Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Jelena Ostapenko – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
10/02/2026 at 06:55 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Doha, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
54
Double Faults
13
1st serve percentage
65%61%
1st serve points won
62% (21/34)72% (31/43)
2nd serve points won
39% (7/18)44% (12/27)
Break Points Saved
33% (2/6)83% (5/6)
1st return points won
30% (13/43)38% (13/34)
2nd return points won
56% (15/27)61% (11/18)
Break Points Converted
17% (1/6)67% (4/6)
Service Points Won
53% (26/49)61% (43/70)
Return Points Won
39% (27/70)47% (23/49)
Total Points Won
45% (53/119)55% (66/119)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
00
Service games won
50% (4/8)89% (8/9)
Return games won
11% (1/9)50% (4/8)
Total games won
29% (5/17)71% (12/17)

Chances of winning


Ekaterina Alexandrova
66.3%
Jelena Ostapenko
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.2% 35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ekaterina Alexandrova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Jelena Ostapenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jelena Ostapenko Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.48)

    2.81
    (2.66)
    4.5%
    (5.2%)
    What is the prediction for Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jelena Ostapenko?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Alexandrova will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Ostapenko will win (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Alexandrova: 50.5%99.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 19.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • H/A, 1st Set - Alexandrova (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ekaterina Alexandrova will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Alexandrova (votes: 9 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Alexandrova is ranked WTA: 10. Ostapenko is ranked WTA: 24.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alexandrova won 1.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Alexandrova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Alexandrova is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Alexandrova won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.8:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jelena Ostapenko were as follows:
    20.04.2025 Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jelena Ostapenko 0:2
    04.02.2024 Jelena Ostapenko - Ekaterina Alexandrova 2:0
    12.01.2024 Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jelena Ostapenko 0:2
    12.09.2023 Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jelena Ostapenko 1:2
    25.09.2022 Jelena Ostapenko - Ekaterina Alexandrova 0:2
    Latest results of Jelena Ostapenko
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Swiatek I. (1)Bye
    2Tjen J. (WC)Haddad Maia B. (LL)2 : 0
    3Kasatkina D.Uchijima M. (Q)2 : 1
    4Pavlyuchenkova A.Mertens E. (16)0 : 2
    5Noskova L. (9)Joint M.2 : 0
    6Siegemund L.Gracheva V. (Q)0 : 2
    7Sakkari M.Sonmez Z. (WC)2 : 0
    8ByePaolini J. (6)
    9Anisimova A. (3)Bye
    10Sierra S. (LL)Pliskova Ka.0 : 2
    11Eala A.Valentova T. (Q)0 : 2
    12Cristian J.Muchova K. (14)0 : 2
    13Navarro E. (12)Maria T.2 : 0
    14Kalinskaya A.Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 0
    15Yastremska D.Bucsa C.2 : 1
    16ByeSvitolina E. (7)
    17Alexandrova E. (8)Bye
    18Zakharova A. (Q)Ostapenko J.1 : 2
    19Raducanu E. (RET.)Osorio C. (Q)1 : 1
    20Siniakova K.Tauson C. (11)2 : 0
    21Samsonova L. (13)Frech M. (LL)1 : 2
    22Li A.Fernandez L.2 : 0
    23Cocciaretto E. (LL)Jacquemot E. (WC)2 : 0
    24ByeGauff C. (4)
    25Andreeva M. (5)Bye
    26Kartal S. (Q)Linette M.1 : 2
    27Stearns P. (WC)Zvonareva V. (Q)1 : 2
    28Bouzkova M.Mboko V. (10)0 : 2
    29Shnaider D. (15)Parks A. (Q)1 : 2
    30Zheng Q.Kenin S.2 : 1
    31Wang Xin.Arango E.2 : 0
    32ByeRybakina E. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Swiatek I. (1)Tjen J.2 : 0
    2Kasatkina D.Mertens E. (16)2 : 0
    3Noskova L. (9)Gracheva V.1 : 2
    4Sakkari M.Paolini J. (6)2 : 0
    5Anisimova A. (RET.) (3)Pliskova Ka.1 : 1
    6Valentova T.Muchova K. (14)0 : 2
    7Navarro E. (12)Kalinskaya A.1 : 2
    8Yastremska D.Svitolina E. (7)0 : 2
    9Alexandrova E. (8)Ostapenko J.0 : 2
    10Osorio C.Siniakova K.2 : 1
    11Frech M.Li A.0 : 2
    12Cocciaretto E.Gauff C. (4)2 : 0
    13Andreeva M. (5)Linette M.2 : 0
    14Zvonareva V.Mboko V. (10)0 : 2
    15Parks A.Zheng Q.1 : 2
    16Wang Xin.Rybakina E. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Swiatek I. (1)Kasatkina D.2 : 1
    2Gracheva V.Sakkari M.0 : 2
    3Pliskova Ka. (RET.)Muchova K. (14)0 : 0
    4Kalinskaya A.Svitolina E. (7)2 : 0
    5Ostapenko J.Osorio C.2 : 0
    6Li A.Cocciaretto E.1 : 2
    7Andreeva M. (5)Mboko V. (10)1 : 2
    8Zheng Q.Rybakina E. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Swiatek I. (1)Sakkari M.1 : 2
    2Muchova K. (14)Kalinskaya A.2 : 0
    3Ostapenko J.Cocciaretto E.2 : 0
    4Mboko V. (10)Rybakina E. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Sakkari M.Muchova K. (14)1 : 2
    2Ostapenko J.Mboko V. (10)0 : 2

    Final
    1Muchova K. (14)Mboko V. (10)2 : 0