Result
0:2
11/02/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Doha (Qatar), hard - 1/16-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 48% | 54% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 65% (26/40) | 68% (28/41) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 33% (14/43) | 37% (13/35) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 38% (3/8) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 32% (13/41) | 35% (14/40) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 63% (22/35) | 67% (29/43) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 60% (6/10) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (40/83) | 54% (41/76) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (35/76) | 52% (43/83) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (75/159) | 53% (84/159) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 58% (7/12) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 50% (6/12) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 46% (11/24) | 54% (13/24) |
Chances of winning
Ludmilla Samsonova
49% | Jelena Ostapenko
51% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ludmilla Samsonova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ludmilla Samsonova's form might have worsened.Jelena Ostapenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jelena Ostapenko's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludmilla Samsonova than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ludmilla Samsonova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jelena Ostapenko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ludmilla Samsonova - Jelena Ostapenko Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↑
(1.73) |
|
1.85 ↓
(2.11) |
5.6%
(5.2%) | |
What is the prediction for Ludmilla Samsonova - Jelena Ostapenko?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Samsonova will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Ostapenko will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Samsonova: 28.1% – 78.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Samsonova is ranked WTA: 23. Ostapenko is ranked WTA: 37.
- Two players are playing changeable.
- Ostapenko could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Samsonova won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ludmilla Samsonova won against Jelena Ostapenko?
Ludmilla Samsonova has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jelena Ostapenko won against Ludmilla Samsonova?
Jelena Ostapenko has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ludmilla Samsonova - Jelena Ostapenko were as follows:
06.10.2023
Jelena Ostapenko
-
Ludmilla Samsonova
0:2
Latest results of Ludmilla Samsonova
Latest results of Jelena Ostapenko
Draw
Singles - Main1/32-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Raducanu E. (WC) | Alexandrova E. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Mertens E. | Tauson C. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Bucsa C. (Q) | Kalinskaya A. (14) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Kasatkina D. (10) | Kudermetova P. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Avanesyan E. | Wang Xin. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Vondrousova M. | Svitolina E. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Pegula J. (6) | |
| 9 | Gauff C. (3) | Bye | |
| 10 | Kostyuk M. | Sonmez Z. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Kudermetova V. (Q) | Linette M. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Frech M. | Haddad Maia B. (13) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Badosa P. (9) | Zarazua R. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Anisimova A. | Azarenka V. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Minnen G. (Q) | Fernandez L. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Navarro E. (8) | |
| 17 | Zheng Q. (7) | Bye | |
| 18 | Kessler M. | Jabeur O. | 0 : 2 |
| 19 | Krueger A. | Kenin S. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 20 | Parks A. (Q) | Shnaider D. (11) | 2 : 0 |
| 21 | Samsonova L. (16) | Sun L. | 2 : 0 |
| 22 | Ito A. (Q) | Ostapenko J. | 0 : 2 |
| 23 | Yuan Y. | Garcia C. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Paolini J. (4) | |
| 25 | Rybakina E. (5) | Bye | |
| 26 | Yastremska D. | Stearns P. | 0 : 2 |
| 27 | Kalinina A. | Sramkova R. | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | Volynets K. (Q) | Andreeva M. (12) | 1 : 2 |
| 29 | Vekic D. (15) | Noskova L. | 0 : 2 |
| 30 | Putintseva Y. | Uchijima M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 31 | Sakkari M. | Ruse G. (RET.) (Q) | 1 : 1 |
| 32 | Bye | Swiatek I. (2) | |
1/16-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Alexandrova E. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Mertens E. | Bucsa C. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Kasatkina D. (10) | Avanesyan E. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Svitolina E. | Pegula J. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Gauff C. (3) | Kostyuk M. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Linette M. | Frech M. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Badosa P. (9) | Anisimova A. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Fernandez L. | Navarro E. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Zheng Q. (7) | Jabeur O. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Kenin S. | Parks A. | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Samsonova L. (16) | Ostapenko J. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Garcia C. | Paolini J. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Rybakina E. (5) | Stearns P. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Sramkova R. | Andreeva M. (12) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Noskova L. | Putintseva Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Sakkari M. | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alexandrova E. | Mertens E. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Kasatkina D. (10) | Pegula J. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Kostyuk M. | Linette M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Anisimova A. | Fernandez L. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Jabeur O. | Kenin S. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Ostapenko J. | Paolini J. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Rybakina E. (5) | Sramkova R. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Noskova L. | Swiatek I. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alexandrova E. | Pegula J. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Kostyuk M. | Anisimova A. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Jabeur O. | Ostapenko J. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Rybakina E. (5) | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Alexandrova E. | Anisimova A. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Ostapenko J. | Swiatek I. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Anisimova A. | Ostapenko J. | 2 : 0 |
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