JEF United Chiba vs Omiya Ardija – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:3
06/12/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • J2 League - Promotion - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
188
Shots on target
92
Corner Kicks
96
Passes
69% (296/426)69% (271/393)
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
188
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
96
Corner Kicks
96
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1110
Passes
69% (296/426)69% (271/393)
Fouls
69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Izumi T. , Ichihara R. (A),
  • 32', 0 - 2, Sekiguchi K. , Caprini (A),
  • 2nd Half (4 - 1)
  • 48', 0 - 3, Arthur Feitoza , Caprini (A),
  • 57', Carlinhos 🟨,
  • 60', Sugiyama N. , Himeno M. ,
  • 70', Izumi T. , Yachida T. ,
  • 70', Sekiguchi K. , Wada T. ,
  • 71', Kato Y. 🟨,
  • 71', 1 - 3, Carlinhos , Eduardo (A),
  • 73', Issaka Z. , Yonekura K. ,
  • 73', Taguchi T. , Shinada M. ,
  • 74', Carlinhos , Goya H. ,
  • 78', 2 - 3, Eduardo ,
  • 82', Arthur Feitoza , Nuki M. ,
  • 84', 3 - 3, Himeno M. , Yonekura K. (A),
  • 87', 4 - 3, Kawano T. ,
  • 88', Kojima M. , Fujii K. ,
  • 89', Eduardo , Mae T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


JEF United Chiba
40.6%
Draw
27.8%
Omiya Ardija
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.6% 25.4% 24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9% 24.3% 23%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • JEF United Chiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that JEF United Chiba's form might have worsened.
  • Omiya Ardija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Omiya Ardija's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for JEF United Chiba than the current prediction. (+12.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for JEF United Chiba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Omiya Ardija, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • JEF United Chiba - Omiya Ardija Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (1.83)
    3.36
    (3.64)
    2.96
    (3.85)
    7.7%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for JEF United Chiba - Omiya Ardija?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. JEF United (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: JEF United Chiba will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JEF United won 2.
    • JEF United is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Omiya has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • JEF United will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, JEF United won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 0.9:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, JEF United won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.9:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between JEF United Chiba - Omiya Ardija were as follows:
    09.08.2025 Omiya Ardija - JEF United Chiba 0:1
    06.05.2025 JEF United Chiba - Omiya Ardija 1:2
    05.07.2023 Omiya Ardija - JEF United Chiba 2:1
    07.06.2023 JEF United Chiba - Omiya Ardija 0:1
    Latest results of JEF United Chiba
    Latest results of Omiya Ardija
    Draw
    Promotion

    Semi-finals
    1Chiba (3)Omiya Ardija (6)4 : 3
    2Tokushima (4)Iwata (5)1 : 1

    Final
    1Chiba (3)Tokushima (4)1 : 0