Result
2:0
12/05/2025 at 07:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 72% | 56% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (29/53) | 59% (26/44) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 76% (16/21) | 49% (17/35) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 83% (5/6) | 43% (3/7) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 41% (18/44) | 45% (24/53) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (18/35) | 24% (5/21) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 17% (1/6) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 61% (45/74) | 54% (43/79) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (36/79) | 39% (29/74) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (81/153) | 47% (72/153) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 60% (6/10) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 10% (1/10) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 35% (7/20) |
Chances of winning
Jasmine Paolini
57.5% | Jelena Ostapenko
42.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jasmine Paolini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jasmine Paolini's performance.Jelena Ostapenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jelena Ostapenko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jasmine Paolini than the current prediction. (-10.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jasmine Paolini that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jelena Ostapenko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Jasmine Paolini - Jelena Ostapenko Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↓
(1.83) |
|
2.22 ↑
(1.83) |
5.5%
(9.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Jasmine Paolini - Jelena Ostapenko?
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Paolini will win (votes: 12 - 40%). Ostapenko will win (votes: 18 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ostapenko: 42.5% – 77.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Paolini (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Ostapenko (votes: 5 - 62.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Paolini is ranked WTA: 5. Ostapenko is ranked WTA: 18.
- Paolini has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Ostapenko is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Paolini might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Paolini won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Jasmine Paolini won against Jelena Ostapenko?
Jasmine Paolini has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jelena Ostapenko won against Jasmine Paolini?
Jelena Ostapenko has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jasmine Paolini - Jelena Ostapenko were as follows:
12.02.2025
Jelena Ostapenko
-
Jasmine Paolini
2:0
28.08.2023
Jelena Ostapenko
-
Jasmine Paolini
2:1
Latest results of Jasmine Paolini
Latest results of Jelena Ostapenko
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Yastremska D. | Potapova A. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Pavlyuchenkova A. | Boulter K. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Kenin S. (31) | |
| 5 | Fernandez L. (24) | Bye | |
| 6 | Ruzic A. (Q) | Grant T. C. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Eala A. | Kostyuk M. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Kasatkina D. (14) | |
| 9 | Rybakina E. (11) | Bye | |
| 10 | Uchijima M. | Lys E. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Andreescu B. | Urgesi F. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Vekic D. (20) | |
| 13 | Frech M. (26) | Bye | |
| 14 | Azarenka V. | Osorio C. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Siniakova K. | Danilovic O. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Zheng Q. (8) | |
| 17 | Gauff C. (4) | Bye | |
| 18 | Zucchini A. (WC) | Mboko V. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 19 | Sakkari M. (Q) | Bencic B. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 20 | Bye | Linette M. (32) | |
| 21 | Teichmann J. (LL) | Bye | |
| 22 | Joint M. (Q) | Raducanu E. | 1 : 2 |
| 23 | Stefanini L. (WC) | Kudermetova V. | 0 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Anisimova A. (15) | |
| 25 | Navarro E. (10) | Bye | |
| 26 | Rakhimova K. (LL) | Wang Xin. | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Volynets K. (Q) | Rus A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Bye | Tauson C. (22) | |
| 29 | Noskova L. (30) | Bye | |
| 30 | Birrell K. | Kartal S. | 1 : 2 |
| 31 | Arango E. (Q) | Tomova V. | 2 : 1 |
| 32 | Bye | Andreeva M. (7) | |
| 33 | Paolini J. (6) | Bye | |
| 34 | Pedone G. (WC) | Sun L. | 1 : 2 |
| 35 | Kvitova P. | Begu I. | 2 : 0 |
| 36 | Bye | Jabeur O. (27) | |
| 37 | Ostapenko J. (17) | Bye | |
| 38 | Sramkova R. | Kessler M. | 2 : 0 |
| 39 | Bronzetti L. | Sevastova A. | 2 : 0 |
| 40 | Bye | Siegemund L. (LL) | |
| 41 | Shnaider D. (13) | Bye | |
| 42 | Dolehide C. | Gadecki O. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 43 | Parks A. | Cristian J. | 0 : 2 |
| 44 | Bye | Putintseva Y. (23) | |
| 45 | Mertens E. (25) | Bye | |
| 46 | Lamens S. | Zarazua R. | 2 : 1 |
| 47 | Krueger A. | Bondar A. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 48 | Bye | Pegula J. (3) | |
| 49 | Keys M. (5) | Bye | |
