (8) | Bassem Sobhy M. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Fajta P. | Samuel T. | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Clarke J. (1) | Albot R. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Erhard M. (4) | Mrva M. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Sels J. (6) | Robertson C. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Binda A. (8) | Samuel T. | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Clarke J. (1) | Erhard M. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Robertson C. | Samuel T. | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Clarke J. (1) | Samuel T. | 1 : 2 |