Jelena Ostapenko vs Maria Camila Osorio Serrano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
11/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Doha, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
41
Double Faults
34
1st serve percentage
61%63%
1st serve points won
68% (19/28)47% (16/34)
2nd serve points won
56% (10/18)30% (6/20)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/2)25% (2/8)
1st return points won
53% (18/34)32% (9/28)
2nd return points won
70% (14/20)44% (8/18)
Break Points Converted
75% (6/8)100% (2/2)
Service Points Won
57% (28/49)37% (17/46)
Return Points Won
63% (29/46)43% (21/49)
Total Points Won
60% (57/95)40% (38/95)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
01
Service games won
75% (6/8)25% (2/8)
Return games won
75% (6/8)25% (2/8)
Total games won
75% (12/16)25% (4/16)

Chances of winning


Jelena Ostapenko
58.8%
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.9% 46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2% 45.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jelena Ostapenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • Maria Camila Osorio Serrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Camila Osorio Serrano than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Jelena Ostapenko - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.76)

    2.36
    (2.05)
    3.6%
    (5.7%)
    What is the prediction for Jelena Ostapenko - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Ostapenko will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Osorio Serrano will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ostapenko: 54%99.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Ostapenko (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Osorio Serrano (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Osorio Serrano (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Ostapenko (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Osorio Serrano (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ostapenko is ranked WTA: 24. Osorio Serrano is ranked WTA: 80.
    • Ostapenko has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Osorio Serrano is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Ostapenko may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ostapenko won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jelena Ostapenko - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano were as follows:
    10.08.2025 Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Jelena Ostapenko Ostapenko J. walkover
    28.07.2024 Jelena Ostapenko - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano 0:2
    Latest results of Jelena Ostapenko
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Swiatek I. (1)Bye
    2Tjen J. (WC)Haddad Maia B. (LL)2 : 0
    3Kasatkina D.Uchijima M. (Q)2 : 1
    4Pavlyuchenkova A.Mertens E. (16)0 : 2
    5Noskova L. (9)Joint M.2 : 0
    6Siegemund L.Gracheva V. (Q)0 : 2
    7Sakkari M.Sonmez Z. (WC)2 : 0
    8ByePaolini J. (6)
    9Anisimova A. (3)Bye
    10Sierra S. (LL)Pliskova Ka.0 : 2
    11Eala A.Valentova T. (Q)0 : 2
    12Cristian J.Muchova K. (14)0 : 2
    13Navarro E. (12)Maria T.2 : 0
    14Kalinskaya A.Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 0
    15Yastremska D.Bucsa C.2 : 1
    16ByeSvitolina E. (7)
    17Alexandrova E. (8)Bye
    18Zakharova A. (Q)Ostapenko J.1 : 2
    19Raducanu E. (RET.)Osorio C. (Q)1 : 1
    20Siniakova K.Tauson C. (11)2 : 0
    21Samsonova L. (13)Frech M. (LL)1 : 2
    22Li A.Fernandez L.2 : 0
    23Cocciaretto E. (LL)Jacquemot E. (WC)2 : 0
    24ByeGauff C. (4)
    25Andreeva M. (5)Bye
    26Kartal S. (Q)Linette M.1 : 2
    27Stearns P. (WC)Zvonareva V. (Q)1 : 2
    28Bouzkova M.Mboko V. (10)0 : 2
    29Shnaider D. (15)Parks A. (Q)1 : 2
    30Zheng Q.Kenin S.2 : 1
    31Wang Xin.Arango E.2 : 0
    32ByeRybakina E. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Swiatek I. (1)Tjen J.2 : 0
    2Kasatkina D.Mertens E. (16)2 : 0
    3Noskova L. (9)Gracheva V.1 : 2
    4Sakkari M.Paolini J. (6)2 : 0
    5Anisimova A. (RET.) (3)Pliskova Ka.1 : 1
    6Valentova T.Muchova K. (14)0 : 2
    7Navarro E. (12)Kalinskaya A.1 : 2
    8Yastremska D.Svitolina E. (7)0 : 2
    9Alexandrova E. (8)Ostapenko J.0 : 2
    10Osorio C.Siniakova K.2 : 1
    11Frech M.Li A.0 : 2
    12Cocciaretto E.Gauff C. (4)2 : 0
    13Andreeva M. (5)Linette M.2 : 0
    14Zvonareva V.Mboko V. (10)0 : 2
    15Parks A.Zheng Q.1 : 2
    16Wang Xin.Rybakina E. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Swiatek I. (1)Kasatkina D.2 : 1
    2Gracheva V.Sakkari M.0 : 2
    3Pliskova Ka. (RET.)Muchova K. (14)0 : 0
    4Kalinskaya A.Svitolina E. (7)2 : 0
    5Ostapenko J.Osorio C.2 : 0
    6Li A.Cocciaretto E.1 : 2
    7Andreeva M. (5)Mboko V. (10)1 : 2
    8Zheng Q.Rybakina E. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Swiatek I. (1)Sakkari M.1 : 2
    2Muchova K. (14)Kalinskaya A.2 : 0
    3Ostapenko J.Cocciaretto E.2 : 0
    4Mboko V. (10)Rybakina E. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Sakkari M.Muchova K. (14)1 : 2
    2Ostapenko J.Mboko V. (10)0 : 2

    Final
    1Muchova K. (14)Mboko V. (10)2 : 0