Jelena Ostapenko vs Marina Stakusic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Guadalajara Jelena Ostapenko - Marina Stakusic
Result
1:2
12/09/2024 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Guadalajara (Mexico), hard - 1/8-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 2
franceFrancebeIN Sports 2
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
greeceGreeceNova Sports 6
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 2
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Tennis, Sky Sports+

Match Stats

Aces
105
Double Faults
1717
1st Serve Percentage
49%59%
1st Serve Points Won
63% (37/59)65% (49/75)
2nd Serve Points Won
35% (22/62)40% (21/52)
Break Points Saved
56% (10/18)56% (9/16)
1st Return Points Won
35% (26/75)37% (22/59)
2nd Return Points Won
60% (31/52)65% (40/62)
Break Points Converted
44% (7/16)44% (8/18)
Max Points In Row
69
Service Points Won
49% (60/122)54% (68/125)
Return Points Won
46% (57/125)51% (62/122)
Total Points Won
47% (117/247)53% (130/247)
Max Games In Row
84
Service Games Won
53% (9/17)56% (9/16)
Return Games Won
44% (7/16)47% (8/17)
Total Games Won
48% (16/33)52% (17/33)

Chances of winning


Jelena Ostapenko
77.1%
Marina Stakusic
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.9% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6% 29.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jelena Ostapenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jelena Ostapenko's performance.
  • Marina Stakusic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marina Stakusic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jelena Ostapenko that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marina Stakusic than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marina Stakusic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Jelena Ostapenko - Marina Stakusic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.24
    (1.36)

    4.13
    (3.16)
    5%
    (5.3%)
    What is the prediction for Jelena Ostapenko - Marina Stakusic?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Ostapenko will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Stakusic will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ostapenko: 39.2%89.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ostapenko is ranked WTA: 12. Stakusic is ranked WTA: 155.
    • The competitors look crappy now.
    • Ostapenko could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Ostapenko is a favorite.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Jelena Ostapenko
    Latest results of Marina Stakusic
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Ostapenko J. (1)Bye
    2Stakusic M.Schmiedlova A. K.2 : 0
    3Maria T.Krueger A.0 : 2
    4Bektas E.Frech M. (5)0 : 2
    5Garcia C. (4)Bye
    6Birrell K. (Q)Shibahara E. (Q)0 : 2
    7Sanchez A. S.Stefanini L. (Q)1 : 2
    8Eala A. (Q)Bouzkova M. (6)0 : 2
    9Kudermetova V. (7)Vickery S. (LL)2 : 0
    10Osorio C.Baptiste H.2 : 0
    11Krunic A. (Q)Rakhimova K.0 : 2
    12ByeAzarenka V. (3)
    13Dolehide C. (8)Trevisan M.0 : 2
    14Kalinina A.Zarazua R.1 : 2
    15Stephens S.Gadecki O. (Q)0 : 2
    16ByeCollins D. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Ostapenko J. (1)Stakusic M.1 : 2
    2Krueger A.Frech M. (5)1 : 2
    3Garcia C. (4)Shibahara E.2 : 0
    4Stefanini L.Bouzkova M. (6)0 : 2
    5Kudermetova V. (7)Osorio C.1 : 2
    6Rakhimova K.Azarenka V. (RET.) (3)1 : 0
    7Trevisan M.Zarazua R.2 : 0
    8Gadecki O.Collins D. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Stakusic M.Frech M. (5)0 : 2
    2Garcia C. (WO.) (4)Bouzkova M. (6)
    3Osorio C.Rakhimova K.2 : 0
    4Trevisan M.Gadecki O.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Frech M. (5)Garcia C. (4)2 : 0
    2Osorio C.Gadecki O.0 : 2

    Final
    1Frech M. (5)Gadecki O.2 : 0