Result
1:2
12/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Guadalajara, hard - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 52% | 56% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 68% (38/56) | 74% (39/53) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (20/51) | 56% (23/41) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 17% (1/6) | 50% (2/4) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 26% (14/53) | 30% (17/56) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (18/41) | 61% (31/51) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 83% (5/6) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (57/104) | 64% (61/95) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 36% (34/95) | 45% (47/104) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (91/199) | 54% (108/199) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 87% (13/15) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 33% (5/15) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 40% (12/30) | 60% (18/30) |
Chances of winning
Jelena Ostapenko
74.6% | Marina Stakusic
25.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jelena Ostapenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Marina Stakusic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marina Stakusic than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Jelena Ostapenko - Marina Stakusic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.28 ↓
(1.3) |
|
3.7 ↑
(3.5) |
4.9%
(5.5%) | |
What is the prediction for Jelena Ostapenko - Marina Stakusic?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Ostapenko will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Stakusic will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ostapenko: 39.2% – 89.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Stakusic (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Ostapenko is ranked WTA: 24. Stakusic is ranked WTA: 155.
- Ostapenko is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Stakusic has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Stakusic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ostapenko is the team to beat.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ostapenko won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Jelena Ostapenko won against Marina Stakusic?
Jelena Ostapenko has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marina Stakusic won against Jelena Ostapenko?
Marina Stakusic has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jelena Ostapenko - Marina Stakusic were as follows:
12.09.2024
Jelena Ostapenko
-
Marina Stakusic
1:2
Latest results of Jelena Ostapenko
Latest results of Marina Stakusic
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Mertens E. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Sakkari M. | Jacquemot E. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Trevisan M. (WC) | Marino R. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Sonmez Z. | Maria T. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Ostapenko J. (3) | Bye | |
| 6 | Kudermetova P. | Stakusic M. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Hunter S. (WC) | Siniakova K. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Arango E. | Linette M. (RET.) (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 9 | Parks A. (7) | Vidmanova D. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Bartunkova N. (WC) | Fossa Huergo N. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Stephens S. (WC) | Stefanini L. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Frech M. (4) | |
| 13 | Osorio C. (8) | Rakhimova K. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Kawa K. | Jovic I. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q) | Pridankina E. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | Kudermetova V. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Mertens E. (1) | Jacquemot E. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Marino R. | Maria T. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Ostapenko J. (3) | Stakusic M. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Hunter S. | Arango E. | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Vidmanova D. | Bartunkova N. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Stefanini L. | Frech M. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Osorio C. (8) | Jovic I. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Jimenez Kasintseva V. | Kudermetova V. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Jacquemot E. | Maria T. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Stakusic M. | Arango E. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Bartunkova N. | Frech M. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Jovic I. | Jimenez Kasintseva V. | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Jacquemot E. | Arango E. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Bartunkova N. | Jovic I. | 1 : 2 |
Final
