Jelena Ostapenko vs Elena Gabriela Ruse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
10/04/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Linz, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
49
Double Faults
113
1st serve percentage
56%55%
1st serve points won
60% (33/55)63% (27/43)
2nd serve points won
35% (15/43)40% (14/35)
Break Points Saved
10/182/7
1st return points won
40% (17/43)40% (22/55)
2nd return points won
60% (21/35)65% (28/43)
Break Points Converted
5/78/18
Service Points Won
49% (49/99)53% (41/78)
Return Points Won
47% (37/78)51% (50/99)
Total Points Won
49% (86/177)51% (91/177)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
40
Service games won
43% (6/14)62% (8/13)
Return games won
38% (5/13)57% (8/14)
Total games won
41% (11/27)59% (16/27)

Chances of winning


Jelena Ostapenko
63.9%
Elena Gabriela Ruse
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.4% 40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9% 41.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jelena Ostapenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • Elena Gabriela Ruse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elena Gabriela Ruse than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • Jelena Ostapenko - Elena Gabriela Ruse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.59)

    2.65
    (2.33)
    4.6%
    (5.8%)
    What is the prediction for Jelena Ostapenko - Elena Gabriela Ruse?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ostapenko (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Ruse (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Users Predictions: Jelena Ostapenko will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.93%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ostapenko is ranked WTA: 23. Ruse is ranked WTA: 87.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Ostapenko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Ostapenko might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Jelena Ostapenko
    Latest results of Elena Gabriela Ruse
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Andreeva M. (1)Bye
    2Stephens S. (WC)Maria T.2 : 1
    3Parks A.Galfi D.0 : 2
    4Kraus S. (WC)Cirstea S. (5)0 : 2
    5Ostapenko J. (4)Bye
    6Grabher J.Eala A.0 : 2
    7Boulter K.Ruse G.0 : 2
    8Yastremska D.Li A. (7)2 : 1
    9Cristian J. (6)Korpatsch T. (Q)1 : 2
    10Potapova A.Zhang S.2 : 0
    11Badosa P. (WC)Tagger L. (WC)0 : 2
    12ByeSamsonova L. (3)
    13Kalinina A. (LL)Udvardy P.2 : 1
    14Volynets K. (Q)Vekic D. (Q)1 : 2
    15Pliskova Ka.Sasnovich A. (Q)2 : 0
    16ByeAlexandrova E. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Andreeva M. (1)Stephens S.2 : 0
    2Galfi D. (RET.)Cirstea S. (5)0 : 0
    3Ostapenko J. (4)Eala A.2 : 0
    4Ruse G.Yastremska D.2 : 1
    5Korpatsch T.Potapova A.0 : 2
    6Tagger L.Samsonova L. (3)2 : 0
    7Kalinina A.Vekic D. (WO.)
    8Pliskova Ka.Alexandrova E. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Andreeva M. (1)Cirstea S. (5)2 : 1
    2Ostapenko J. (4)Ruse G.1 : 2
    3Potapova A.Tagger L.2 : 0
    4Vekic D.Pliskova Ka.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Andreeva M. (1)Ruse G.2 : 0
    2Potapova A.Vekic D.2 : 0

    Final
    1Andreeva M. (1)Potapova A.2 : 1