| 50 | Gracheva V. | Tomljanovic A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 51 | Stearns P. | Brancaccio N. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 52 | Bye | Kalinskaya A. (28) | |
| 53 | Haddad Maia B. (18) | Bye | |
| 54 | Bouzkova M. | Sherif M. | 2 : 0 |
| 55 | Errani S. (WC) | Osaka N. | 0 : 2 |
| 56 | Bye | Golubic V. (LL) | |
| 57 | Svitolina E. (16) | Bye | |
| 58 | Bouzas Maneiro J. | Li A. | 2 : 1 |
| 59 | Baptiste H. (Q) | Blinkova A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 60 | Bye | Samsonova L. (19) | |
| 61 | Collins D. (29) | Bye | |
| 62 | Ruse G. (Q) | Kudermetova P. | 2 : 1 |
| 63 | Cocciaretto E. (WC) | Avanesyan E. | 2 : 1 |
| 64 | Bye | Swiatek I. (2) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Potapova A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Pavlyuchenkova A. | Kenin S. (31) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Fernandez L. (24) | Ruzic A. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Kostyuk M. | Kasatkina D. (14) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Rybakina E. (11) | Lys E. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Andreescu B. | Vekic D. (20) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Frech M. (26) | Azarenka V. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Danilovic O. | Zheng Q. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Gauff C. (4) | Mboko V. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Sakkari M. | Linette M. (32) | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Teichmann J. (LL) | Raducanu E. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Kudermetova V. | Anisimova A. (15) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Navarro E. (10) | Rakhimova K. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Volynets K. (RET.) | Tauson C. (22) | 0 : 1 |
| 15 | Noskova L. (30) | Kartal S. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Arango E. | Andreeva M. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Paolini J. (6) | Sun L. | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | Kvitova P. | Jabeur O. (WO.) (27) | |
| 19 | Ostapenko J. (17) | Sramkova R. | 2 : 1 |
| 20 | Bronzetti L. | Siegemund L. | 0 : 2 |
| 21 | Shnaider D. (13) | Dolehide C. | 2 : 0 |
| 22 | Cristian J. | Putintseva Y. (23) | 2 : 0 |
| 23 | Mertens E. (25) | Lamens S. | 2 : 1 |
| 24 | Krueger A. | Pegula J. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | Keys M. (5) | Gracheva V. | 2 : 0 |
| 26 | Stearns P. | Kalinskaya A. (28) | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Haddad Maia B. (18) | Bouzkova M. | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | Osaka N. | Golubic V. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 29 | Svitolina E. (16) | Bouzas Maneiro J. | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Baptiste H. | Samsonova L. (19) | 2 : 1 |
| 31 | Collins D. (29) | Ruse G. | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Cocciaretto E. | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Kenin S. (31) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Fernandez L. (24) | Kostyuk M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Rybakina E. (11) | Andreescu B. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Frech M. (26) | Zheng Q. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Gauff C. (4) | Linette M. (32) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Raducanu E. | Kudermetova V. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Navarro E. (10) | Tauson C. (22) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Noskova L. (30) | Andreeva M. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Paolini J. (6) | Jabeur O. (27) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Ostapenko J. (WO.) (17) | Siegemund L. | |
| 11 | Shnaider D. (13) | Cristian J. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Mertens E. (25) | Pegula J. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Keys M. (5) | Stearns P. | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Bouzkova M. | Osaka N. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Svitolina E. (16) | Baptiste H. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Collins D. (29) | Swiatek I. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Kostyuk M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Andreescu B. | Zheng Q. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Gauff C. (4) | Raducanu E. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Tauson C. (22) | Andreeva M. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Paolini J. (6) | Ostapenko J. (17) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Shnaider D. (13) | Mertens E. (25) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Stearns P. | Osaka N. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Svitolina E. (16) | Collins D. (29) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Zheng Q. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Gauff C. (4) | Andreeva M. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Paolini J. (6) | Shnaider D. (13) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Stearns P. | Svitolina E. (16) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Zheng Q. (8) | Gauff C. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Paolini J. (6) | Stearns P. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Gauff C. (4) | Paolini J. (6) | 0 : 2 |
