V-Varen Nagasaki vs JEF United Chiba – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/05/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Peace Stadium (Nagasaki).

J2 League - Round 17
Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
23	6
Shots on target
7	3
Corner Kicks
5	5
Passes
87% (436/504)	82% (399/486)
Yellow Cards
0	1
Total shots
23	6
Shots on target
7	3
Shots off target
16	3
Corner Kicks
5	5
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
11	7
Passes
87% (436/504)	82% (399/486)
Fouls
6	9
Goalkeeper Saves
3	6

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Ishikawa D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', Hayashi M. ↓, Carlinhos ↑,
72', Marcos Guilherme ↓, Kasayanagi T. ↑,
73', Masuyama A. ↓, Matsuzawa K. ↑,
74', Tsubaki N. ↓, Sugiyama N. ↑,
74', Yokoyama A. ↓, Taguchi T. ↑,
79', 1 - 0, Yamasaki R. ⚽, Yamaguchi H. (A),
82', Shinada M. ↓, Hidaka M. ↑,
86', Yamasaki R. ↓, Iio R. ↑,
86', Matsumoto T. ↓, Sekiguchi M. ↑,
90+5', Matheus Jesus ↓, Joppu S. ↑,

Chances of winning

V-Varen Nagasaki
40.1%

Draw
26.5%

JEF United Chiba
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

25.7%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

25.3%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

V-Varen Nagasaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

JEF United Chiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for JEF United Chiba than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

V-Varen Nagasaki - JEF United Chiba Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.14)	3.5 ↓ (3.62)	2.78 ↓ (3)	8% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for V-Varen Nagasaki - JEF United Chiba?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. V-Varen Nagasaki will win (votes: 5 - 50%). JEF United will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for V-Varen Nagasaki: 19% – 81%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. V-Varen Nagasaki (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, V-Varen Nagasaki won 4.
V-Varen Nagasaki is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
JEF United has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
JEF United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, V-Varen Nagasaki won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:23. (average 1.2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, V-Varen Nagasaki won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has V-Varen Nagasaki won against JEF United Chiba?

V-Varen Nagasaki has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has JEF United Chiba won against V-Varen Nagasaki?

JEF United Chiba has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between V-Varen Nagasaki - JEF United Chiba were as follows:

03.11.2024 JEF United Chiba - V-Varen Nagasaki 1:2

25.05.2024 V-Varen Nagasaki - JEF United Chiba 1:0

11.11.2023 JEF United Chiba - V-Varen Nagasaki 1:3

18.02.2023 V-Varen Nagasaki - JEF United Chiba 0:1

03.09.2022 JEF United Chiba - V-Varen Nagasaki 0:1

Latest results of V-Varen Nagasaki

18.05.2025 Oita Trinita - V-Varen Nagasaki 1:2 ✺

11.05.2025 V-Varen Nagasaki - Montedio Yamagata 1:1 ✺

06.05.2025 Kataller Toyama - V-Varen Nagasaki 1:2 ✺

03.05.2025 V-Varen Nagasaki - Ehime 1:1 ✺

29.04.2025 Consadole Sapporo - V-Varen Nagasaki 2:2 ✺

Latest results of JEF United Chiba

17.05.2025 JEF United Chiba - Vegalta Sendai 0:0 ✺

11.05.2025 Imabari - JEF United Chiba 0:1 ✺

06.05.2025 JEF United Chiba - Omiya Ardija 1:2 ✺

03.05.2025 Sagan Tosu - JEF United Chiba 1:1 ✺

29.04.2025 Roasso Kumamoto - JEF United Chiba 0:0 ✺

Japan J2 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Mito	27	15	7	5	42:25	17	52
2	Chiba	27	14	6	7	37:24	13	48
3	V-Varen Nagasaki	27	13	9	5	44:37	7	48
4	Omiya Ardija	27	13	8	6	38:22	16	47
5	Tokushima	27	13	8	6	27:14	13	47
6	Vegalta Sendai	27	12	10	5	31:25	6	46
7	Iwata	27	13	5	9	43:36	7	44
8	Imabari	27	11	10	6	35:27	8	43
9	Sagan Tosu	27	12	7	8	29:26	3	43
10	Kofu	27	10	8	9	28:25	3	38
11	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	27	11	4	12	34:44	-10	37
12	Iwaki	27	8	9	10	37:36	1	33
13	Fujieda MYFC	27	8	8	11	33:35	-2	32
14	Blaublitz	27	9	4	14	35:45	-10	31
15	Montedio Yamagata	27	8	5	14	36:39	-3	29
16	Oita Trinita	27	6	10	11	22:32	-10	28
17	Kumamoto	27	7	6	14	32:42	-10	27
18	Toyama	27	5	8	14	22:35	-13	23
19	Renofa Yamaguchi	27	3	12	12	23:34	-11	21
20	Ehime	27	2	10	15	24:49	-25	16

      Promotion ~ J1 League
      Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )
      Relegation ~ J3 League