Result
0:2
20/04/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Stuttgart, clay - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 France | beIN Sports 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 58% | 60% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 72% (23/32) | 68% (27/40) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (10/23) | 56% (15/27) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 67% (2/3) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 33% (13/40) | 28% (9/32) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (12/27) | 57% (13/23) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 33% (1/3) | 50% (3/6) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (33/55) | 63% (42/67) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 37% (25/67) | 40% (22/55) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (58/122) | 52% (64/122) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 90% (9/10) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 30% (3/10) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 40% (8/20) | 60% (12/20) |
Chances of winning
Ekaterina Alexandrova
57.2% | Jelena Ostapenko
42.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ekaterina Alexandrova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ekaterina Alexandrova's performance.Jelena Ostapenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jelena Ostapenko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (-14.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ekaterina Alexandrova that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (+14.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jelena Ostapenko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jelena Ostapenko Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↓
(2.19) |
|
2.23 ↑
(1.62) |
5%
(7.5%) | |
What is the prediction for Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jelena Ostapenko?
Users Predictions:
31 users predict this event. Alexandrova will win (votes: 16 - 51.6%). Ostapenko will win (votes: 15 - 48.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alexandrova: 34% – 69.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Alexandrova (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Ostapenko (votes: 3 - 42.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Alexandrova is ranked WTA: 22. Ostapenko is ranked WTA: 24.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Alexandrova won 2.
- Now both players are in good shape.
- In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Alexandrova won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:9 (average 0.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ekaterina Alexandrova won against Jelena Ostapenko?
Ekaterina Alexandrova has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jelena Ostapenko won against Ekaterina Alexandrova?
Jelena Ostapenko has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jelena Ostapenko were as follows:
04.02.2024
Jelena Ostapenko
-
Ekaterina Alexandrova
2:0
12.01.2024
Ekaterina Alexandrova
-
Jelena Ostapenko
0:2
12.09.2023
Ekaterina Alexandrova
-
Jelena Ostapenko
1:2
25.09.2022
Jelena Ostapenko
-
Ekaterina Alexandrova
0:2
Latest results of Ekaterina Alexandrova
Latest results of Jelena Ostapenko
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Potapova A. | Tauson C. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Sasnovich A. (Q) | Mertens E. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Kudermetova V. (Q) | Shnaider D. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Gauff C. (4) | Bye | |
| 6 | Maria T. (WC) | Seidel E. (LL) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Niemeier J. (WC) | Siegemund L. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Lys E. (WC) | Paolini J. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Andreeva M. (6) | Andreeva E. (RET.) (LL) | 1 : 0 |
| 10 | Alexandrova E. | Samsonova L. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Frech M. | Errani S. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Pegula J. (3) | |
| 13 | Navarro E. (7) | Haddad Maia B. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Ostapenko J. | Yastremska D. (RET.) (Q) | 1 : 0 |
| 15 | Vekic D. | Fett J. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Swiatek I. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (WO.) (1) | Potapova A. | |
| 2 | Mertens E. | Shnaider D. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Gauff C. (4) | Seidel E. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Niemeier J. | Paolini J. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Andreeva M. (6) | Alexandrova E. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Frech M. | Pegula J. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Navarro E. (7) | Ostapenko J. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Fett J. | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Mertens E. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Gauff C. (4) | Paolini J. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Alexandrova E. | Pegula J. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Ostapenko J. | Swiatek I. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Paolini J. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Alexandrova E. | Ostapenko J. | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Ostapenko J. | 0 : 2 |
