Jasmine Paolini vs Jelena Ostapenko – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Roma Jasmine Paolini - Jelena Ostapenko
Result
2:0
12/05/2025 at 07:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
55
Double Faults
17
1st Serve Percentage
72%56%
1st Serve Points Won
55% (29/53)59% (26/44)
2nd Serve Points Won
76% (16/21)49% (17/35)
Break Points Saved
83% (5/6)43% (3/7)
1st Return Points Won
41% (18/44)45% (24/53)
2nd Return Points Won
51% (18/35)24% (5/21)
Break Points Converted
57% (4/7)17% (1/6)
Service Points Won
61% (45/74)54% (43/79)
Return Points Won
46% (36/79)39% (29/74)
Total Points Won
53% (81/153)47% (72/153)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
90% (9/10)60% (6/10)
Return Games Won
40% (4/10)10% (1/10)
Total Games Won
65% (13/20)35% (7/20)

Chances of winning


Jasmine Paolini
57.5%
Jelena Ostapenko
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4% 52.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jasmine Paolini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jasmine Paolini's performance.
  • Jelena Ostapenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jelena Ostapenko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jasmine Paolini than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jasmine Paolini that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jelena Ostapenko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Jasmine Paolini - Jelena Ostapenko Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.83)

    2.22
    (1.83)
    5.5%
    (9.3%)
    What is the prediction for Jasmine Paolini - Jelena Ostapenko?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Paolini will win (votes: 12 - 40%). Ostapenko will win (votes: 18 - 60%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ostapenko: 42.5%77.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Paolini (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Ostapenko (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Paolini is ranked WTA: 5. Ostapenko is ranked WTA: 18.
    • Paolini has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ostapenko is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Paolini might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Paolini won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jasmine Paolini - Jelena Ostapenko were as follows:
    12.02.2025 Jelena Ostapenko - Jasmine Paolini 2:0
    28.08.2023 Jelena Ostapenko - Jasmine Paolini 2:1
    Latest results of Jasmine Paolini
    Latest results of Jelena Ostapenko
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Yastremska D.Potapova A.1 : 2
    3Pavlyuchenkova A.Boulter K.2 : 0
    4ByeKenin S. (31)
    5Fernandez L. (24)Bye
    6Ruzic A. (Q)Grant T. C. (WC)2 : 1
    7Eala A.Kostyuk M.0 : 2
    8ByeKasatkina D. (14)
    9Rybakina E. (11)Bye
    10Uchijima M.Lys E.0 : 2
    11Andreescu B.Urgesi F. (WC)2 : 0
    12ByeVekic D. (20)
    13Frech M. (26)Bye
    14Azarenka V.Osorio C.2 : 0
    15Siniakova K.Danilovic O.1 : 2
    16ByeZheng Q. (8)
    17Gauff C. (4)Bye
    18Zucchini A. (WC)Mboko V. (Q)0 : 2
    19Sakkari M. (Q)Bencic B. (RET.)1 : 0
    20ByeLinette M. (32)
    21Teichmann J. (LL)Bye
    22Joint M. (Q)Raducanu E.1 : 2
    23Stefanini L. (WC)Kudermetova V.0 : 2
    24ByeAnisimova A. (15)
    25Navarro E. (10)Bye
    26Rakhimova K. (LL)Wang Xin.2 : 0
    27Volynets K. (Q)Rus A. (Q)2 : 0
    28ByeTauson C. (22)
    29Noskova L. (30)Bye
    30Birrell K.Kartal S.1 : 2
    31Arango E. (Q)Tomova V.2 : 1
    32ByeAndreeva M. (7)
