Ludmilla Samsonova vs Jelena Ostapenko – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/02/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

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WTA - SINGLES: Doha (Qatar), hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats


Aces
7	5
Double Faults
10	5
1st Serve Percentage
48%	54%
1st Serve Points Won
65% (26/40)	68% (28/41)
2nd Serve Points Won
33% (14/43)	37% (13/35)
Break Points Saved
40% (4/10)	38% (3/8)
1st Return Points Won
32% (13/41)	35% (14/40)
2nd Return Points Won
63% (22/35)	67% (29/43)
Break Points Converted
63% (5/8)	60% (6/10)
Service Points Won
48% (40/83)	54% (41/76)
Return Points Won
46% (35/76)	52% (43/83)
Total Points Won
47% (75/159)	53% (84/159)
Last 10 Balls
3	7
Match Points Saved
1	0
Service Games Won
50% (6/12)	58% (7/12)
Return Games Won
42% (5/12)	50% (6/12)
Total Games Won
46% (11/24)	54% (13/24)

Chances of winning

Ludmilla Samsonova
49%

Jelena Ostapenko
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ludmilla Samsonova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ludmilla Samsonova's form might have worsened.

Jelena Ostapenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jelena Ostapenko's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludmilla Samsonova than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ludmilla Samsonova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jelena Ostapenko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ludmilla Samsonova - Jelena Ostapenko Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.73)		1.85 ↓ (2.11)	5.6% (5.2%)

What is the prediction for Ludmilla Samsonova - Jelena Ostapenko?

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Samsonova will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Ostapenko will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Samsonova: 28.1% – 78.5%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Samsonova is ranked WTA: 23. Ostapenko is ranked WTA: 37.
Two players are playing changeable.
Ostapenko could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Samsonova won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Ludmilla Samsonova won against Jelena Ostapenko?

Ludmilla Samsonova has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Jelena Ostapenko won against Ludmilla Samsonova?

Jelena Ostapenko has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Ludmilla Samsonova - Jelena Ostapenko were as follows:

06.10.2023 Jelena Ostapenko - Ludmilla Samsonova 0:2

Latest results of Ludmilla Samsonova

09.02.2025 Ludmilla Samsonova - Lulu Sun 2:0 ✺

03.02.2025 Veronika Kudermetova - Ludmilla Samsonova 2:1 ✺

03.02.2025 Polina Kudermetova - Ludmilla Samsonova Canceled ✺

14.01.2025 Ludmilla Samsonova - Olga Danilovic 0:2 ✺

12.01.2025 Ludmilla Samsonova - Kamilla Rakhimova 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Jelena Ostapenko

10.02.2025 Aoi Ito - Jelena Ostapenko 0:2 ✺

04.02.2025 Ons Jabeur - Jelena Ostapenko 2:0 ✺

12.01.2025 Belinda Bencic - Jelena Ostapenko 2:0 ✺

08.01.2025 Jelena Ostapenko - Madison Keys 1:2 ✺

06.01.2025 Jelena Ostapenko - Magdalena Frech 2:1 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/32-finals

1	Swiatek I. (1)	Bye
2	Tjen J. (WC)	Haddad Maia B. (LL)	2 : 0
3	Kasatkina D.	Uchijima M. (Q)	2 : 1
4	Pavlyuchenkova A.	Mertens E. (16)	0 : 2
5	Noskova L. (9)	Joint M.	2 : 0
6	Siegemund L.	Gracheva V. (Q)	0 : 2
7	Sakkari M.	Sonmez Z. (WC)	2 : 0
8	Bye	Paolini J. (6)
9	Anisimova A. (3)	Bye
10	Sierra S. (LL)	Pliskova Ka.	0 : 2
11	Eala A.	Valentova T. (Q)	0 : 2
12	Cristian J.	Muchova K. (14)	0 : 2
13	Navarro E. (12)	Maria T.	2 : 0
14	Kalinskaya A.	Bouzas Maneiro J.	2 : 0
15	Yastremska D.	Bucsa C.	2 : 1
16	Bye	Svitolina E. (7)
17	Alexandrova E. (8)	Bye
18	Zakharova A. (Q)	Ostapenko J.	1 : 2
19	Raducanu E. (RET.)	Osorio C. (Q)	1 : 1
20	Siniakova K.	Tauson C. (11)	2 : 0
21	Samsonova L. (13)	Frech M. (LL)	1 : 2
22	Li A.	Fernandez L.	2 : 0
23	Cocciaretto E. (LL)	Jacquemot E. (WC)	2 : 0
24	Bye	Gauff C. (4)
25	Andreeva M. (5)	Bye
26	Kartal S. (Q)	Linette M.	1 : 2
27	Stearns P. (WC)	Zvonareva V. (Q)	1 : 2
28	Bouzkova M.	Mboko V. (10)	0 : 2
29	Shnaider D. (15)	Parks A. (Q)	1 : 2
30	Zheng Q.	Kenin S.	2 : 1
31	Wang Xin.	Arango E.	2 : 0
32	Bye	Rybakina E. (2)

1/16-finals

1	Swiatek I. (1)	Tjen J.	2 : 0
2	Kasatkina D.	Mertens E. (16)	2 : 0
3	Noskova L. (9)	Gracheva V.	1 : 2
4	Sakkari M.	Paolini J. (6)	2 : 0
5	Anisimova A. (RET.) (3)	Pliskova Ka.	1 : 1
6	Valentova T.	Muchova K. (14)	0 : 2
7	Navarro E. (12)	Kalinskaya A.	1 : 2
8	Yastremska D.	Svitolina E. (7)	0 : 2
9	Alexandrova E. (8)	Ostapenko J.	0 : 2
10	Osorio C.	Siniakova K.	2 : 1
11	Frech M.	Li A.	0 : 2
12	Cocciaretto E.	Gauff C. (4)	2 : 0
13	Andreeva M. (5)	Linette M.	2 : 0
14	Zvonareva V.	Mboko V. (10)	0 : 2
15	Parks A.	Zheng Q.	1 : 2
16	Wang Xin.	Rybakina E. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Swiatek I. (1)	Kasatkina D.	2 : 1
2	Gracheva V.	Sakkari M.	0 : 2
3	Pliskova Ka. (RET.)	Muchova K. (14)	0 : 0
4	Kalinskaya A.	Svitolina E. (7)	2 : 0
5	Ostapenko J.	Osorio C.	2 : 0
6	Li A.	Cocciaretto E.	1 : 2
7	Andreeva M. (5)	Mboko V. (10)	1 : 2
8	Zheng Q.	Rybakina E. (2)	1 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Swiatek I. (1)	Sakkari M.	1 : 2
2	Muchova K. (14)	Kalinskaya A.	2 : 0
3	Ostapenko J.	Cocciaretto E.	2 : 0
4	Mboko V. (10)	Rybakina E. (2)	2 : 1

Semi-finals

1	Sakkari M.	Muchova K. (14)	1 : 2
2	Ostapenko J.	Mboko V. (10)	0 : 2

Final

1

Muchova K. (14)

Mboko V. (10)

2 : 0