Ludmilla Samsonova vs Jelena Ostapenko – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Doha Ludmilla Samsonova - Jelena Ostapenko
Result
0:2
11/02/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Doha (Qatar), hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
75
Double Faults
105
1st Serve Percentage
48%54%
1st Serve Points Won
65% (26/40)68% (28/41)
2nd Serve Points Won
33% (14/43)37% (13/35)
Break Points Saved
40% (4/10)38% (3/8)
1st Return Points Won
32% (13/41)35% (14/40)
2nd Return Points Won
63% (22/35)67% (29/43)
Break Points Converted
63% (5/8)60% (6/10)
Service Points Won
48% (40/83)54% (41/76)
Return Points Won
46% (35/76)52% (43/83)
Total Points Won
47% (75/159)53% (84/159)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
50% (6/12)58% (7/12)
Return Games Won
42% (5/12)50% (6/12)
Total Games Won
46% (11/24)54% (13/24)

Chances of winning


Ludmilla Samsonova
49%
Jelena Ostapenko
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.9% 45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5% 45.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ludmilla Samsonova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ludmilla Samsonova's form might have worsened.
  • Jelena Ostapenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jelena Ostapenko's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludmilla Samsonova than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ludmilla Samsonova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jelena Ostapenko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ludmilla Samsonova - Jelena Ostapenko Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (1.73)

    1.85
    (2.11)
    5.6%
    (5.2%)
    What is the prediction for Ludmilla Samsonova - Jelena Ostapenko?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Samsonova will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Ostapenko will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Samsonova: 28.1%78.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Samsonova is ranked WTA: 23. Ostapenko is ranked WTA: 37.
    • Two players are playing changeable.
    • Ostapenko could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Samsonova won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ludmilla Samsonova - Jelena Ostapenko were as follows:
    06.10.2023 Jelena Ostapenko - Ludmilla Samsonova 0:2
    Latest results of Ludmilla Samsonova
    Latest results of Jelena Ostapenko
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Raducanu E. (WC)Alexandrova E.0 : 2
    3Mertens E.Tauson C. (RET.)1 : 0
    4Bucsa C. (Q)Kalinskaya A. (14)2 : 1
    5Kasatkina D. (10)Kudermetova P. (LL)2 : 0
    6Avanesyan E.Wang Xin.2 : 1
    7Vondrousova M.Svitolina E.1 : 2
    8ByePegula J. (6)
    9Gauff C. (3)Bye
    10Kostyuk M.Sonmez Z. (WC)2 : 0
    11Kudermetova V. (Q)Linette M.1 : 2
    12Frech M.Haddad Maia B. (13)2 : 1
    13Badosa P. (9)Zarazua R. (LL)2 : 1
    14Anisimova A.Azarenka V.2 : 0
    15Minnen G. (Q)Fernandez L.0 : 2
    16ByeNavarro E. (8)
    17Zheng Q. (7)Bye
    18Kessler M.Jabeur O.0 : 2
    19Krueger A.Kenin S. (WC)0 : 2
    20Parks A. (Q)Shnaider D. (11)2 : 0
    21Samsonova L. (16)Sun L.2 : 0
    22Ito A. (Q)Ostapenko J.0 : 2
    23Yuan Y.Garcia C. (WC)0 : 2
    24ByePaolini J. (4)
    25Rybakina E. (5)Bye
    26Yastremska D.Stearns P.0 : 2
    27Kalinina A.Sramkova R.0 : 2
    28Volynets K. (Q)Andreeva M. (12)1 : 2
    29Vekic D. (15)Noskova L.0 : 2
    30Putintseva Y.Uchijima M. (Q)2 : 1
    31Sakkari M.Ruse G. (RET.) (Q)1 : 1
    32ByeSwiatek I. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Alexandrova E.1 : 2
    2Mertens E.Bucsa C.2 : 0
    3Kasatkina D. (10)Avanesyan E.2 : 0
    4Svitolina E.Pegula J. (6)0 : 2
    5Gauff C. (3)Kostyuk M.0 : 2
    6Linette M.Frech M.2 : 1
    7Badosa P. (9)Anisimova A.0 : 2
    8Fernandez L.Navarro E. (8)2 : 0
    9Zheng Q. (7)Jabeur O.0 : 2
    10Kenin S.Parks A.2 : 1
    11Samsonova L. (16)Ostapenko J.0 : 2
    12Garcia C.Paolini J. (4)0 : 2
    13Rybakina E. (5)Stearns P.2 : 0
    14Sramkova R.Andreeva M. (12)2 : 1
    15Noskova L.Putintseva Y.2 : 0
    16Sakkari M.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alexandrova E.Mertens E.2 : 0
    2Kasatkina D. (10)Pegula J. (6)0 : 2
    3Kostyuk M.Linette M.2 : 0
    4Anisimova A.Fernandez L.2 : 0
    5Jabeur O.Kenin S.2 : 0
    6Ostapenko J.Paolini J. (4)2 : 0
    7Rybakina E. (5)Sramkova R.2 : 0
    8Noskova L.Swiatek I. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alexandrova E.Pegula J. (6)2 : 1
    2Kostyuk M.Anisimova A.1 : 2
    3Jabeur O.Ostapenko J.0 : 2
    4Rybakina E. (5)Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Alexandrova E.Anisimova A.0 : 2
    2Ostapenko J.Swiatek I. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Anisimova A.Ostapenko J.2 : 0