    33Paolini J. (6)Bye
    34Pedone G. (WC)Sun L.1 : 2
    35Kvitova P.Begu I.2 : 0
    36ByeJabeur O. (27)
    37Ostapenko J. (17)Bye
    38Sramkova R.Kessler M.2 : 0
    39Bronzetti L.Sevastova A.2 : 0
    40ByeSiegemund L. (LL)
    41Shnaider D. (13)Bye
    42Dolehide C.Gadecki O. (LL)2 : 1
    43Parks A.Cristian J.0 : 2
    44ByePutintseva Y. (23)
    45Mertens E. (25)Bye
    46Lamens S.Zarazua R.2 : 1
    47Krueger A.Bondar A. (Q)2 : 1
    48ByePegula J. (3)
    49Keys M. (5)Bye
    50Gracheva V.Tomljanovic A. (Q)2 : 0
    51Stearns P.Brancaccio N. (WC)2 : 0
    52ByeKalinskaya A. (28)
    53Haddad Maia B. (18)Bye
    54Bouzkova M.Sherif M.2 : 0
    55Errani S. (WC)Osaka N.0 : 2
    56ByeGolubic V. (LL)
    57Svitolina E. (16)Bye
    58Bouzas Maneiro J.Li A.2 : 1
    59Baptiste H. (Q)Blinkova A. (Q)2 : 0
    60ByeSamsonova L. (19)
    61Collins D. (29)Bye
    62Ruse G. (Q)Kudermetova P.2 : 1
    63Cocciaretto E. (WC)Avanesyan E.2 : 1
    64ByeSwiatek I. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Potapova A.2 : 0
    2Pavlyuchenkova A.Kenin S. (31)0 : 2
    3Fernandez L. (24)Ruzic A.2 : 0
    4Kostyuk M.Kasatkina D. (14)2 : 0
    5Rybakina E. (11)Lys E.2 : 0
    6Andreescu B.Vekic D. (20)2 : 1
    7Frech M. (26)Azarenka V.2 : 0
    8Danilovic O.Zheng Q. (8)0 : 2
    9Gauff C. (4)Mboko V.2 : 1
    10Sakkari M.Linette M. (32)1 : 2
    11Teichmann J. (LL)Raducanu E.0 : 2
    12Kudermetova V.Anisimova A. (15)2 : 0
    13Navarro E. (10)Rakhimova K.2 : 0
    14Volynets K. (RET.)Tauson C. (22)0 : 1
    15Noskova L. (30)Kartal S.2 : 0
    16Arango E.Andreeva M. (7)0 : 2
    17Paolini J. (6)Sun L.2 : 0
    18Kvitova P.Jabeur O. (WO.) (27)
    19Ostapenko J. (17)Sramkova R.2 : 1
    20Bronzetti L.Siegemund L.0 : 2
    21Shnaider D. (13)Dolehide C.2 : 0
    22Cristian J.Putintseva Y. (23)2 : 0
    23Mertens E. (25)Lamens S.2 : 1
    24Krueger A.Pegula J. (3)0 : 2
    25Keys M. (5)Gracheva V.2 : 0
    26Stearns P.Kalinskaya A. (28)2 : 0
    27Haddad Maia B. (18)Bouzkova M.0 : 2
    28Osaka N.Golubic V. (LL)2 : 1
    29Svitolina E. (16)Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 0
    30Baptiste H.Samsonova L. (19)2 : 1
    31Collins D. (29)Ruse G.2 : 0
    32Cocciaretto E.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Kenin S. (31)2 : 1
    2Fernandez L. (24)Kostyuk M.0 : 2
    3Rybakina E. (11)Andreescu B.0 : 2
    4Frech M. (26)Zheng Q. (8)0 : 2
    5Gauff C. (4)Linette M. (32)2 : 0
    6Raducanu E.Kudermetova V.2 : 1
    7Navarro E. (10)Tauson C. (22)1 : 2
    8Noskova L. (30)Andreeva M. (7)0 : 2
    9Paolini J. (6)Jabeur O. (27)2 : 0
    10Ostapenko J. (WO.) (17)Siegemund L.
    11Shnaider D. (13)Cristian J.2 : 0
    12Mertens E. (25)Pegula J. (3)2 : 0
    13Keys M. (5)Stearns P.1 : 2
    14Bouzkova M.Osaka N.1 : 2
    15Svitolina E. (16)Baptiste H.2 : 1
    16Collins D. (29)Swiatek I. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Kostyuk M.2 : 0
    2Andreescu B.Zheng Q. (8)0 : 2
    3Gauff C. (4)Raducanu E.2 : 0
    4Tauson C. (22)Andreeva M. (7)1 : 2
    5Paolini J. (6)Ostapenko J. (17)2 : 0
    6Shnaider D. (13)Mertens E. (25)2 : 0
    7Stearns P.Osaka N.2 : 1
    8Svitolina E. (16)Collins D. (29)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Zheng Q. (8)0 : 2
    2Gauff C. (4)Andreeva M. (7)2 : 0
    3Paolini J. (6)Shnaider D. (13)2 : 1
    4Stearns P.Svitolina E. (16)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Zheng Q. (8)Gauff C. (4)1 : 2
    2Paolini J. (6)Stearns P.2 : 0

    Final
    1Gauff C. (4)Paolini J. (6)0 : 2